Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 89507 | NA | NA | 0.979587828450488 | NA |
2 | 87562 | NA | NA | 0.95323689445307 | NA |
3 | 85209 | NA | NA | 0.911835187016945 | NA |
4 | 82360 | NA | NA | 0.888881007393845 | NA |
5 | 79054 | NA | NA | 0.845661412944441 | NA |
6 | 79069 | NA | NA | 0.857753804700136 | NA |
7 | 107551 | 108119.478555268 | 96967.3333333333 | 1.11500930095291 | 0.994742126369234 |
8 | 115759 | 115723.435611216 | 97897.4166666666 | 1.18208875730854 | 1.00030732226879 |
9 | 115585 | 115347.392594197 | 98700.2083333333 | 1.16866412484807 | 1.00205992871151 |
10 | 110260 | 108451.946793441 | 99434.9583333333 | 1.09068227725183 | 1.01667146842465 |
11 | 103444 | 101400.451974576 | 100142.625 | 1.01256035553868 | 1.02015324375414 |
12 | 102303 | 100305.746841438 | 100907.25 | 0.994039049141048 | 1.01991165233752 |
13 | 101397 | 99715.3470860986 | 101793.166666667 | 0.979587828450488 | 1.01686453452796 |
14 | 97994 | 97865.3764697542 | 102666.375 | 0.95323689445307 | 1.00131429045578 |
15 | 94044 | 94353.0198186326 | 103475.958333333 | 0.911835187016945 | 0.996724855026086 |
16 | 91159 | 92601.4381844809 | 104177.541666667 | 0.888881007393845 | 0.984423155700808 |
17 | 87239 | 88567.0006749765 | 104731.041666667 | 0.845661412944441 | 0.985005694391187 |
18 | 89235 | 90269.295611805 | 105239.166666667 | 0.857753804700136 | 0.988542110528336 |
19 | 118647 | 117896.437610673 | 105735.833333333 | 1.11500930095291 | 1.0063662855684 |
20 | 125620 | 125602.102102345 | 106254.375 | 1.18208875730854 | 1.00014249680025 |
21 | 125154 | 124831.345439032 | 106815.416666667 | 1.16866412484807 | 1.00258472389153 |
22 | 117529 | 117031.889817632 | 107301.541666667 | 1.09068227725183 | 1.00424764722797 |
23 | 109459 | 109055.956732641 | 107703.166666667 | 1.01256035553868 | 1.00369574738908 |
24 | 108483 | 107422.527995470 | 108066.708333333 | 0.994039049141048 | 1.00987197028704 |
25 | 107137 | 106084.912859800 | 108295.458333333 | 0.979587828450488 | 1.00991740589531 |
26 | 104699 | 103354.749999278 | 108425.041666667 | 0.95323689445307 | 1.01300617534009 |
27 | 100804 | 99003.4932518174 | 108576.083333333 | 0.911835187016945 | 1.01818629514014 |
28 | 96066 | 96610.3656012444 | 108687.625 | 0.888881007393845 | 0.994365349951254 |
29 | 91971 | 91953.3108595437 | 108735.375 | 0.845661412944441 | 1.00019237089226 |
30 | 93228 | 93221.0408922294 | 108680.416666667 | 0.857753804700136 | 1.0000746516849 |
31 | 120144 | 120896.137841283 | 108426.125 | 1.11500930095291 | 0.993778644589372 |
32 | 127233 | 127720.109633253 | 108046.125 | 1.18208875730854 | 0.996186116386436 |
33 | 127166 | 125833.572314767 | 107673 | 1.16866412484807 | 1.01058880917646 |
34 | 118194 | 117088.741631334 | 107353.666666667 | 1.09068227725183 | 1.00943949309957 |
35 | 109940 | 108417.157718341 | 107072.291666667 | 1.01256035553868 | 1.01404613728775 |
36 | 106683 | 106138.560890329 | 106775.041666667 | 0.994039049141048 | 1.00512951282836 |
37 | 102834 | 104261.614197937 | 106434.166666667 | 0.979587828450488 | 0.9863073844682 |
38 | 99882 | 101095.300531997 | 106054.75 | 0.95323689445307 | 0.987998447745723 |
39 | 96666 | 96325.737252611 | 105639.416666667 | 0.911835187016945 | 1.00353241778463 |
40 | 92540 | 93547.9853472294 | 105242.416666667 | 0.888881007393845 | 0.989224937945077 |
41 | 88744 | 88698.5010246894 | 104886.541666667 | 0.845661412944441 | 1.00051296216717 |
42 | 89321 | 89689.632738537 | 104563.375 | 0.857753804700136 | 0.995889906923672 |
43 | 115870 | 116227.547439472 | 104239.083333333 | 1.11500930095291 | 0.996923728949383 |
44 | 122401 | 122869.506925034 | 103942.708333333 | 1.18208875730854 | 0.99618695527671 |
45 | 122030 | 121128.092299081 | 103646.625 | 1.16866412484807 | 1.00744590031759 |
46 | 113802 | 112771.866623066 | 103395.708333333 | 1.09068227725183 | 1.00913466636477 |
47 | 105791 | 104618.410974493 | 103320.666666667 | 1.01256035553868 | 1.01120824733032 |
48 | 103076 | 102735.675297063 | 103351.75 | 0.994039049141048 | 1.00331262438245 |
49 | 98658 | 101162.606470315 | 103270.583333333 | 0.979587828450488 | 0.975241776010881 |
50 | 96945 | 98189.8344777037 | 103006.75 | 0.95323689445307 | 0.987322165432651 |
51 | 92497 | 93611.3558733927 | 102662.583333333 | 0.911835187016945 | 0.98809593277444 |
52 | 90687 | 90817.194745681 | 102170.25 | 0.888881007393845 | 0.998566408640505 |
53 | 88796 | 85848.5868271744 | 101516.5 | 0.845661412944441 | 1.03433269296278 |
54 | 90015 | 86402.0053640889 | 100730.541666667 | 0.857753804700136 | 1.04181609698393 |
55 | 113228 | 111574.056121945 | 100065.583333333 | 1.11500930095291 | 1.01482373174860 |
56 | 118711 | 117624.037318175 | 99505.25 | 1.18208875730854 | 1.00924099109848 |
57 | 117460 | 115468.446719796 | 98803.7916666667 | 1.16866412484807 | 1.01724759738941 |
58 | 106556 | 106949.122950672 | 98057.0833333333 | 1.09068227725183 | 0.996324205941794 |
59 | 97347 | 98367.5383796344 | 97147.3333333333 | 1.01256035553868 | 0.989625252431388 |
60 | 92657 | 95372.8280600756 | 95944.75 | 0.994039049141048 | 0.971524090086069 |
61 | 93118 | 92673.5799812823 | 94604.6666666667 | 0.979587828450488 | 1.00479554171542 |
62 | 89037 | 88891.5249089652 | 93252.2916666667 | 0.95323689445307 | 1.00163654624199 |
63 | 83570 | 83616.3124640392 | 91701.125 | 0.911835187016945 | 0.999446131231162 |
64 | 81693 | 80113.622985022 | 90128.625 | 0.888881007393845 | 1.01971421284085 |
65 | 75956 | 75096.3895564 | 88801.9583333333 | 0.845661412944441 | 1.01144676127145 |
66 | 73993 | 75276.187982549 | 87759.6666666667 | 0.857753804700136 | 0.98295360037564 |
67 | 97088 | 96885.6204720047 | 86892.2083333333 | 1.11500930095291 | 1.00208884999662 |
68 | 102394 | 101716.619657376 | 86048.2083333333 | 1.18208875730854 | 1.00665948539094 |
69 | 96549 | 99658.709744513 | 85275.75 | 1.16866412484807 | 0.968796407735107 |
70 | 89727 | 92225.7756645756 | 84557.875 | 1.09068227725183 | 0.972905886162849 |
71 | 82336 | 84882.9346048073 | 83830 | 1.01256035553868 | 0.969994739028932 |
72 | 82653 | 82737.9290527934 | 83234.0833333333 | 0.994039049141048 | 0.998973517300158 |
73 | 82303 | 81039.0561589353 | 82727.7083333333 | 0.979587828450488 | 1.01559672460382 |
74 | 79596 | 78231.198690869 | 82069 | 0.95323689445307 | 1.01744574200536 |
75 | 74472 | 74268.6720374678 | 81449.6666666667 | 0.911835187016945 | 1.00273773526514 |
76 | 73562 | 71948.2509409763 | 80942.5 | 0.888881007393845 | 1.02242930214311 |
77 | 66618 | 68170.0349895708 | 80611.5 | 0.845661412944441 | 0.977232885536757 |
78 | 69029 | 69067.1941082596 | 80521 | 0.857753804700136 | 0.999447000725124 |
79 | 89899 | NA | NA | 1.11500930095291 | NA |
80 | 93774 | NA | NA | 1.18208875730854 | NA |
81 | 90305 | NA | NA | 1.16866412484807 | NA |
82 | 83799 | NA | NA | 1.09068227725183 | NA |
83 | 80320 | NA | NA | 1.01256035553868 | NA |
84 | 82497 | NA | NA | 0.994039049141048 | NA |