| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 102.5 | NA | NA | 1.01860237749486 | NA |
| 2 | 77.7 | NA | NA | 0.747205802621793 | NA |
| 3 | 82.8 | NA | NA | 0.80155869200008 | NA |
| 4 | 77.3 | NA | NA | 0.879634543888747 | NA |
| 5 | 103.1 | NA | NA | 0.985080885490468 | NA |
| 6 | 99.7 | NA | NA | 1.08499349602838 | NA |
| 7 | 99.5 | 96.6987437028958 | 100.008333333333 | 0.96690686145717 | 1.0289689006272 |
| 8 | 107.2 | 102.344416497326 | 99.9208333333333 | 1.02425503354148 | 1.04744356037049 |
| 9 | 96.7 | 97.2849567865602 | 100.008333333333 | 0.972768503823616 | 0.993987181514162 |
| 10 | 97.1 | 103.499312270431 | 100.458333333333 | 1.0302710470719 | 0.938170485097422 |
| 11 | 105.2 | 105.787899960649 | 100.8375 | 1.04909284701276 | 0.994442654019337 |
| 12 | 151.2 | 146.038457409837 | 101.441666666667 | 1.43962990956875 | 1.03534372165873 |
| 13 | 102.7 | 103.838024032456 | 101.941666666667 | 1.01860237749486 | 0.98904039206197 |
| 14 | 75.4 | 76.3021658777288 | 102.116666666667 | 0.747205802621793 | 0.988176405383112 |
| 15 | 87.2 | 82.1464066184748 | 102.483333333333 | 0.80155869200008 | 1.06151934807077 |
| 16 | 83.7 | 90.8295969443789 | 103.258333333333 | 0.879634543888747 | 0.921505795641207 |
| 17 | 105.8 | 102.739831852966 | 104.295833333333 | 0.985080885490468 | 1.02978560595090 |
| 18 | 111.5 | 114.281460775422 | 105.329166666667 | 1.08499349602838 | 0.975661312372547 |
| 19 | 99.7 | 103.015868531083 | 106.541666666667 | 0.96690686145717 | 0.96781206062363 |
| 20 | 111.2 | 110.137290210854 | 107.529166666667 | 1.02425503354148 | 1.00964895529127 |
| 21 | 101.5 | 104.807699882796 | 107.741666666667 | 0.972768503823616 | 0.968440296977273 |
| 22 | 110.9 | 111.874557323920 | 108.5875 | 1.0302710470719 | 0.99128883861325 |
| 23 | 116.3 | 115.290932666506 | 109.895833333333 | 1.04909284701276 | 1.00875235640961 |
| 24 | 164.9 | 159.235064914217 | 110.608333333333 | 1.43962990956875 | 1.03557592725468 |
| 25 | 118.1 | 113.544455854667 | 111.470833333333 | 1.01860237749486 | 1.04012123807405 |
| 26 | 83.7 | 83.6870498936408 | 112 | 0.747205802621793 | 1.00015474444822 |
| 27 | 84 | 90.1820325057757 | 112.508333333333 | 0.80155869200008 | 0.931449399242807 |
| 28 | 107.2 | 100.084085374875 | 113.779166666667 | 0.879634543888747 | 1.07109936208611 |
| 29 | 113.7 | 113.473109001123 | 115.191666666667 | 0.985080885490468 | 1.00199951337259 |
| 30 | 120.7 | 126.058161013563 | 116.183333333333 | 1.08499349602838 | 0.957494532916541 |
| 31 | 111.2 | 113.285225155476 | 117.1625 | 0.96690686145717 | 0.981593141094845 |
| 32 | 112.4 | 120.951716273330 | 118.0875 | 1.02425503354148 | 0.929296445417903 |
| 33 | 112.5 | 116.018856889363 | 119.266666666667 | 0.972768503823616 | 0.969669957249114 |
| 34 | 130.4 | 123.641111240687 | 120.008333333333 | 1.0302710470719 | 1.05466538347553 |
| 35 | 130.7 | 126.568680771893 | 120.645833333333 | 1.04909284701276 | 1.03264092825264 |
| 36 | 174.3 | 175.97676107091 | 122.2375 | 1.43962990956875 | 0.990471690348736 |
| 37 | 132.2 | 126.293962279644 | 123.9875 | 1.01860237749486 | 1.04676421274422 |
| 38 | 91.8 | 94.0389636174636 | 125.854166666667 | 0.747205802621793 | 0.97619110705461 |
| 39 | 104.2 | 102.472599116444 | 127.841666666667 | 0.80155869200008 | 1.01685719790901 |
| 40 | 104.8 | 114.110591205968 | 129.725 | 0.879634543888747 | 0.918407300255221 |
| 41 | 131.4 | 129.189253628385 | 131.145833333333 | 0.985080885490468 | 1.01711246337852 |
| 42 | 141.2 | 144.123302722436 | 132.833333333333 | 1.08499349602838 | 0.979716654647682 |
| 43 | 132.7 | 130.234296681102 | 134.691666666667 | 0.96690686145717 | 1.01893282631176 |
| 44 | 135.7 | 139.422448711528 | 136.120833333333 | 1.02425503354148 | 0.973300937216864 |
| 45 | 136.9 | 133.852946126130 | 137.6 | 0.972768503823616 | 1.02276418982216 |
| 46 | 151.2 | 143.503878469027 | 139.2875 | 1.0302710470719 | 1.05363005943170 |
| 47 | 144 | 147.454370867839 | 140.554166666667 | 1.04909284701276 | 0.976573289435176 |
| 48 | 201.5 | 204.133522718892 | 141.795833333333 | 1.43962990956875 | 0.987099018897945 |
| 49 | 149.6 | 145.762000219515 | 143.1 | 1.01860237749486 | 1.02633059216192 |
| 50 | 108.7 | 107.731509950508 | 144.179166666667 | 0.747205802621793 | 1.00898984939445 |
| 51 | 122.8 | 116.473157603378 | 145.308333333333 | 0.80155869200008 | 1.05432017579678 |
| 52 | 126.7 | 128.514606862146 | 146.1 | 0.879634543888747 | 0.985880150852483 |
| 53 | 139.9 | 144.806890167099 | 147 | 0.985080885490468 | 0.96611424938802 |
| 54 | 162.5 | 161.257158347217 | 148.625 | 1.08499349602838 | 1.00770720298882 |
| 55 | 142.7 | 144.886964410767 | 149.845833333333 | 0.96690686145717 | 0.984905719988948 |
| 56 | 151.6 | 154.235737134121 | 150.583333333333 | 1.02425503354148 | 0.982910982998517 |
| 57 | 148.1 | 146.823192843778 | 150.933333333333 | 0.972768503823616 | 1.00869622252106 |
| 58 | 159 | 156.966086817433 | 152.354166666667 | 1.0302710470719 | 1.01295765998761 |
| 59 | 157.8 | 162.189754148172 | 154.6 | 1.04909284701276 | 0.972934454637855 |
| 60 | 226.7 | 224.726228883682 | 156.1 | 1.43962990956875 | 1.00878300288365 |
| 61 | 153.7 | 160.833071229866 | 157.895833333333 | 1.01860237749486 | 0.955649225776014 |
| 62 | 122.3 | 119.331880036211 | 159.704166666667 | 0.747205802621793 | 1.02487281657582 |
| 63 | 117.6 | 129.141124764863 | 161.1125 | 0.80155869200008 | 0.910631684632787 |
| 64 | 166 | 142.434823519185 | 161.925 | 0.879634543888747 | 1.16544533070342 |
| 65 | 154.5 | 160.326018617263 | 162.754166666667 | 0.985080885490468 | 0.963661427711423 |
| 66 | 183.9 | 177.681247393347 | 163.7625 | 1.08499349602838 | 1.03499948755361 |
| 67 | 164.4 | 159.342221989552 | 164.795833333333 | 0.96690686145717 | 1.03174160588008 |
| 68 | 173.3 | 169.360569796084 | 165.35 | 1.02425503354148 | 1.02326061023920 |
| 69 | 160.2 | 161.836253419456 | 166.366666666667 | 0.972768503823616 | 0.989889450695484 |
| 70 | 166.4 | 171.346953516145 | 166.3125 | 1.0302710470719 | 0.97112902555528 |
| 71 | 170.3 | 174.206238466664 | 166.054166666667 | 1.04909284701276 | 0.977576931222174 |
| 72 | 238.4 | 240.508171767329 | 167.0625 | 1.43962990956875 | 0.991234510861573 |
| 73 | 166.8 | 170.531014698932 | 167.416666666667 | 1.01860237749486 | 0.97812119569265 |
| 74 | 122.5 | 125.645769068365 | 168.154166666667 | 0.747205802621793 | 0.97496319142546 |
| 75 | 141.8 | 135.840819498830 | 169.470833333333 | 0.80155869200008 | 1.04386884975485 |
| 76 | 140.5 | 150.351534414184 | 170.925 | 0.879634543888747 | 0.93447666196046 |
| 77 | 173.8 | 170.148095946341 | 172.725 | 0.985080885490468 | 1.02146309092293 |
| 78 | 188.8 | 189.756320842896 | 174.891666666667 | 1.08499349602838 | 0.994960268840332 |
| 79 | 168 | 171.243233942654 | 177.104166666667 | 0.96690686145717 | 0.981060659344122 |
| 80 | 187.4 | 183.350186462538 | 179.008333333333 | 1.02425503354148 | 1.02208786157024 |
| 81 | 177.7 | 176.042726777380 | 180.970833333333 | 0.972768503823616 | 1.00941403972182 |
| 82 | 183.8 | 188.659799902983 | 183.116666666667 | 1.0302710470719 | 0.97424040571716 |
| 83 | 196.1 | 193.833017146195 | 184.7625 | 1.04909284701276 | 1.01169554540904 |
| 84 | 264.6 | 269.480723697401 | 187.1875 | 1.43962990956875 | 0.981888412534913 |
| 85 | 193.7 | 193.632067785201 | 190.095833333333 | 1.01860237749486 | 1.00035083142775 |
| 86 | 141.3 | 143.622295336441 | 192.2125 | 0.747205802621793 | 0.98383053737582 |
| 87 | 170.1 | 155.736174199849 | 194.291666666667 | 0.80155869200008 | 1.09223178798343 |
| 88 | 163.7 | 172.866513593803 | 196.520833333333 | 0.879634543888747 | 0.946973457130382 |
| 89 | 190.1 | 195.706840421129 | 198.670833333333 | 0.985080885490468 | 0.971350820395117 |
| 90 | 230.7 | 217.758194652895 | 200.7 | 1.08499349602838 | 1.05943200148097 |
| 91 | 195.9 | 195.391732807547 | 202.079166666667 | 0.96690686145717 | 1.00260127276190 |
| 92 | 210.3 | 208.286528799967 | 203.354166666667 | 1.02425503354148 | 1.00966683352800 |
| 93 | 204.7 | 197.82463485883 | 203.3625 | 0.972768503823616 | 1.03475484813141 |
| 94 | 210.3 | 209.977824985312 | 203.808333333333 | 1.0302710470719 | 1.00153432875453 |
| 95 | 221.2 | 216.226778209721 | 206.108333333333 | 1.04909284701276 | 1.02300002724665 |
| 96 | 288.2 | 297.967400532992 | 206.975 | 1.43962990956875 | 0.967219902192251 |
| 97 | 203.2 | 211.393946742767 | 207.533333333333 | 1.01860237749486 | 0.96123849869392 |
| 98 | 162.4 | 156.088178810182 | 208.895833333333 | 0.747205802621793 | 1.04043753497498 |
| 99 | 149.2 | 168.257188934467 | 209.9125 | 0.80155869200008 | 0.886737743242048 |
| 100 | 195.3 | 185.324337821628 | 210.683333333333 | 0.879634543888747 | 1.05382812800321 |
| 101 | 213.7 | 208.258412703753 | 211.4125 | 0.985080885490468 | 1.02612901551299 |
| 102 | 227.9 | 230.750991767835 | 212.675 | 1.08499349602838 | 0.987644725831978 |
| 103 | 212.1 | NA | NA | 0.96690686145717 | NA |
| 104 | 226.8 | NA | NA | 1.02425503354148 | NA |
| 105 | 212.6 | NA | NA | 0.972768503823616 | NA |
| 106 | 220.9 | NA | NA | 1.0302710470719 | NA |
| 107 | 228.1 | NA | NA | 1.04909284701276 | NA |
| 108 | 311.6 | NA | NA | 1.43962990956875 | NA |
