| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1431 | 0 | 144 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 206010 | 207466.67020455 | -278.167016693425 | 204831.496812144 | 1456.67020454953 |
| 2 | 198112 | 197788.980184734 | -4093.16961067612 | 202528.189425942 | -323.019815265812 |
| 3 | 194519 | 196956.873667936 | -8143.75570767551 | 200224.88203974 | 2437.87366793552 |
| 4 | 185705 | 185176.525741265 | -11724.450699345 | 197957.92495808 | -528.474258734786 |
| 5 | 180173 | 180989.178167715 | -16334.146044135 | 195690.96787642 | 816.17816771532 |
| 6 | 176142 | 172992.538082139 | -14155.6645696925 | 193447.126487553 | -3149.4619178607 |
| 7 | 203401 | 197205.061210806 | 18393.6536905069 | 191203.285098687 | -6195.93878919352 |
| 8 | 221902 | 227689.606790312 | 27148.947749881 | 188965.445459807 | 5787.60679031172 |
| 9 | 197378 | 196773.399263554 | 11254.9949155186 | 186727.605820928 | -604.600736446358 |
| 10 | 185001 | 182588.154967493 | 2771.38997611625 | 184642.455056391 | -2412.84503250709 |
| 11 | 176356 | 174907.246004056 | -4752.55029590942 | 182557.304291854 | -1448.75399594445 |
| 12 | 180449 | 180322.124943311 | -87.0840112223662 | 180662.959067911 | -126.875056688761 |
| 13 | 180144 | 181797.553172725 | -278.167016693425 | 178768.613843968 | 1653.55317272508 |
| 14 | 173666 | 174404.670375606 | -4093.16961067612 | 177020.49923507 | 738.670375606336 |
| 15 | 165688 | 164247.371081504 | -8143.75570767551 | 175272.384626171 | -1440.62891849573 |
| 16 | 161570 | 161224.159464909 | -11724.450699345 | 173640.291234436 | -345.840535091178 |
| 17 | 156145 | 156615.948201434 | -16334.146044135 | 172008.197842701 | 470.948201433755 |
| 18 | 153730 | 151116.353631337 | -14155.6645696925 | 170499.310938355 | -2613.64636866277 |
| 19 | 182698 | 178011.922275484 | 18393.6536905069 | 168990.424034009 | -4686.07772451613 |
| 20 | 200765 | 206597.833618486 | 27148.947749881 | 167783.218631633 | 5832.83361848575 |
| 21 | 176512 | 175192.991855224 | 11254.9949155186 | 166576.013229257 | -1319.0081447757 |
| 22 | 166618 | 164599.574581043 | 2771.38997611625 | 165865.035442841 | -2018.42541895696 |
| 23 | 158644 | 156886.492639485 | -4752.55029590942 | 165154.057656424 | -1757.50736051492 |
| 24 | 159585 | 154470.238820171 | -87.0840112223662 | 164786.845191051 | -5114.76117982893 |
| 25 | 163095 | 162048.534291015 | -278.167016693425 | 164419.632725678 | -1046.46570898479 |
| 26 | 159044 | 157557.678723512 | -4093.16961067612 | 164623.490887164 | -1486.32127648807 |
| 27 | 155511 | 154338.406659025 | -8143.75570767551 | 164827.34904865 | -1172.59334097468 |
| 28 | 153745 | 153324.816630088 | -11724.450699345 | 165889.634069257 | -420.183369912265 |
| 29 | 150569 | 150520.226954271 | -16334.146044135 | 166951.919089864 | -48.7730457294674 |
| 30 | 150605 | 146815.506467788 | -14155.6645696925 | 168550.158101905 | -3789.49353221231 |
| 31 | 179612 | 170681.949195548 | 18393.6536905069 | 170148.397113945 | -8930.05080445198 |
| 32 | 194690 | 190408.030298901 | 27148.947749881 | 171823.021951218 | -4281.96970109915 |
| 33 | 189917 | 195081.35829599 | 11254.9949155186 | 173497.646788491 | 5164.35829599033 |
| 34 | 184128 | 190371.046035169 | 2771.38997611625 | 175113.563988715 | 6243.04603516863 |
| 35 | 175335 | 178693.06910697 | -4752.55029590942 | 176729.481188939 | 3358.06910697027 |
| 36 | 179566 | 180957.136367289 | -87.0840112223662 | 178261.947643933 | 1391.13636728906 |
| 37 | 181140 | 182763.752917766 | -278.167016693425 | 179794.414098927 | 1623.75291776596 |
| 38 | 177876 | 178718.257423676 | -4093.16961067612 | 181126.912187 | 842.257423675648 |
| 39 | 175041 | 175766.345432602 | -8143.75570767551 | 182459.410275073 | 725.345432602015 |
| 40 | 169292 | 166668.018241632 | -11724.450699345 | 183640.432457713 | -2623.9817583682 |
| 41 | 166070 | 163652.691403782 | -16334.146044135 | 184821.454640353 | -2417.308596218 |
| 42 | 166972 | 161911.043992117 | -14155.6645696925 | 186188.620577576 | -5060.95600788333 |
| 43 | 206348 | 206746.559794695 | 18393.6536905069 | 187555.786514799 | 398.559794694505 |
| 44 | 215706 | 215179.038356473 | 27148.947749881 | 189084.013893646 | -526.961643526593 |
| 45 | 202108 | 202348.763811989 | 11254.9949155186 | 190612.241272492 | 240.763811988989 |
| 46 | 195411 | 195778.510991754 | 2771.38997611625 | 192272.09903213 | 367.510991753603 |
| 47 | 193111 | 197042.593504142 | -4752.55029590942 | 193931.956791768 | 3931.59350414155 |
| 48 | 195198 | 194679.486309874 | -87.0840112223662 | 195803.597701348 | -518.513690125983 |
| 49 | 198770 | 200142.928405765 | -278.167016693425 | 197675.238610929 | 1372.92840576463 |
| 50 | 194163 | 192731.08554041 | -4093.16961067612 | 199688.084070266 | -1431.91445959028 |
| 51 | 190420 | 187282.826178072 | -8143.75570767551 | 201700.929529604 | -3137.17382192847 |
| 52 | 189733 | 187596.222054355 | -11724.450699345 | 203594.22864499 | -2136.77794564533 |
| 53 | 186029 | 182904.618283758 | -16334.146044135 | 205487.527760377 | -3124.38171624174 |
| 54 | 191531 | 190054.630355666 | -14155.6645696925 | 207163.034214027 | -1476.36964433431 |
| 55 | 232571 | 237909.805641816 | 18393.6536905069 | 208838.540667677 | 5338.80564181629 |
| 56 | 243477 | 249420.14867662 | 27148.947749881 | 210384.903573499 | 5943.1486766203 |
| 57 | 227247 | 231307.738605161 | 11254.9949155186 | 211931.26647932 | 4060.73860516094 |
| 58 | 217859 | 219786.777614205 | 2771.38997611625 | 213159.832409679 | 1927.777614205 |
| 59 | 208679 | 207722.151955872 | -4752.55029590942 | 214388.398340037 | -956.848044127604 |
| 60 | 213188 | 211168.790521504 | -87.0840112223662 | 215294.293489719 | -2019.20947849617 |
| 61 | 216234 | 216545.978377293 | -278.167016693425 | 216200.1886394 | 311.978377293417 |
| 62 | 213586 | 213918.824633782 | -4093.16961067612 | 217346.344976895 | 332.824633781594 |
| 63 | 209465 | 208581.254393286 | -8143.75570767551 | 218492.501314389 | -883.74560671355 |
| 64 | 204045 | 199521.627831967 | -11724.450699345 | 220292.822867378 | -4523.37216803321 |
| 65 | 200237 | 194715.001623768 | -16334.146044135 | 222093.144420367 | -5521.99837623248 |
| 66 | 203666 | 197361.138860848 | -14155.6645696925 | 224126.525708845 | -6304.86113915205 |
| 67 | 241476 | 238398.439312172 | 18393.6536905069 | 226159.906997322 | -3077.56068782843 |
| 68 | 260307 | 265469.120695797 | 27148.947749881 | 227995.931554322 | 5162.12069579665 |
| 69 | 243324 | 245561.048973158 | 11254.9949155186 | 229831.956111323 | 2237.04897315841 |
| 70 | 244460 | 254791.490610072 | 2771.38997611625 | 231357.119413812 | 10331.4906100719 |
| 71 | 233575 | 239020.267579609 | -4752.55029590942 | 232882.282716301 | 5445.26757960866 |
| 72 | 237217 | 240598.562147116 | -87.0840112223662 | 233922.521864107 | 3381.56214711574 |
| 73 | 235243 | 235801.406004781 | -278.167016693425 | 234962.761011912 | 558.406004780962 |
| 74 | 230354 | 229413.365899866 | -4093.16961067612 | 235387.803710811 | -940.634100134455 |
| 75 | 227184 | 226698.909297967 | -8143.75570767551 | 235812.846409709 | -485.090702033194 |
| 76 | 221678 | 219297.740997635 | -11724.450699345 | 235782.70970171 | -2380.25900236546 |
| 77 | 217142 | 214865.573050423 | -16334.146044135 | 235752.572993712 | -2276.42694957732 |
| 78 | 219452 | 217766.87833946 | -14155.6645696925 | 235292.786230232 | -1685.12166053994 |
| 79 | 256446 | 259665.346842741 | 18393.6536905069 | 234832.999466753 | 3219.3468427406 |
| 80 | 265845 | 270556.842344276 | 27148.947749881 | 233984.209905843 | 4711.8423442757 |
| 81 | 248624 | 252857.584739547 | 11254.9949155186 | 233135.420344934 | 4233.58473954746 |
| 82 | 241114 | 247295.988264229 | 2771.38997611625 | 232160.621759655 | 6181.98826422874 |
| 83 | 229245 | 232056.727121533 | -4752.55029590942 | 231185.823174376 | 2811.72712153336 |
| 84 | 231805 | 233678.56145647 | -87.0840112223662 | 230018.522554753 | 1873.56145646982 |
| 85 | 219277 | 209980.945081564 | -278.167016693425 | 228851.221935129 | -9296.05491843558 |
| 86 | 219313 | 215499.736373526 | -4093.16961067612 | 227219.43323715 | -3813.26362647431 |
| 87 | 212610 | 207776.111168504 | -8143.75570767551 | 225587.644539172 | -4833.88883149633 |
| 88 | 214771 | 217769.088466773 | -11724.450699345 | 223497.362232572 | 2998.08846677345 |
| 89 | 211142 | 217211.066118164 | -16334.146044135 | 221407.079925971 | 6069.06611816364 |
| 90 | 211457 | 218120.427521818 | -14155.6645696925 | 218949.237047875 | 6663.42752181791 |
| 91 | 240048 | 245210.952139715 | 18393.6536905069 | 216491.394169778 | 5162.95213971534 |
| 92 | 240636 | 240582.051323018 | 27148.947749881 | 213541.000927101 | -53.948676982458 |
| 93 | 230580 | 239314.397400056 | 11254.9949155186 | 210590.607684425 | 8734.39740005642 |
| 94 | 208795 | 207748.87551774 | 2771.38997611625 | 207069.734506144 | -1046.12448225979 |
| 95 | 197922 | 197047.688968047 | -4752.55029590942 | 203548.861327862 | -874.311031952704 |
| 96 | 194596 | 189334.298929286 | -87.0840112223662 | 199944.785081937 | -5261.70107071422 |
| 97 | 194581 | 193099.458180682 | -278.167016693425 | 196340.708836011 | -1481.54181931759 |
| 98 | 185686 | 182461.980256938 | -4093.16961067612 | 193003.189353738 | -3224.01974306154 |
| 99 | 178106 | 174690.085836211 | -8143.75570767551 | 189665.669871464 | -3415.91416378881 |
| 100 | 172608 | 170170.110371966 | -11724.450699345 | 186770.340327379 | -2437.8896280335 |
| 101 | 167302 | 167063.135260842 | -16334.146044135 | 183875.010783293 | -238.864739157812 |
| 102 | 168053 | 168651.55974815 | -14155.6645696925 | 181610.104821543 | 598.55974814971 |
| 103 | 202300 | 206861.1474497 | 18393.6536905069 | 179345.198859793 | 4561.14744970039 |
| 104 | 202388 | 200033.737130964 | 27148.947749881 | 177593.315119155 | -2354.26286903585 |
| 105 | 182516 | 177935.573705965 | 11254.9949155186 | 175841.431378517 | -4580.42629403542 |
| 106 | 173476 | 169695.519957782 | 2771.38997611625 | 174485.090066102 | -3780.48004221777 |
| 107 | 166444 | 164511.801542223 | -4752.55029590942 | 173128.748753686 | -1932.19845777674 |
| 108 | 171297 | 170609.237822002 | -87.0840112223662 | 172071.84618922 | -687.762177997531 |
| 109 | 169701 | 168665.22339194 | -278.167016693425 | 171014.943624754 | -1035.77660806017 |
| 110 | 164182 | 162276.012608613 | -4093.16961067612 | 170181.157002063 | -1905.98739138682 |
| 111 | 161914 | 162624.385328303 | -8143.75570767551 | 169347.370379372 | 710.385328303179 |
| 112 | 159612 | 161996.551965578 | -11724.450699345 | 168951.898733767 | 2384.55196557756 |
| 113 | 151001 | 149779.718955972 | -16334.146044135 | 168556.427088163 | -1221.28104402765 |
| 114 | 158114 | 161374.133545677 | -14155.6645696925 | 169009.531024015 | 3260.13354567735 |
| 115 | 186530 | 185203.711349626 | 18393.6536905069 | 169462.634959868 | -1326.28865037448 |
| 116 | 187069 | 175873.504065381 | 27148.947749881 | 171115.548184738 | -11195.4959346191 |
| 117 | 174330 | 164636.543674873 | 11254.9949155186 | 172768.461409609 | -9693.45632512716 |
| 118 | 169362 | 160501.190111586 | 2771.38997611625 | 175451.419912297 | -8860.8098884137 |
| 119 | 166827 | 160272.171880923 | -4752.55029590942 | 178134.378414986 | -6554.82811907688 |
| 120 | 178037 | 174617.566858656 | -87.0840112223662 | 181543.517152567 | -3419.43314134417 |
| 121 | 186413 | 188151.511126547 | -278.167016693425 | 184952.655890147 | 1738.51112654665 |
| 122 | 189226 | 194035.884477418 | -4093.16961067612 | 188509.285133258 | 4809.88447741792 |
| 123 | 191563 | 199203.841331306 | -8143.75570767551 | 192065.91437637 | 7640.84133130588 |
| 124 | 188906 | 194287.695773808 | -11724.450699345 | 195248.754925537 | 5381.695773808 |
| 125 | 186005 | 189912.550569431 | -16334.146044135 | 198431.595474704 | 3907.55056943052 |
| 126 | 195309 | 203757.563973539 | -14155.6645696925 | 201016.100596154 | 8448.56397353881 |
| 127 | 223532 | 225069.74059189 | 18393.6536905069 | 203600.605717603 | 1537.74059189027 |
| 128 | 226899 | 221208.12224609 | 27148.947749881 | 205440.930004029 | -5690.87775391011 |
| 129 | 214126 | 209715.750794026 | 11254.9949155186 | 207281.254290455 | -4410.24920597387 |
| 130 | 206903 | 202577.247388052 | 2771.38997611625 | 208457.362635832 | -4325.75261194794 |
| 131 | 204442 | 204003.079314701 | -4752.55029590942 | 209633.470981208 | -438.920685298683 |
| 132 | 220375 | 230456.056663188 | -87.0840112223662 | 210381.027348034 | 10081.0566631883 |
| 133 | 214320 | 217789.583301833 | -278.167016693425 | 211128.58371486 | 3469.58330183334 |
| 134 | 212588 | 218320.430056142 | -4093.16961067612 | 210948.739554534 | 5732.43005614242 |
| 135 | 205816 | 209006.860313468 | -8143.75570767551 | 210768.895394207 | 3190.86031346818 |
| 136 | 202196 | 206210.366817123 | -11724.450699345 | 209906.083882222 | 4014.36681712308 |
| 137 | 195722 | 198734.873673898 | -16334.146044135 | 209043.272370237 | 3012.8736738984 |
| 138 | 198563 | 203186.429182857 | -14155.6645696925 | 208095.235386836 | 4623.42918285669 |
| 139 | 229139 | 232737.147906058 | 18393.6536905069 | 207147.198403435 | 3598.14790605815 |
| 140 | 229527 | 225850.238202535 | 27148.947749881 | 206054.814047584 | -3676.76179746535 |
| 141 | 211868 | 207518.575392748 | 11254.9949155186 | 204962.429691734 | -4349.42460725221 |
| 142 | 203555 | 200624.183414014 | 2771.38997611625 | 203714.426609869 | -2930.81658598565 |
| 143 | 195770 | 193826.126767904 | -4752.55029590942 | 202466.423528005 | -1943.87323209576 |
