| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 17 | 16.8189041196543 | 0.0912076185806569 | 0.0480403621867126 | 0.117992263574249 |
| 3 | 23 | 21.5751478045096 | 1.02599281784352 | 0.11538603093639 | 0.909848580676293 |
| 4 | 24 | 23.6194042612875 | 1.28719275188899 | 0.117119412526921 | 0.188105422110507 |
| 5 | 27 | 26.4973673964988 | 1.7375309530466 | 0.115354984624336 | 0.282991191503654 |
| 6 | 31 | 30.3800047722248 | 2.37028419874244 | 0.11243083439311 | 0.375132627188318 |
| 7 | 40 | 38.540368715094 | 4.10849204466902 | 0.106210306034056 | 1.00535608939563 |
| 8 | 47 | 46.0949416343831 | 5.15093603675348 | 0.10360976196454 | 0.596636938761412 |
| 9 | 43 | 44.4663977739943 | 3.09325927144279 | 0.107054102086662 | -1.17244837068779 |
| 10 | 60 | 57.5739710581868 | 6.13729349116615 | 0.103687965203531 | 1.73116925896938 |
| 11 | 64 | 63.8615128754061 | 6.18299516106835 | 0.103654800615645 | 0.0259698778553742 |
| 12 | 65 | 65.8646626405841 | 4.91119254403798 | 0.104258694594049 | -0.722449482914933 |
| 13 | 65 | 68.139149397587 | 4.14661781976435 | -2.55830288271316 | -0.530410140956923 |
| 14 | 55 | 57.5451793700634 | -0.114004135155964 | -0.141234495521304 | -2.09916133299504 |
| 15 | 57 | 57.1964219408155 | -0.184868926136985 | -0.142301638816791 | -0.0405202187611567 |
| 16 | 57 | 57.1177682356777 | -0.152518332986102 | -0.142369528191314 | 0.0183457137820035 |
| 17 | 57 | 57.1092747757382 | -0.108654699718851 | -0.142578557200022 | 0.0248437530770836 |
| 18 | 65 | 63.6195535475588 | 1.90581574295869 | -0.15082136958017 | 1.14216042302572 |
| 19 | 69 | 68.4714259509022 | 2.80220113563265 | -0.153470002565439 | 0.508656249576685 |
| 20 | 70 | 70.3636809249428 | 2.5253421825755 | -0.152913281285965 | -0.157173209799402 |
| 21 | 71 | 71.479031702085 | 2.09631308653295 | -0.152339942262533 | -0.243609811216449 |
| 22 | 71 | 71.6077784041141 | 1.49758031723914 | -0.151813516278726 | -0.340000792342195 |
| 23 | 73 | 73.143078049246 | 1.50905910396626 | -0.151820127573323 | 0.00651868068407722 |
| 24 | 68 | 69.3744835495099 | -0.0971211170214097 | -0.151215285885445 | -0.91214779112687 |
| 25 | 65 | 65.2919885711796 | -1.28239107221911 | 0.608828631088303 | -0.748299318746499 |
| 26 | 57 | 58.22915268166 | -2.98265052330271 | -0.152620059753036 | -0.885066327473196 |
| 27 | 41 | 43.8248388009016 | -6.44028247467356 | -0.186649890230214 | -1.97244702926666 |
| 28 | 21 | 24.2289479034855 | -10.4462776800871 | -0.181046398014057 | -2.272830217249 |
| 29 | 21 | 19.795307133977 | -8.61546673875535 | -0.186813129955735 | 1.03788164914021 |
| 30 | 17 | 16.0608539691079 | -7.12989700995922 | -0.190827042634025 | 0.842750395790024 |
| 31 | 9 | 9.14205855758652 | -7.06565853006861 | -0.190952331891495 | 0.0364621280715375 |
| 32 | 11 | 9.47887055140683 | -4.81311589615717 | -0.19394163495184 | 1.27892718998514 |
| 33 | 6 | 5.90670233125862 | -4.43548478216535 | -0.194274660704912 | 0.214436585222105 |
| 34 | -2 | -1.18952893172386 | -5.2452138956526 | -0.193804858334996 | -0.459829256519875 |
| 35 | 0 | -1.05296855994787 | -3.60734000719007 | -0.194427353506894 | 0.930140250807293 |
| 36 | 5 | 3.34050644059383 | -1.17231576352817 | -0.195032433872419 | 1.38285309273212 |
| 37 | 3 | 1.23239427867053 | -1.45281625712956 | 1.98094158300677 | -0.171234749324379 |
| 38 | 7 | 5.89421481848356 | 0.361468866114299 | -0.103065891057654 | 0.967507279110624 |
| 39 | 4 | 4.51042887305639 | -0.167596486403253 | -0.106938319913765 | -0.301465234863315 |
| 40 | 8 | 7.39961071118244 | 0.763109439668594 | -0.107908611134671 | 0.528172740598879 |
| 41 | 9 | 8.9306589939601 | 0.996917553368051 | -0.108457633818503 | 0.132605186292304 |
| 42 | 14 | 13.3239915402587 | 2.03064954488711 | -0.110539733066509 | 0.586588661427802 |
| 43 | 12 | 12.7197749022712 | 1.22881149074013 | -0.109374008098244 | -0.455189122175689 |
| 44 | 12 | 12.4550147919313 | 0.774296060044767 | -0.108924413360004 | -0.258076102779455 |
| 45 | 7 | 8.25966973152868 | -0.738084218890249 | -0.107930291588654 | -0.858822925557773 |
| 46 | 15 | 13.6811100820932 | 1.13647661048924 | -0.108740954589365 | 1.06453842257497 |
| 47 | 14 | 14.2420860313697 | 0.961325808988462 | -0.108691337458263 | -0.0994677355647124 |
| 48 | 19 | 18.373949436112 | 1.92628668104321 | -0.108870061458832 | 0.548003542704071 |
| 49 | 39 | 33.1652785110815 | 5.79747994253969 | 2.88942688706379 | 2.32245707002914 |
| 50 | 12 | 16.9804615567605 | -0.758747847409714 | -0.483924526763226 | -3.54431638502212 |
| 51 | 11 | 12.3794930158989 | -1.92445380156352 | -0.490716145837041 | -0.663775662082355 |
| 52 | 17 | 16.1682247915084 | -0.185065311944782 | -0.492161363222622 | 0.987241996228739 |
| 53 | 16 | 16.3966410167668 | -0.0591837925492021 | -0.492396984531823 | 0.0714133994709363 |
| 54 | 25 | 23.7736076840126 | 2.2040939785777 | -0.496030601682609 | 1.28450183974847 |
| 55 | 24 | 24.7744022260201 | 1.83789570724547 | -0.495606258250371 | -0.207900833698034 |
| 56 | 28 | 28.1415798714023 | 2.30329502351782 | -0.495973186555613 | 0.264265555816127 |
| 57 | 25 | 26.426627075754 | 1.08041014358021 | -0.495332504045457 | -0.69444049401996 |
| 58 | 31 | 30.745135554309 | 2.06589949796219 | -0.495672183760553 | 0.559650229594412 |
| 59 | 24 | 26.0600432927072 | 0.0112364730245047 | -0.495208271144148 | -1.16684177434916 |
| 60 | 24 | 24.7917462124555 | -0.37819681453236 | -0.495150782514451 | -0.221160351795789 |
