Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 16 | 9.22879857055996 | 7.56960299654242 | 15.2015984328976 | -6.77120142944004 |
2 | 17 | 15.6639420844331 | -0.918153609398782 | 19.2542115249657 | -1.33605791556694 |
3 | 23 | 26.499095139531 | -3.80591975656485 | 23.3068246170338 | 3.49909513953101 |
4 | 24 | 26.5211589442402 | -5.79558248048857 | 27.2744235362484 | 2.5211589442402 |
5 | 27 | 28.1432166059672 | -5.38523906143007 | 31.2420224554629 | 1.14321660596719 |
6 | 31 | 27.9933721894237 | -1.10790809852643 | 35.1145359091027 | -3.00662781057630 |
7 | 40 | 41.8435289491952 | -0.830578311937837 | 38.9870493627426 | 1.84352894919524 |
8 | 47 | 49.4682143068662 | 1.80644776712307 | 42.7253379260107 | 2.46821430686619 |
9 | 43 | 41.0928974426089 | -1.55652393188780 | 46.4636264892789 | -1.90710255739107 |
10 | 60 | 67.4725343304265 | 2.96860229427904 | 49.5588633752945 | 7.47253433042648 |
11 | 64 | 72.4521627226324 | 2.89373701605757 | 52.6541002613101 | 8.45216272263234 |
12 | 65 | 70.7375551554161 | 4.16150634286634 | 55.1009385017176 | 5.73755515541605 |
13 | 65 | 64.8826202613324 | 7.56960299654242 | 57.5477767421251 | -0.117379738667559 |
14 | 55 | 51.4446786264436 | -0.918153609398782 | 59.4734749829552 | -3.55532137355643 |
15 | 57 | 56.4067465327796 | -3.80591975656485 | 61.3991732237853 | -0.593253467220443 |
16 | 57 | 57.1084068166681 | -5.79558248048857 | 62.6871756638205 | 0.108406816668079 |
17 | 57 | 55.4100609575744 | -5.38523906143007 | 63.9751781038557 | -1.58993904242561 |
18 | 65 | 66.5281392357107 | -1.10790809852643 | 64.5797688628158 | 1.52813923571065 |
19 | 69 | 73.646218690162 | -0.830578311937837 | 65.1843596217759 | 4.64621869016196 |
20 | 70 | 73.4099411342622 | 1.80644776712307 | 64.7836110986147 | 3.4099411342622 |
21 | 71 | 79.1736613564342 | -1.55652393188780 | 64.3828625754536 | 8.17366135643422 |
22 | 71 | 76.8603505373465 | 2.96860229427904 | 62.1710471683745 | 5.86035053734646 |
23 | 73 | 83.147031222647 | 2.89373701605757 | 59.9592317612954 | 10.147031222647 |
24 | 68 | 75.9580605110555 | 4.16150634286634 | 55.8804331460781 | 7.95806051105556 |
25 | 65 | 70.6287624725968 | 7.56960299654242 | 51.8016345308608 | 5.6287624725968 |
26 | 57 | 68.5128612552755 | -0.918153609398782 | 46.4052923541233 | 11.5128612552755 |
27 | 41 | 44.796969579179 | -3.80591975656485 | 41.0089501773859 | 3.79696957917898 |
28 | 21 | 12.7857986727298 | -5.79558248048857 | 35.0097838077587 | -8.21420132727016 |
29 | 21 | 18.3746216232985 | -5.38523906143007 | 29.0106174381316 | -2.62537837670151 |
30 | 17 | 11.6870666610641 | -1.10790809852643 | 23.4208414374623 | -5.31293333893589 |
31 | 9 | 0.999512875144775 | -0.830578311937837 | 17.8310654367931 | -8.00048712485522 |
32 | 11 | 6.3537603858581 | 1.80644776712307 | 13.8397918470188 | -4.64623961414189 |
33 | 6 | 3.70800567464321 | -1.55652393188780 | 9.84851825724458 | -2.29199432535679 |
34 | -2 | -14.9963065330395 | 2.96860229427904 | 8.02770423876046 | -12.9963065330395 |
35 | 0 | -9.1006272363339 | 2.89373701605757 | 6.20689022027634 | -9.1006272363339 |
36 | 5 | -0.159007143869911 | 4.16150634286634 | 5.99750080100357 | -5.15900714386991 |
37 | 3 | -7.35771437827324 | 7.56960299654242 | 5.78811138173081 | -10.3577143782732 |
38 | 7 | 8.5195560071401 | -0.918153609398782 | 6.39859760225868 | 1.51955600714010 |
39 | 4 | 4.7968359337783 | -3.80591975656485 | 7.00908382278655 | 0.7968359337783 |
40 | 8 | 13.7298036139462 | -5.79558248048857 | 8.0657788665424 | 5.72980361394617 |
41 | 9 | 14.2627651511318 | -5.38523906143007 | 9.12247391029823 | 5.26276515113184 |
42 | 14 | 18.6752090893764 | -1.10790809852643 | 10.4326990091501 | 4.67520908937636 |
43 | 12 | 13.0876542039359 | -0.830578311937837 | 11.7429241080019 | 1.08765420393592 |
44 | 12 | 9.4356598932701 | 1.80644776712307 | 12.7578923396068 | -2.5643401067299 |
45 | 7 | 1.78366336067606 | -1.55652393188780 | 13.7728605712117 | -5.21633663932394 |
46 | 15 | 12.5128721653975 | 2.96860229427904 | 14.5185255403235 | -2.48712783460250 |
47 | 14 | 9.84207247450725 | 2.89373701605757 | 15.2641905094352 | -4.15792752549275 |
48 | 19 | 17.6152793429999 | 4.16150634286634 | 16.2232143141338 | -1.38472065700010 |
49 | 39 | 53.2481588846252 | 7.56960299654242 | 17.1822381188323 | 14.2481588846252 |
50 | 12 | 6.44415179136552 | -0.918153609398782 | 18.4740018180333 | -5.55584820863448 |
51 | 11 | 6.04015423933067 | -3.80591975656485 | 19.7657655172342 | -4.95984576066933 |
52 | 17 | 19.1941171911601 | -5.79558248048857 | 20.6014652893285 | 2.19411719116008 |
53 | 16 | 15.9480740000073 | -5.38523906143007 | 21.4371650614228 | -0.0519259999927186 |
54 | 25 | 29.0114424867354 | -1.10790809852643 | 22.0964656117911 | 4.01144248673537 |
55 | 24 | 26.0748121497785 | -0.830578311937837 | 22.7557661621593 | 2.0748121497785 |
56 | 28 | 30.8024378569234 | 1.80644776712307 | 23.3911143759535 | 2.80243785692343 |
57 | 25 | 27.5300613421401 | -1.55652393188780 | 24.0264625897476 | 2.53006134214015 |
58 | 31 | 34.410790408189 | 2.96860229427904 | 24.6206072975320 | 3.41079040818900 |
59 | 24 | 19.8915109786262 | 2.89373701605757 | 25.2147520053163 | -4.10848902137382 |
60 | 24 | 18.085099237513 | 4.16150634286634 | 25.7533944196206 | -5.91490076248698 |