| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1163 | 0.1014 | -0.0588 | -0.8404 | -0.0118 | -0.1359 | -0.5075 |
| (p-val) | (0.3221 ) | (0.3942 ) | (0.5653 ) | (0 ) | (0.958 ) | (0.312 ) | (0.0214 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.1165 | 0.1008 | -0.0584 | -0.8406 | 0 | -0.1314 | -0.5179 |
| (p-val) | (0.3212 ) | (0.3949 ) | (0.5669 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.2043 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.098 | 0.129 | 0 | -0.8645 | 0 | -0.1298 | -0.5236 |
| (p-val) | (0.3844 ) | (0.2346 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.2075 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.1675 | 0 | -1.1133 | 0 | -0.1304 | -0.5309 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0964 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.2047 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.1882 | 0 | -1.1158 | 0 | 0 | -0.5723 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0593 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1692 | 0 | 0 | -0.5888 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 771.389484344918 |
| -3281.65694519371 |
| 3994.37394743971 |
| 490.555472509792 |
| 243.947651221478 |
| 917.065594589796 |
| -1061.88000974403 |
| -395.748216644954 |
| 1679.72037294076 |
| -98.5435437054915 |
| -3233.88003807822 |
| 2463.58721705362 |
| 2227.95990650297 |
| 566.725234912552 |
| 2063.42456086961 |
| 86.1479005472823 |
| 507.728028605563 |
| -1245.31797342205 |
| -4603.60433959705 |
| 15806.8310652725 |
| 2263.78978886917 |
| -6598.26602144456 |
| -1378.12328132725 |
| -2386.37109399243 |
| -471.058460297129 |
| -330.963357334583 |
| -3929.42738447182 |
| -919.75281224926 |
| 1002.70300659338 |
| 7692.10432755103 |
| -9428.78667360814 |
| -1868.00302326715 |
| 1611.31880853065 |
| 3801.84923276073 |
| -3106.98730816543 |
| -978.58496897836 |
| -1470.54740956366 |
| -1559.05335886530 |
| 2417.17352206447 |
| -1412.81207280886 |
| 3293.41224668329 |
| 5096.37881889485 |
| -5585.1183201479 |
| -4544.9696046271 |
| -2251.52694411230 |
| -3717.8011198 |
| 1315.76621128704 |
| 263.273654410274 |
| 560.127191059162 |
| -1238.66079576039 |
| -3250.86921549741 |
| -409.604690563 |
| 1201.56984504019 |
| 488.513814164840 |
| 4971.99951004581 |
| -2860.81781833504 |
| 6684.03817425988 |
| -4464.38918400475 |
| -2503.82822493670 |
| -4421.66375971382 |
| -1427.09574651144 |
| 1284.70852365333 |
| -1471.07295268509 |
| -1002.31192200728 |
| -176.962161025442 |
| -114.507248725556 |
| -5163.05141377259 |
| -621.153802729883 |
| -1351.63471190373 |
| -1870.38888242760 |
| 508.914000015807 |
| -10565.6998988198 |
| 5865.64321631878 |
| 739.489671803976 |
| 6588.14188251013 |
| 1453.2822199329 |
| -2774.79987522725 |
| -7063.19148762174 |
| -9100.60059937427 |
| 9532.16782736551 |
| -11055.5687611001 |
| 704.374761591528 |
| -668.874638274081 |
| 7007.07598139324 |
| -3003.54206815292 |
| -1161.51394285816 |
| -110.680406569660 |
| 1356.48954882324 |
| 1920.39527104811 |
| 2771.17560130865 |
| -4975.39181208992 |
| -3567.26749052899 |
| 6846.10959683642 |
| 5800.08897392726 |
| 4535.81043506126 |
| 1172.94510364249 |
| -550.431239949031 |
| 3763.93091919042 |
| 1173.0212189402 |
| -4268.59853207317 |
| 5598.42650580579 |
| -4212.46970834935 |
| -4044.76249605023 |
| 4930.91121057795 |
| 6363.58097248712 |
| 4764.83853500815 |
| 6074.72552736334 |
| 6957.46284813835 |
| 3535.2175812337 |
| 1654.66432906125 |
| -3944.89737910637 |
| -515.690168086844 |
| 2614.14557653161 |
| -6099.24087123822 |
| -2319.34508929563 |
| 655.045922840503 |
| -800.40512000236 |
| 1315.75659063684 |
| 6753.14365367717 |
| -10641.0998919188 |
| -3006.47265561915 |
| -4419.82729630356 |
| -1434.70607709344 |
| -1126.75194859068 |
| -3213.68487362528 |
| 629.8734129375 |
| -1925.60334182790 |
| -3357.74894340599 |
| 498.269954437012 |
| -1862.82689981172 |
