| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0932 | 0.3598 | 0.0297 | 0.1517 | 0.233 | -0.995 |
| (p-val) | (0.2908 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.7832 ) | (0.1485 ) | (0.0151 ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.1045 | 0.3615 | 0 | 0.1404 | 0.2141 | -1.0002 |
| (p-val) | (0.4108 ) | (0.0044 ) | (NA ) | (0.4838 ) | (0.3632 ) | (0.0456 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.1087 | 0.3647 | 0 | 0 | 0.1459 | -0.7553 |
| (p-val) | (0.3962 ) | (0.004 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.4729 ) | (0.0028 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.0914 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7268 |
| (p-val) | (0.4714 ) | (0.0053 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0042 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.3634 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6813 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0036 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0016 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -885.692648535441 |
| 3702.23333345794 |
| -3196.50854218842 |
| 5075.85453966934 |
| 1169.04280770576 |
| -3829.92726619914 |
| -6905.28655731406 |
| -5879.95780033682 |
| 8815.9487208214 |
| -9411.86352437874 |
| -254.885622580242 |
| -331.063355025061 |
| 10033.8508683861 |
| -5503.83523980909 |
| -4780.15119430403 |
| -1355.9575032495 |
| 9.35629181972795 |
| 921.967064611034 |
| 1956.01973598303 |
| -4290.66785561062 |
| -6072.30625077928 |
| 7529.7019079664 |
| 5426.85541942918 |
| 2746.97414948546 |
| 1896.99994733992 |
| -2646.35194525197 |
| 2405.5781041046 |
| 598.67978103917 |
| -5239.81461868396 |
| 5925.06495606524 |
| -3794.03040664927 |
| -3952.26153164799 |
| 4887.10045124692 |
| 7976.557213682 |
| 5075.29754964752 |
| 6108.63507418954 |
| 8814.7728390435 |
| 3418.99450833687 |
| 2115.13436442705 |
| -3209.1037427721 |
| 461.671199394115 |
| 5823.4946685737 |
| -4940.71360592776 |
| -659.913654573223 |
| 3141.40126341688 |
| 2312.65172539663 |
| 3791.53744559121 |
| 9645.77658345436 |
| -8521.42871847936 |
| -2367.12861395101 |
| -2149.66802580067 |
| -818.520076395218 |
| 32.0398327813481 |
| -1632.08748391606 |
| 665.539591915209 |
| -1388.18270455393 |
| -3168.26925239115 |
| 2027.48283017496 |
| -809.975863513937 |
