Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	6.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	3.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	6.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	12.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	14.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	16.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	18.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	19.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	15.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	11.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	9.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	2.9	4.824	0.8268	8.8213	0.1727	0.0084	0.8395	0.0084
46	0.1	5.0639	0.861	9.2667	0.0103	0.8435	0.9791	0.0153
47	2.5	5.8665	1.5353	10.1976	0.0638	0.9955	0.8475	0.0414
48	6.7	7.1379	2.7254	11.5503	0.4229	0.9803	0.5771	0.1275
49	10.3	11.198	6.7336	15.6625	0.3467	0.9759	0.2838	0.7446
50	11.2	15.9838	11.4859	20.4816	0.0186	0.9934	0.7549	0.9969
51	17.4	16.6194	12.1	21.1389	0.3675	0.9906	0.5207	0.9987
52	20.5	18.5791	14.0456	23.1125	0.2031	0.6949	0.4791	0.9999
53	17	18.5918	14.0494	23.1343	0.2461	0.2052	0.3637	0.9999
54	14.2	14.9478	10.3994	19.4961	0.3736	0.1882	0.3567	0.9881
55	10.6	10.9873	6.4352	15.5394	0.4338	0.0833	0.4464	0.7103
56	6.1	8.2086	3.654	12.7632	0.1821	0.1517	0.2605	0.2605

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
45	0.4228	-0.3988	0	3.7019	0	0
46	0.4235	-0.9803	0.6895	24.6398	14.1709	3.7644
47	0.3767	-0.5738	0.651	11.333	13.2249	3.6366
48	0.3154	-0.0613	0.5036	0.1917	9.9666	3.157
49	0.2034	-0.0802	0.4189	0.8065	8.1346	2.8521
50	0.1436	-0.2993	0.399	22.8843	10.5929	3.2547
51	0.1387	0.047	0.3487	0.6093	9.1666	3.0276
52	0.1245	0.1034	0.318	3.69	8.4821	2.9124
53	0.1247	-0.0856	0.2922	2.5339	7.8212	2.7966
54	0.1552	-0.05	0.268	0.5591	7.095	2.6636
55	0.2114	-0.0352	0.2468	0.15	6.4636	2.5424
56	0.2831	-0.2569	0.2477	4.4462	6.2955	2.5091