| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.9218 | -0.2541 | 0.2157 | -0.535 | 1.0942 | -0.0948 | -0.9625 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.1436 ) | (0.0964 ) | (0.0054 ) | (0 ) | (0.5709 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.9408 | -0.2714 | 0.2214 | -0.5531 | 0.9937 | 0 | -0.8719 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.112 ) | (0.0859 ) | (0.0025 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.7246 | 0 | 0.1258 | -0.438 | 0.9938 | 0 | -0.8665 |
| (p-val) | (0.0017 ) | (NA ) | (0.3487 ) | (0.1592 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.8948 | 0 | 0 | -0.6114 | 0.9916 | 0 | -0.8428 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 9.78198008433112 |
| 77.2970173212448 |
| 50.8666662358049 |
| 21.0524971784537 |
| 25.6484079434653 |
| 48.6791181412395 |
| 269.345295722701 |
| 80.8521667245227 |
| -165.539158498036 |
| 73.068744742929 |
| -1.09964640123293 |
| 125.68516791323 |
| 96.1977532884494 |
| -98.0154393966773 |
| 18.3207820507893 |
| 116.379571742072 |
| -8.10861357648774 |
| -147.220474036072 |
| -50.4776689000662 |
| -128.226647744198 |
| 231.612862375596 |
| -289.808843391234 |
| -67.9987543741645 |
| -195.308887020891 |
| 9.88340684400728 |
| -138.366274545724 |
| -20.1567410191485 |
| -16.1932751259041 |
| -190.177960778618 |
| -69.5787674102214 |
| 408.62854527976 |
| 113.714978654897 |
| -19.3236008266522 |
| 58.1485773171268 |
| 11.2649760279543 |
| 148.920519054005 |
| 308.400239219631 |
| 25.0606231440283 |
| 1.12494678461705 |
| -32.050975886678 |
| -267.176323581298 |
| -33.9703795932856 |
| 304.689632793074 |
| -7.3438451688113 |
| -102.926329013586 |
| -86.623772545878 |
| 71.8004278972441 |
| 166.438385861336 |
| 148.994913456813 |
| 127.954134388137 |
| -24.5573667449223 |
| -16.8680877929267 |
| 216.545340712892 |
| 193.475898556614 |
| -25.9095444940763 |
| -142.29469645534 |
| -176.913097010979 |
| 126.202122389915 |
| 163.732620657264 |
| 74.2533383392611 |
| -101.463950445483 |
| -27.9280624796273 |
| -47.2818390275224 |
| -66.2801583388192 |
| 111.518755286302 |
| -77.8908665643403 |
| 140.991365937297 |
| 1.17083053573795 |
| -394.295917941613 |
| 117.174633737369 |
| -19.8827303761295 |
