Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[59])
47	26008	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	26632	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	27010	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	27041	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	27244	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	26976	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	26715	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	27017	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	27714	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	27655	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	27103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	27088	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	26968	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	27770	27300.0426	26772.9717	27827.1134	0.0403	0.8915	0.9935	0.8915
61	27616	27349.154	26500.0159	28198.2921	0.269	0.1657	0.7831	0.8105
62	27481	27276.946	26117.0777	28436.8144	0.3651	0.2833	0.6549	0.6992
63	27279	27227.6908	25748.3244	28707.0572	0.4729	0.3686	0.4914	0.6346
64	26918	27152.7595	25344.0003	28961.5187	0.3996	0.4456	0.5759	0.5793
65	26503	26965.9317	24818.3136	29113.5497	0.3363	0.5174	0.5906	0.4992
66	26547	26945.7934	24450.755	29440.8317	0.377	0.636	0.4777	0.493
67	27467	27634.5314	24784.5517	30484.511	0.4541	0.7727	0.4782	0.6767
68	27305	27587.1409	24375.7518	30798.53	0.4316	0.5292	0.4835	0.6472
69	26259	27146.4244	23568.1768	30724.6719	0.3135	0.4654	0.5095	0.5389
70	26048	27131.9879	23182.4023	31081.5735	0.2953	0.6676	0.5087	0.5324
71	25743	27098.6425	22774.1558	31423.1292	0.2695	0.683	0.5236	0.5236

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
60	0.0099	0.0172	0	220859.9719	0	0
61	0.0158	0.0098	0.0135	71206.7821	146033.377	382.1431
62	0.0217	0.0075	0.0115	41638.0281	111234.9274	333.519
63	0.0277	0.0019	0.0091	2632.6368	84084.3547	289.973
64	0.034	-0.0086	0.009	55112.0278	78289.8893	279.8033
65	0.0406	-0.0172	0.0104	214305.7353	100959.197	317.7408
66	0.0472	-0.0148	0.011	159036.164	109255.9066	330.5388
67	0.0526	-0.0061	0.0104	28066.7549	99107.2626	314.8131
68	0.0594	-0.0102	0.0104	79603.5038	96940.1783	311.3522
69	0.0673	-0.0327	0.0126	787522.0326	165998.3637	407.429
70	0.0743	-0.04	0.0151	1175029.7725	257728.4918	507.6697
71	0.0814	-0.05	0.018	1837766.6574	389398.3389	624.0179