| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.8475 | 0.0256 | 0.078 | -0.6379 | 0.1637 | 0.0433 | -0.9996 |
| (p-val) | (4e-04 ) | (0.8876 ) | (0.6171 ) | (6e-04 ) | (0.4391 ) | (0.8631 ) | (0.1614 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.8669 | 0 | 0.0864 | -0.645 | 0.1562 | 0.0369 | -0.9997 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.5458 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.4444 ) | (0.8805 ) | (0.159 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.8715 | 0 | 0.0853 | -0.652 | 0.1408 | 0 | -0.9963 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.5472 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.4197 ) | (NA ) | (0.2803 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.9661 | 0 | 0 | -0.7149 | 0.1268 | 0 | -1.0003 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.4583 ) | (NA ) | (0.3879 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.9574 | 0 | 0 | -0.7067 | 0 | 0 | -1.3886 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0053 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -85.9957000216453 |
| 70.2510795229658 |
| -0.0143861484705009 |
| 118.867846417388 |
| 75.0433049678085 |
| -392.414837072862 |
| -313.156041993909 |
| -293.511566005601 |
| 505.456924205591 |
| -412.732340459047 |
| -122.705294323676 |
| -193.100521414426 |
| 148.879309036302 |
| -320.273405329754 |
| -329.159545176645 |
| -55.0390893542287 |
| -89.4564001987583 |
| -445.563692332315 |
| 294.936185519017 |
| -371.834328314559 |
| -369.906611724626 |
| 289.687015177511 |
| 158.066896280805 |
| 327.629752821995 |
| -237.342936512439 |
| -177.650979931292 |
| -20.652744827425 |
| 168.297359071538 |
| -165.451546975652 |
| 300.122755739604 |
| -106.332005408641 |
| -194.488411687466 |
| 197.918103199237 |
| 15.7601664266127 |
| 133.142607633855 |
| 391.722815488302 |
| 392.28906750519 |
| 32.6442830376096 |
| 183.644017159469 |
| -377.985307724636 |
| -112.077224664284 |
| 308.716251671379 |
| -83.1253255493116 |
| -68.1424837517489 |
| -184.627202902232 |
| -13.2056410802046 |
| -116.013573627134 |
| 374.628375322428 |
| -328.454819360483 |
| -92.902190601703 |
| -172.205814477346 |
| -188.23776341911 |
| -108.810223876208 |
| 122.663449389041 |
| 287.129624300427 |
| -108.966708695014 |
| -507.833860766208 |
| -30.6566638618051 |
| -83.794511561325 |
