| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 347553 | NA | NA | -3491.51844618055 | NA |
| 2 | 353245 | NA | NA | -2540.44552951389 | NA |
| 3 | 347966 | NA | NA | 3324.54405381944 | NA |
| 4 | 364343 | NA | NA | 11176.5544704861 | NA |
| 5 | 341713 | NA | NA | -12359.2085503472 | NA |
| 6 | 361162 | NA | NA | 648.390407986087 | NA |
| 7 | 354400 | 350140.528428819 | 356476.833333333 | -6336.3049045139 | 4259.4715711805 |
| 8 | 345183 | 345708.851345486 | 357603.833333333 | -11894.9819878472 | -525.851345486182 |
| 9 | 341807 | 344982.934678819 | 358893.708333333 | -13910.7736545139 | -3175.93467881944 |
| 10 | 348712 | 348653.523220486 | 360184.958333333 | -11531.4351128472 | 58.4767795139342 |
| 11 | 349011 | 352708.783637153 | 361201.416666667 | -8492.63302951389 | -3697.78363715281 |
| 12 | 416259 | 417719.770616319 | 362311.958333333 | 55407.8122829861 | -1460.77061631950 |
| 13 | 360289 | 360296.064887153 | 363787.583333333 | -3491.51844618055 | -7.06488715275191 |
| 14 | 367557 | 362890.804470486 | 365431.25 | -2540.44552951389 | 4666.19552951388 |
| 15 | 364611 | 370568.919053819 | 367244.375 | 3324.54405381944 | -5957.91905381944 |
| 16 | 378688 | 379983.429470486 | 368806.875 | 11176.5544704861 | -1295.42947048612 |
| 17 | 351763 | 357620.416449653 | 369979.625 | -12359.2085503472 | -5857.41644965269 |
| 18 | 377765 | 371714.223741319 | 371065.833333333 | 648.390407986087 | 6050.77625868062 |
| 19 | 373212 | 365880.195095486 | 372216.5 | -6336.3049045139 | 7331.80490451393 |
| 20 | 365819 | 361351.518012153 | 373246.5 | -11894.9819878472 | 4467.48198784725 |
| 21 | 364686 | 360431.684678819 | 374342.458333333 | -13910.7736545139 | 4254.31532118056 |
| 22 | 363333 | 363997.814887153 | 375529.25 | -11531.4351128472 | -664.81488715281 |
| 23 | 362536 | 368127.533637153 | 376620.166666667 | -8492.63302951389 | -5591.53363715281 |
| 24 | 428803 | 433299.520616319 | 377891.708333333 | 55407.8122829861 | -4496.5206163195 |
| 25 | 375361 | 375680.814887153 | 379172.333333333 | -3491.51844618055 | -319.814887152752 |
| 26 | 377205 | 378065.596137153 | 380606.041666667 | -2540.44552951389 | -860.596137152752 |
| 27 | 381266 | 385616.877387153 | 382292.333333333 | 3324.54405381944 | -4350.87738715269 |
| 28 | 390516 | 395400.304470486 | 384223.75 | 11176.5544704861 | -4884.30447048607 |
| 29 | 366117 | 374105.333116319 | 386464.541666667 | -12359.2085503472 | -7988.33311631944 |
| 30 | 393928 | 389683.598741319 | 389035.208333333 | 648.390407986087 | 4244.40125868056 |
| 31 | 387784 | 385232.570095486 | 391568.875 | -6336.3049045139 | 2551.42990451382 |
| 32 | 385656 | 382133.726345486 | 394028.708333333 | -11894.9819878472 | 3522.27365451388 |
| 33 | 385320 | 383114.934678819 | 397025.708333333 | -13910.7736545139 | 2205.06532118056 |
| 34 | 389053 | 388760.439887153 | 400291.875 | -11531.4351128472 | 292.56011284719 |
| 35 | 390595 | 395010.575303819 | 403503.208333333 | -8492.63302951389 | -4415.57530381938 |
| 36 | 462440 | 462138.187282986 | 406730.375 | 55407.8122829861 | 301.812717013934 |
| 37 | 402532 | 406064.148220486 | 409555.666666667 | -3491.51844618055 | -3532.14822048607 |
| 38 | 409070 | 409446.012803819 | 411986.458333333 | -2540.44552951389 | -376.012803819438 |
| 39 | 421329 | 417887.294053819 | 414562.75 | 3324.54405381944 | 3441.70594618062 |
| 40 | 428841 | 428283.429470486 | 417106.875 | 11176.5544704861 | 557.570529513876 |
| 41 | 404864 | 407289.624782986 | 419648.833333333 | -12359.2085503472 | -2425.62478298612 |
| 42 | 432633 | 423497.723741319 | 422849.333333333 | 648.390407986087 | 9135.27625868062 |
| 43 | 416886 | 419763.111762153 | 426099.416666667 | -6336.3049045139 | -2877.11176215281 |
| 44 | 414893 | 417053.351345486 | 428948.333333333 | -11894.9819878472 | -2160.35134548607 |
| 45 | 417914 | 417794.309678819 | 431705.083333333 | -13910.7736545139 | 119.690321180562 |
| 46 | 417518 | 422493.981553819 | 434025.416666667 | -11531.4351128472 | -4975.9815538195 |
| 47 | 423137 | 427915.283637153 | 436407.916666667 | -8492.63302951389 | -4778.28363715275 |
| 48 | 506710 | 494333.228949653 | 438925.416666667 | 55407.8122829861 | 12376.7710503472 |
| 49 | 436264 | 437973.398220486 | 441464.916666667 | -3491.51844618055 | -1709.39822048612 |
| 50 | 443712 | 441696.137803819 | 444236.583333333 | -2540.44552951389 | 2015.86219618056 |
| 51 | 452849 | 450062.002387153 | 446737.458333333 | 3324.54405381944 | 2786.99761284725 |
| 52 | 453009 | 460479.262803819 | 449302.708333333 | 11176.5544704861 | -7470.26280381938 |
| 53 | 437876 | 440787.874782986 | 453147.083333333 | -12359.2085503472 | -2911.87478298601 |
| 54 | 460041 | 457867.390407986 | 457219 | 648.390407986087 | 2173.60959201393 |
| 55 | 450426 | 454523.945095486 | 460860.25 | -6336.3049045139 | -4097.94509548618 |
| 56 | 447873 | 452853.559678819 | 464748.541666667 | -11894.9819878472 | -4980.5596788195 |
| 57 | 444955 | 454299.143012153 | 468209.916666667 | -13910.7736545139 | -9344.14301215275 |
| 58 | 452043 | 460042.606553819 | 471574.041666667 | -11531.4351128472 | -7999.60655381944 |
| 59 | 480877 | 466687.700303819 | 475180.333333333 | -8492.63302951389 | 14189.2996961806 |
| 60 | 546696 | 533946.728949653 | 478538.916666667 | 55407.8122829861 | 12749.2710503472 |
| 61 | 483668 | 478380.939887153 | 481872.458333333 | -3491.51844618055 | 5287.06011284731 |
| 62 | 489627 | 482789.971137153 | 485330.416666667 | -2540.44552951389 | 6837.02886284725 |
| 63 | 490007 | 492089.794053819 | 488765.25 | 3324.54405381944 | -2082.79405381944 |
| 64 | 496590 | 503451.221137153 | 492274.666666667 | 11176.5544704861 | -6861.22113715281 |
| 65 | 480846 | 482398.333116319 | 494757.541666667 | -12359.2085503472 | -1552.33311631944 |
| 66 | 497677 | 496619.640407986 | 495971.25 | 648.390407986087 | 1057.35959201393 |
| 67 | 492795 | 491081.111762153 | 497417.416666667 | -6336.3049045139 | 1713.88823784731 |
| 68 | 488495 | 487424.809678819 | 499319.791666667 | -11894.9819878472 | 1070.19032118056 |
| 69 | 486769 | 487315.684678819 | 501226.458333333 | -13910.7736545139 | -546.68467881938 |
| 70 | 494455 | 492011.398220486 | 503542.833333333 | -11531.4351128472 | 2443.60177951388 |
| 71 | 498054 | 497563.491970486 | 506056.125 | -8492.63302951389 | 490.508029513934 |
| 72 | 558648 | 563669.520616319 | 508261.708333333 | 55407.8122829861 | -5021.52061631944 |
| 73 | 506424 | 507016.398220486 | 510507.916666667 | -3491.51844618055 | -592.398220486008 |
| 74 | 512528 | 510224.471137153 | 512764.916666667 | -2540.44552951389 | 2303.52886284731 |
| 75 | 512866 | 518286.294053819 | 514961.75 | 3324.54405381944 | -5420.29405381944 |
| 76 | 529324 | 528422.096137153 | 517245.541666667 | 11176.5544704861 | 901.90386284719 |
| 77 | 508431 | 507262.374782986 | 519621.583333333 | -12359.2085503472 | 1168.62521701393 |
| 78 | 523026 | 525467.015407986 | 524818.625 | 648.390407986087 | -2441.01540798607 |
| 79 | 521355 | 523986.070095486 | 530322.375 | -6336.3049045139 | -2631.07009548612 |
| 80 | 514103 | 521234.184678819 | 533129.166666667 | -11894.9819878472 | -7131.18467881938 |
| 81 | 513885 | 522927.018012153 | 536837.791666667 | -13910.7736545139 | -9042.01801215275 |
| 82 | 522150 | 529385.648220486 | 540917.083333333 | -11531.4351128472 | -7235.64822048601 |
| 83 | 527384 | 535272.783637153 | 543765.416666667 | -8492.63302951389 | -7888.78363715287 |
| 84 | 654047 | 601629.562282986 | 546221.75 | 55407.8122829861 | 52417.4377170139 |
| 85 | 543115 | 545220.189887153 | 548711.708333333 | -3491.51844618055 | -2105.18988715287 |
| 86 | 543200 | 548626.63780382 | 551167.083333333 | -2540.44552951389 | -5426.6378038195 |
| 87 | 571201 | 557518.29405382 | 554193.75 | 3324.54405381944 | 13682.7059461805 |
| 88 | 568892 | 568982.054470486 | 557805.5 | 11176.5544704861 | -90.054470486124 |
| 89 | 537223 | 549099.583116319 | 561458.791666667 | -12359.2085503472 | -11876.5831163194 |
| 90 | 553186 | 563116.84874132 | 562468.458333333 | 648.390407986087 | -9930.8487413195 |
| 91 | 550954 | 556635.278428819 | 562971.583333333 | -6336.3049045139 | -5681.27842881938 |
| 92 | 543433 | 553631.351345486 | 565526.333333333 | -11894.9819878472 | -10198.3513454861 |
| 93 | 557195 | 553478.351345486 | 567389.125 | -13910.7736545139 | 3716.64865451399 |
| 94 | 565522 | 557817.689887153 | 569349.125 | -11531.4351128472 | 7704.31011284725 |
| 95 | 571691 | 563890.408637153 | 572383.041666667 | -8492.63302951389 | 7800.59136284725 |
| 96 | 633972 | 631912.062282986 | 576504.25 | 55407.8122829861 | 2059.93771701388 |
| 97 | 575265 | 577313.35655382 | 580804.875 | -3491.51844618055 | -2048.35655381950 |
| 98 | 572364 | 582128.929470486 | 584669.375 | -2540.44552951389 | -9764.929470486 |
| 99 | 586744 | 591628.252387153 | 588303.708333333 | 3324.54405381944 | -4884.25238715287 |
| 100 | 600389 | 602686.971137153 | 591510.416666667 | 11176.5544704861 | -2297.97113715275 |
| 101 | 578540 | 582457.916449653 | 594817.125 | -12359.2085503472 | -3917.91644965287 |
| 102 | 610778 | 599572.557074653 | 598924.166666667 | 648.390407986087 | 11205.4429253471 |
| 103 | 596577 | 597600.445095486 | 603936.75 | -6336.3049045139 | -1023.44509548612 |
| 104 | 590558 | 597923.93467882 | 609818.916666667 | -11894.9819878472 | -7365.9346788195 |
| 105 | 597294 | 602948.059678819 | 616858.833333333 | -13910.7736545139 | -5654.05967881938 |
| 106 | 602384 | 612973.814887153 | 624505.25 | -11531.4351128472 | -10589.8148871528 |
| 107 | 614190 | 623551.32530382 | 632043.958333333 | -8492.63302951389 | -9361.3253038195 |
| 108 | 690042 | 694147.062282986 | 638739.25 | 55407.8122829861 | -4105.06228298612 |
| 109 | 639497 | 641386.398220486 | 644877.916666667 | -3491.51844618055 | -1889.39822048612 |
| 110 | 649304 | 648895.01280382 | 651435.458333333 | -2540.44552951389 | 408.987196180504 |
| 111 | 678762 | 661238.16905382 | 657913.625 | 3324.54405381944 | 17523.8309461805 |
| 112 | 691885 | 675244.429470486 | 664067.875 | 11176.5544704861 | 16640.5705295139 |
| 113 | 667973 | 657554.291449653 | 669913.5 | -12359.2085503472 | 10418.7085503474 |
| 114 | 682032 | 676038.47374132 | 675390.083333333 | 648.390407986087 | 5993.52625868062 |
| 115 | 672651 | 674036.77842882 | 680373.083333333 | -6336.3049045139 | -1385.77842881950 |
| 116 | 671865 | 672853.18467882 | 684748.166666667 | -11894.9819878472 | -988.184678819496 |
| 117 | 671463 | 674249.768012153 | 688160.541666667 | -13910.7736545139 | -2786.76801215287 |
| 118 | 675917 | 678885.064887153 | 690416.5 | -11531.4351128472 | -2968.06488715275 |
| 119 | 680952 | 684313.658637153 | 692806.291666667 | -8492.63302951389 | -3361.65863715287 |
| 120 | 754718 | 750937.478949653 | 695529.666666667 | 55407.8122829861 | 3780.52105034713 |
| 121 | 694413 | 694793.648220486 | 698285.166666667 | -3491.51844618055 | -380.648220486124 |
| 122 | 699390 | 698703.554470486 | 701244 | -2540.44552951389 | 686.445529513876 |
| 123 | 710573 | 707251.335720486 | 703926.791666667 | 3324.54405381944 | 3321.66427951388 |
| 124 | 714217 | 717585.054470486 | 706408.5 | 11176.5544704861 | -3368.05447048612 |
| 125 | 702996 | 696506.08311632 | 708865.291666667 | -12359.2085503472 | 6489.91688368062 |
| 126 | 712370 | 711303.22374132 | 710654.833333333 | 648.390407986087 | 1066.77625868050 |
| 127 | 708445 | 705779.570095486 | 712115.875 | -6336.3049045139 | 2665.42990451399 |
| 128 | 707083 | 701686.268012153 | 713581.25 | -11894.9819878472 | 5396.73198784725 |
| 129 | 700632 | 700418.018012153 | 714328.791666667 | -13910.7736545139 | 213.981987847248 |
| 130 | 706309 | 703693.648220486 | 715225.083333333 | -11531.4351128472 | 2615.35177951399 |
| 131 | 709523 | 707823.82530382 | 716316.458333333 | -8492.63302951389 | 1699.17469618050 |
| 132 | 769096 | 772184.89561632 | 716777.083333333 | 55407.8122829861 | -3088.89561631950 |
| 133 | 715100 | 713758.773220486 | 717250.291666667 | -3491.51844618055 | 1341.22677951388 |
| 134 | 713872 | 715450.929470486 | 717991.375 | -2540.44552951389 | -1578.92947048612 |
| 135 | 714032 | 722292.460720486 | 718967.916666667 | 3324.54405381944 | -8260.46072048624 |
| 136 | 732269 | 731219.51280382 | 720042.958333333 | 11176.5544704861 | 1049.48719618062 |
| 137 | 711137 | 708855.249782986 | 721214.458333333 | -12359.2085503472 | 2281.75021701388 |
| 138 | 715284 | 722982.72374132 | 722334.333333333 | 648.390407986087 | -7698.7237413195 |
| 139 | 716888 | 717144.361762153 | 723480.666666667 | -6336.3049045139 | -256.361762152868 |
| 140 | 716426 | 713001.851345486 | 724896.833333333 | -11894.9819878472 | 3424.14865451399 |
| 141 | 714726 | 713054.018012153 | 726964.791666667 | -13910.7736545139 | 1671.98198784725 |
| 142 | 718016 | 717953.48155382 | 729484.916666667 | -11531.4351128472 | 62.5184461806202 |
| 143 | 725932 | 723124.57530382 | 731617.208333333 | -8492.63302951389 | 2807.42469618050 |
| 144 | 779564 | 789035.937282986 | 733628.125 | 55407.8122829861 | -9471.937282986 |
| 145 | 732144 | 732177.064887153 | 735668.583333333 | -3491.51844618055 | -33.0648871527519 |
| 146 | 730816 | 734937.554470486 | 737478 | -2540.44552951389 | -4121.55447048612 |
| 147 | 746719 | 742441.002387153 | 739116.458333333 | 3324.54405381944 | 4277.99761284725 |
| 148 | 760065 | 751954.88780382 | 740778.333333333 | 11176.5544704861 | 8110.1121961805 |
| 149 | 734516 | 729798.291449653 | 742157.5 | -12359.2085503472 | 4717.70855034725 |
| 150 | 740167 | 743903.432074653 | 743255.041666667 | 648.390407986087 | -3736.43207465287 |
| 151 | 740976 | 738105.611762153 | 744441.916666667 | -6336.3049045139 | 2870.38823784713 |
| 152 | 735764 | 733844.601345486 | 745739.583333333 | -11894.9819878472 | 1919.39865451388 |
| 153 | 734711 | 732614.726345486 | 746525.5 | -13910.7736545139 | 2096.27365451388 |
| 154 | 737916 | 735156.898220486 | 746688.333333333 | -11531.4351128472 | 2759.10177951399 |
| 155 | 739132 | 738440.408637153 | 746933.041666667 | -8492.63302951389 | 691.591362847248 |
| 156 | 792705 | 802777.77061632 | 747369.958333333 | 55407.8122829861 | -10072.7706163193 |
| 157 | 747488 | 744325.48155382 | 747817 | -3491.51844618055 | 3162.51844618062 |
| 158 | 746616 | 745871.346137153 | 748411.791666667 | -2540.44552951389 | 744.653862847248 |
| 159 | 749781 | 752389.752387153 | 749065.208333333 | 3324.54405381944 | -2608.75238715287 |
| 160 | 760911 | 760793.01280382 | 749616.458333333 | 11176.5544704861 | 117.987196180620 |
| 161 | 739543 | 737798.374782986 | 750157.583333333 | -12359.2085503472 | 1744.62521701399 |
| 162 | 745626 | 751309.97374132 | 750661.583333333 | 648.390407986087 | -5683.97374131938 |
| 163 | 746246 | 744767.52842882 | 751103.833333333 | -6336.3049045139 | 1478.47157118050 |
| 164 | 744769 | 739832.30967882 | 751727.291666667 | -11894.9819878472 | 4936.69032118062 |
| 165 | 741388 | 738615.30967882 | 752526.083333333 | -13910.7736545139 | 2772.69032118062 |
| 166 | 744469 | 741808.648220486 | 753340.083333333 | -11531.4351128472 | 2660.35177951399 |
| 167 | 745566 | 745709.57530382 | 754202.208333333 | -8492.63302951389 | -143.575303819380 |
| 168 | 798367 | 810570.812282986 | 755163 | 55407.8122829861 | -12203.8122829861 |
| 169 | 752440 | 752584.189887153 | 756075.708333333 | -3491.51844618055 | -144.189887152985 |
| 170 | 756627 | 754220.88780382 | 756761.333333333 | -2540.44552951389 | 2406.11219618050 |
| 171 | 758941 | 761011.04405382 | 757686.5 | 3324.54405381944 | -2070.04405381950 |
| 172 | 771287 | 769960.26280382 | 758783.708333333 | 11176.5544704861 | 1326.73719618050 |
| 173 | 749858 | 747438.791449653 | 759798 | -12359.2085503472 | 2419.20855034713 |
| 174 | 758370 | 761585.140407986 | 760936.75 | 648.390407986087 | -3215.14040798612 |
| 175 | 755407 | 755622.570095486 | 761958.875 | -6336.3049045139 | -215.570095486008 |
| 176 | 752063 | 750775.268012153 | 762670.25 | -11894.9819878472 | 1287.73198784736 |
| 177 | 756298 | 749285.55967882 | 763196.333333333 | -13910.7736545139 | 7012.44032118062 |
| 178 | 755892 | 751985.689887153 | 763517.125 | -11531.4351128472 | 3906.31011284725 |
| 179 | 758486 | 755352.158637153 | 763844.791666667 | -8492.63302951389 | 3133.84136284725 |
| 180 | 812777 | 819685.02061632 | 764277.208333333 | 55407.8122829861 | -6908.0206163195 |
| 181 | 762561 | 761180.23155382 | 764671.75 | -3491.51844618055 | 1380.76844618062 |
| 182 | 763579 | 762637.01280382 | 765177.458333333 | -2540.44552951389 | 941.987196180504 |
| 183 | 764615 | 768745.252387153 | 765420.708333333 | 3324.54405381944 | -4130.25238715264 |
| 184 | 773312 | 776966.221137153 | 765789.666666667 | 11176.5544704861 | -3654.22113715275 |
| 185 | 755697 | 754167.249782986 | 766526.458333333 | -12359.2085503472 | 1529.75021701388 |
| 186 | 762909 | 767569.22374132 | 766920.833333333 | 648.390407986087 | -4660.2237413195 |
| 187 | 760337 | 760915.320095486 | 767251.625 | -6336.3049045139 | -578.320095486008 |
| 188 | 759270 | 755838.976345486 | 767733.958333333 | -11894.9819878472 | 3431.02365451411 |
| 189 | 754929 | 754240.05967882 | 768150.833333333 | -13910.7736545139 | 688.94032118062 |
| 190 | 766116 | 757219.023220486 | 768750.458333333 | -11531.4351128472 | 8896.976779514 |
| 191 | 765945 | 761024.20030382 | 769516.833333333 | -8492.63302951389 | 4920.79969618062 |
| 192 | 814783 | 825460.02061632 | 770052.208333333 | 55407.8122829861 | -10677.0206163194 |
| 193 | 768494 | 766896.439887153 | 770387.958333333 | -3491.51844618055 | 1597.56011284713 |
| 194 | 769222 | 768096.679470486 | 770637.125 | -2540.44552951389 | 1125.32052951388 |
| 195 | 768977 | 774238.79405382 | 770914.25 | 3324.54405381944 | -5261.7940538195 |
| 196 | 783341 | 782116.38780382 | 770939.833333333 | 11176.5544704861 | 1224.61219618050 |
| 197 | 764061 | 758293.749782986 | 770652.958333333 | -12359.2085503472 | 5767.25021701388 |
| 198 | 767394 | 770947.34874132 | 770298.958333333 | 648.390407986087 | -3553.34874131938 |
| 199 | 763910 | 763767.070095486 | 770103.375 | -6336.3049045139 | 142.929904513876 |
| 200 | 761677 | 758300.643012153 | 770195.625 | -11894.9819878472 | 3376.35698784736 |
| 201 | 759173 | 756543.893012153 | 770454.666666667 | -13910.7736545139 | 2629.10698784725 |
| 202 | 762486 | 759385.689887153 | 770917.125 | -11531.4351128472 | 3100.31011284725 |
| 203 | 762690 | 762875.033637153 | 771367.666666667 | -8492.63302951389 | -185.033637152752 |
| 204 | 809542 | 827174.728949653 | 771766.916666667 | 55407.8122829861 | -17632.7289496528 |
| 205 | 769041 | NA | 772364.916666667 | NA | NA |
| 206 | 770889 | NA | 773073 | NA | NA |
| 207 | 773527 | NA | 773795.208333333 | NA | NA |
| 208 | 789890 | NA | 774707.708333333 | NA | NA |
| 209 | 768325 | NA | 775810.708333333 | NA | NA |
| 210 | 772712 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 211 | 772944 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 212 | 769637 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 213 | 768546 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 214 | 775013 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| 215 | 776635 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
