Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[65])
53919.32-------
54987.48-------
551020.62-------
561057.08-------
571036.19-------
581095.63-------
591115.1-------
601073.87-------
611104.49-------
621169.43-------
631186.69-------
641089.41-------
651030.71-------
661101.61011.0416890.64211118.55570.04940.360.66620.36
671049.331004.6128793.46851178.51660.30710.13720.42840.3843
681141.21002.5295710.07491227.16120.11310.34150.3170.4029
691183.261001.8564633.63831267.25490.09020.15170.39990.4156
701180.551001.6391559.68831301.27270.12090.11740.26930.4246
711258.511001.5689484.69031330.9230.06310.14340.24960.4312


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
660.05430.089608200.826100
670.08830.04450.0671999.6295100.227571.4159
680.11430.13830.090819229.49679809.983999.0454
690.13520.18110.113432907.270115584.3055124.8371
700.15260.17860.126432009.117418869.2678137.3655
710.16780.25650.148166018.704226727.5072163.4855