| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.6852 | -0.3279 | 0.2762 | -0.3563 | 0.0895 | -0.1865 | 0.0663 |
| (p-val) | (0.0111 ) | (0.0438 ) | (0.022 ) | (0.1645 ) | (0.8809 ) | (0.2517 ) | (0.9127 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.6844 | -0.328 | 0.2768 | -0.3563 | 0.1532 | -0.1949 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0111 ) | (0.0436 ) | (0.0216 ) | (0.1646 ) | (0.2777 ) | (0.1585 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.6725 | -0.3525 | 0.2925 | -0.3573 | 0 | -0.1862 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0119 ) | (0.0253 ) | (0.015 ) | (0.1629 ) | (NA ) | (0.1857 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.6304 | -0.3005 | 0.2798 | -0.3058 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0238 ) | (0.0502 ) | (0.0191 ) | (0.2557 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.3399 | -0.2059 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0054 ) | (0.0958 ) | (0.0653 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0.2778 | 0 | 0.1581 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0176 ) | (NA ) | (0.1692 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | 0.2683 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0238 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 1.20359932106199 |
| -21.6638247237165 |
| -16.6450141347066 |
| 41.9168972564926 |
| -6.15749226530593 |
| 46.6513862554311 |
| -31.2337012978571 |
| 12.3545893754822 |
| -30.9319965373606 |
| 50.7165064356741 |
| -14.3297029234047 |
| 35.567970618521 |
| -14.9677192358286 |
| 14.2370509355749 |
| 6.76512513439752 |
| -44.9844913416916 |
| 9.11985324243551 |
| 3.94037369329226 |
| 31.7730166757628 |
| 24.4672114900332 |
| 32.1700974096261 |
| 6.70187799259179 |
| 6.30132052356498 |
| 8.37508821797951 |
| -40.5477005342809 |
| 19.9746055423507 |
| 54.4562696154462 |
| 36.1303851535422 |
| -42.8946988254859 |
| -50.2310169466732 |
| 24.4471544201449 |
| 51.8717254386752 |
| 15.5757988572284 |
| -77.487215253366 |
| -2.16533627746981 |
| -89.8381801146838 |
| -12.1784117024729 |
| 7.40376876580035 |
| 79.2952847993531 |
| 4.8962541683693 |
| -123.234828508081 |
| 10.8778972891964 |
| 16.6171592116791 |
| -101.725746928485 |
| -163.25747102375 |
| -20.0546355274023 |
| 45.5723467061127 |
| -48.0681335304779 |
| -57.82915953322 |
| 86.8940808010605 |
| 69.73393049415 |
| 39.8679182686863 |
| -22.61886644828 |
| 56.2592520304472 |
| 6.87782559932168 |
| 27.2248218697422 |
| -41.7976287128447 |
| 60.0028675088715 |
| -2.80884122228144 |
| -43.3355443225801 |
| 32.67459098468 |
| 53.3544588060877 |
| 5.73880558619544 |
| -106.917184079207 |
| -41.9437561854143 |
| 84.4681724983086 |
| -56.5806349864959 |
| 115.673877507271 |
| 5.32705604174225 |
| -6.12901351819005 |
| 64.1848815733235 |
