Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.490123873180968 |
beta | 0.0117016559417254 |
gamma | 0.48466894728562 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
13 | 316.27 | 315.619353632479 | 0.65064636752129 |
14 | 316.81 | 316.4573905023 | 0.35260949770003 |
15 | 317.42 | 317.275541361277 | 0.144458638722881 |
16 | 318.87 | 318.857084356367 | 0.0129156436332778 |
17 | 319.87 | 319.930062397133 | -0.0600623971330378 |
18 | 319.43 | 319.522761017715 | -0.0927610177153042 |
19 | 318.01 | 317.392651255089 | 0.617348744910998 |
20 | 315.75 | 316.00704056251 | -0.257040562510156 |
21 | 314 | 314.93806326788 | -0.938063267880295 |
22 | 313.68 | 313.975753782891 | -0.295753782890813 |
23 | 314.84 | 315.272809285349 | -0.432809285348526 |
24 | 316.03 | 315.785208339915 | 0.244791660084729 |
25 | 316.73 | 316.866908201103 | -0.136908201103438 |
26 | 317.54 | 317.240469640863 | 0.299530359136838 |
27 | 318.38 | 317.976037321785 | 0.403962678214555 |
28 | 319.31 | 319.648621361675 | -0.33862136167528 |
29 | 320.42 | 320.525611124674 | -0.105611124673715 |
30 | 319.61 | 320.081986289154 | -0.471986289153733 |
31 | 318.42 | 317.933398918243 | 0.486601081756703 |
32 | 316.64 | 316.258782359435 | 0.381217640565296 |
33 | 314.83 | 315.329152881926 | -0.499152881926022 |
34 | 315.15 | 314.738026695876 | 0.411973304124331 |
35 | 315.95 | 316.34948042651 | -0.399480426509683 |
36 | 316.85 | 317.0472490057 | -0.197249005700371 |
37 | 317.78 | 317.817017612636 | -0.0370176126359638 |
38 | 318.4 | 318.34701342969 | 0.0529865703095993 |
39 | 319.53 | 318.985759980112 | 0.544240019888377 |
40 | 320.41 | 320.542602051311 | -0.132602051310926 |
41 | 320.85 | 321.578343084311 | -0.728343084311177 |
42 | 320.45 | 320.735586411055 | -0.285586411055192 |
43 | 319.44 | 318.912937317738 | 0.527062682262113 |
44 | 317.25 | 317.230033595774 | 0.0199664042258405 |
45 | 316.12 | 315.901640353626 | 0.218359646373983 |
46 | 315.27 | 315.887310082261 | -0.617310082260815 |
47 | 316.53 | 316.787824251422 | -0.257824251421994 |
48 | 317.53 | 317.599874153057 | -0.0698741530570715 |
49 | 318.58 | 318.46727589925 | 0.112724100750256 |
50 | 318.92 | 319.089371568564 | -0.169371568563747 |
51 | 319.7 | 319.735724838927 | -0.0357248389272513 |
52 | 321.22 | 320.832914709678 | 0.387085290321636 |
53 | 322.08 | 321.970991660223 | 0.109008339776608 |
54 | 321.31 | 321.647702806021 | -0.337702806020957 |
55 | 319.58 | 319.999681449297 | -0.419681449296888 |
56 | 317.61 | 317.721360266265 | -0.111360266265308 |
57 | 316.05 | 316.370793298954 | -0.320793298953731 |
58 | 315.83 | 315.875772920879 | -0.0457729208794717 |
59 | 316.91 | 317.138598822251 | -0.22859882225066 |
60 | 318.2 | 318.004938041601 | 0.195061958399208 |
61 | 319.41 | 319.042353461939 | 0.367646538061422 |
62 | 320.07 | 319.716181225981 | 0.35381877401926 |
63 | 320.74 | 320.651490458588 | 0.0885095414120656 |
64 | 321.4 | 321.914269351531 | -0.51426935153097 |
65 | 322.06 | 322.536896152256 | -0.476896152256018 |
66 | 321.73 | 321.807733410165 | -0.0777334101646261 |
67 | 320.27 | 320.260045250604 | 0.00995474939628593 |
68 | 318.54 | 318.264130423408 | 0.27586957659156 |
69 | 316.54 | 317.049458304164 | -0.509458304163843 |
70 | 316.71 | 316.526709589827 | 0.183290410173186 |
71 | 317.53 | 317.854716035073 | -0.324716035072811 |
72 | 318.55 | 318.776181464897 | -0.22618146489657 |
73 | 319.27 | 319.644908803802 | -0.374908803801929 |
74 | 320.28 | 319.942240667534 | 0.337759332466419 |
75 | 320.73 | 320.794888495666 | -0.0648884956655138 |
76 | 321.97 | 321.82341739966 | 0.146582600340366 |
77 | 322 | 322.772862833743 | -0.772862833743204 |
78 | 321.71 | 321.989267463414 | -0.279267463413646 |
79 | 321.05 | 320.355302561299 | 0.694697438701496 |
80 | 318.71 | 318.755467134038 | -0.045467134038347 |
81 | 317.65 | 317.182143651322 | 0.46785634867831 |
82 | 317.14 | 317.308112716185 | -0.168112716185476 |
83 | 318.71 | 318.33485328106 | 0.375146718940243 |
84 | 319.25 | 319.624206329527 | -0.374206329526771 |
85 | 320.46 | 320.383298720883 | 0.076701279117458 |
86 | 321.43 | 321.080350161156 | 0.349649838843561 |
87 | 322.22 | 321.841650562462 | 0.378349437538304 |
88 | 323.54 | 323.144549556159 | 0.395450443841185 |
89 | 323.91 | 323.995053614859 | -0.0850536148589072 |
90 | 323.59 | 323.68078951564 | -0.0907895156402674 |
91 | 322.26 | 322.391212137663 | -0.131212137663226 |
92 | 320.21 | 320.210254280073 | -0.000254280072567781 |
93 | 318.48 | 318.792788953339 | -0.312788953338782 |
94 | 317.94 | 318.381351703536 | -0.441351703536156 |
95 | 319.63 | 319.409223079369 | 0.220776920630556 |
96 | 320.87 | 320.437650363106 | 0.43234963689406 |
97 | 322.17 | 321.708025220941 | 0.461974779059005 |
98 | 322.34 | 322.668110737088 | -0.328110737087968 |
99 | 322.88 | 323.107180623739 | -0.227180623738661 |
100 | 324.25 | 324.116911872274 | 0.133088127726126 |
101 | 324.83 | 324.717969450096 | 0.112030549903693 |
102 | 323.93 | 324.497900129437 | -0.567900129436566 |
103 | 322.39 | 322.960770398411 | -0.570770398411298 |
104 | 320.76 | 320.590496248208 | 0.169503751791808 |
105 | 319.1 | 319.173732323363 | -0.0737323233631741 |
106 | 319.23 | 318.843795773626 | 0.386204226374446 |
107 | 320.56 | 320.441748197427 | 0.118251802573297 |
108 | 321.8 | 321.472471712104 | 0.327528287896257 |
109 | 322.4 | 322.698453096172 | -0.298453096172068 |
110 | 322.99 | 323.085887655773 | -0.0958876557728559 |
111 | 323.73 | 323.660349162699 | 0.0696508373010829 |
112 | 324.86 | 324.902928602873 | -0.0429286028730189 |
113 | 325.41 | 325.409836891617 | 0.000163108383219424 |
114 | 325.19 | 324.963596328441 | 0.226403671558899 |
115 | 323.97 | 323.816302984335 | 0.153697015664534 |
116 | 321.92 | 321.989438435637 | -0.069438435637096 |
117 | 320.1 | 320.399477517194 | -0.299477517194305 |
118 | 319.96 | 320.075286238461 | -0.115286238461124 |
119 | 320.97 | 321.361081671884 | -0.391081671883853 |
120 | 322.48 | 322.190816334758 | 0.289183665241808 |
121 | 323.52 | 323.240021966002 | 0.279978033998304 |
122 | 323.89 | 323.961046171 | -0.071046171000205 |
123 | 325.04 | 324.588762153664 | 0.4512378463358 |
124 | 326.01 | 325.99290525201 | 0.0170947479896313 |
125 | 326.67 | 326.542585053058 | 0.127414946942281 |
126 | 325.96 | 326.218056061906 | -0.258056061906245 |
127 | 325.13 | 324.816005168611 | 0.313994831389095 |
128 | 322.9 | 323.014139354546 | -0.114139354546069 |
129 | 321.61 | 321.346739992607 | 0.263260007392716 |
130 | 321.01 | 321.348422872469 | -0.338422872469323 |
131 | 322.08 | 322.459964597141 | -0.379964597140599 |
132 | 323.37 | 323.466585459418 | -0.096585459418236 |
133 | 324.34 | 324.325558560418 | 0.0144414395819581 |
134 | 325.3 | 324.829285556214 | 0.470714443786107 |
135 | 326.29 | 325.854300014073 | 0.435699985926647 |
136 | 327.54 | 327.146153841339 | 0.39384615866129 |
137 | 327.54 | 327.912523858795 | -0.372523858795262 |
138 | 327.21 | 327.249610518755 | -0.0396105187552394 |
139 | 325.98 | 326.099149328545 | -0.119149328545348 |
140 | 324.42 | 323.979862491167 | 0.440137508833118 |
141 | 322.91 | 322.681244001846 | 0.228755998153588 |
142 | 322.9 | 322.520982397408 | 0.379017602591659 |
143 | 323.85 | 323.981663001953 | -0.131663001953143 |
144 | 324.96 | 325.189205462935 | -0.22920546293517 |
145 | 326.01 | 326.019048903741 | -0.00904890374084744 |
146 | 326.51 | 326.632316173966 | -0.122316173965544 |
147 | 327.01 | 327.36291692505 | -0.352916925050351 |
148 | 327.62 | 328.258282457538 | -0.638282457537741 |
149 | 328.76 | 328.3238504967 | 0.436149503300385 |
150 | 328.4 | 328.138650267159 | 0.261349732840586 |
151 | 327.2 | 327.116860317305 | 0.083139682695446 |
152 | 325.28 | 325.236911083061 | 0.0430889169393822 |
153 | 323.2 | 323.691154922545 | -0.491154922545263 |
154 | 323.4 | 323.21075388852 | 0.189246111479804 |
155 | 324.64 | 324.446707882353 | 0.193292117647047 |
156 | 325.85 | 325.785762398175 | 0.064237601824857 |
157 | 326.6 | 326.811866195474 | -0.211866195474272 |
158 | 327.47 | 327.294605492033 | 0.17539450796653 |
159 | 327.58 | 328.11271084512 | -0.532710845120164 |
160 | 329.56 | 328.846979875144 | 0.713020124856484 |
161 | 329.9 | 329.845663119934 | 0.0543368800664439 |
162 | 328.92 | 329.433235612136 | -0.513235612135531 |
163 | 327.89 | 327.98642589514 | -0.0964258951401007 |
164 | 326.17 | 326.006202509077 | 0.163797490923002 |
165 | 324.68 | 324.385910473558 | 0.294089526442292 |
166 | 325.04 | 324.461346451649 | 0.57865354835144 |
167 | 326.34 | 325.89422002552 | 0.445779974480445 |
168 | 327.39 | 327.331642699422 | 0.0583573005775406 |
169 | 328.37 | 328.293109543433 | 0.0768904565667867 |
170 | 329.4 | 329.021207968304 | 0.378792031695696 |
171 | 330.14 | 329.773314348127 | 0.366685651872558 |
172 | 331.33 | 331.27070262244 | 0.0592973775595169 |
173 | 332.31 | 331.796914037042 | 0.513085962958087 |
174 | 331.9 | 331.482410138702 | 0.417589861298154 |
175 | 330.7 | 330.613500106696 | 0.086499893304449 |
176 | 329.15 | 328.806966252033 | 0.343033747966501 |
177 | 327.34 | 327.327474605596 | 0.0125253944036672 |
178 | 327.02 | 327.354370724473 | -0.334370724472535 |
179 | 327.99 | 328.320816668175 | -0.330816668174975 |
180 | 328.48 | 329.291319705903 | -0.811319705903088 |
181 | 329.18 | 329.835578442384 | -0.655578442384069 |
182 | 330.55 | 330.279543151265 | 0.270456848734739 |
183 | 331.32 | 330.975199319535 | 0.344800680465198 |
184 | 332.48 | 332.385412784652 | 0.0945872153482696 |
185 | 332.92 | 333.040777407793 | -0.120777407793241 |
186 | 332.08 | 332.388083533687 | -0.308083533687181 |
187 | 331.02 | 331.073603093528 | -0.0536030935278973 |
188 | 329.24 | 329.252911600492 | -0.0129116004924867 |
189 | 327.28 | 327.506360850664 | -0.22636085066415 |
190 | 327.21 | 327.318151489335 | -0.108151489334773 |
191 | 328.29 | 328.385352320336 | -0.0953523203359055 |
192 | 329.41 | 329.342871211338 | 0.0671287886624441 |
193 | 330.23 | 330.351555220713 | -0.121555220712764 |
194 | 331.24 | 331.284552843404 | -0.0445528434039488 |
195 | 331.87 | 331.840833010393 | 0.0291669896066651 |
196 | 333.14 | 333.029349431456 | 0.110650568544429 |
197 | 333.8 | 333.634293663075 | 0.165706336924927 |
198 | 333.42 | 333.072295793579 | 0.347704206420815 |
199 | 331.73 | 332.14245196993 | -0.412451969929748 |
200 | 329.9 | 330.154209607847 | -0.254209607846747 |
201 | 328.4 | 328.233535022639 | 0.166464977360761 |
202 | 328.17 | 328.266213864228 | -0.0962138642275363 |
203 | 329.32 | 329.341639876897 | -0.021639876896586 |
204 | 330.59 | 330.375073592389 | 0.214926407611415 |
205 | 331.58 | 331.410050677995 | 0.169949322004811 |
206 | 332.39 | 332.507104144556 | -0.117104144555981 |
207 | 333.33 | 333.047780408478 | 0.282219591521539 |
208 | 334.41 | 334.383649080902 | 0.0263509190979221 |
209 | 334.71 | 334.96358682104 | -0.253586821040471 |
210 | 334.17 | 334.241359463427 | -0.0713594634270294 |
211 | 332.88 | 332.916169021443 | -0.0361690214432997 |
212 | 330.77 | 331.151512167615 | -0.381512167615483 |
213 | 329.14 | 329.271726243862 | -0.131726243862147 |
214 | 328.77 | 329.090955861774 | -0.320955861774451 |
215 | 330.14 | 330.070985213464 | 0.0690147865358313 |
216 | 331.52 | 331.204157348016 | 0.315842651983985 |
217 | 332.75 | 332.274905764935 | 0.475094235065228 |
218 | 333.25 | 333.449755806868 | -0.199755806868154 |
219 | 334.53 | 334.047304564709 | 0.48269543529085 |
220 | 335.9 | 335.418051176717 | 0.481948823283176 |
221 | 336.57 | 336.154573266578 | 0.415426733421555 |
222 | 336.1 | 335.811578090286 | 0.288421909714145 |
223 | 334.76 | 334.679785267156 | 0.080214732844297 |
224 | 332.59 | 332.895860651059 | -0.305860651059504 |
225 | 331.41 | 331.124345969761 | 0.2856540302393 |
226 | 330.98 | 331.113240022307 | -0.133240022307234 |
227 | 332.24 | 332.294579007472 | -0.0545790074718298 |
228 | 333.68 | 333.440398043896 | 0.239601956103968 |
229 | 334.8 | 334.524923036787 | 0.275076963213053 |
230 | 335.22 | 335.445612516158 | -0.225612516158094 |
231 | 336.47 | 336.209630487087 | 0.260369512913485 |
232 | 337.59 | 337.480444340575 | 0.109555659425098 |
233 | 337.84 | 338.025091852195 | -0.185091852194546 |
234 | 337.72 | 337.360021690324 | 0.359978309675967 |
235 | 336.37 | 336.215897454323 | 0.154102545676665 |
236 | 334.51 | 334.377252880813 | 0.132747119187286 |
237 | 332.6 | 332.973874887582 | -0.37387488758236 |
238 | 332.37 | 332.539206707267 | -0.169206707266994 |
239 | 333.75 | 333.725356286301 | 0.024643713698822 |
240 | 334.79 | 334.986156889784 | -0.196156889783538 |
241 | 336.05 | 335.866827791615 | 0.183172208385201 |
242 | 336.59 | 336.619169609673 | -0.0291696096730902 |
243 | 337.79 | 337.601120016996 | 0.188879983004199 |
244 | 338.71 | 338.800770496998 | -0.0907704969984025 |
245 | 339.3 | 339.174415470458 | 0.125584529542266 |
246 | 339.12 | 338.798091100436 | 0.321908899564164 |
247 | 337.56 | 337.585991077537 | -0.0259910775374124 |
248 | 335.92 | 335.654327249304 | 0.26567275069624 |
249 | 333.74 | 334.192190950487 | -0.452190950486681 |
250 | 333.7 | 333.770555535768 | -0.0705555357685057 |
251 | 335.13 | 335.054366240094 | 0.0756337599058838 |
252 | 336.56 | 336.287291526854 | 0.27270847314594 |
253 | 337.84 | 337.495891573297 | 0.344108426702803 |
254 | 338.19 | 338.279947739329 | -0.0899477393289771 |
255 | 339.9 | 339.290955231107 | 0.609044768892716 |
256 | 340.6 | 340.634801952605 | -0.0348019526052212 |
257 | 341.29 | 341.097036328383 | 0.192963671617122 |
258 | 341 | 340.810330405585 | 0.189669594414511 |
259 | 339.39 | 339.454763303222 | -0.0647633032217527 |
260 | 337.43 | 337.583270201182 | -0.153270201181556 |
261 | 335.72 | 335.743095553196 | -0.023095553195617 |
262 | 335.84 | 335.63323606283 | 0.206763937169967 |
263 | 336.93 | 337.097840477184 | -0.167840477184313 |
264 | 338.04 | 338.267484517072 | -0.227484517072241 |
265 | 339.06 | 339.25305370165 | -0.193053701650058 |
266 | 340.3 | 339.667969898447 | 0.632030101553482 |
267 | 341.21 | 341.21111297467 | -0.00111297466992255 |
268 | 342.33 | 342.098840472503 | 0.231159527497312 |
269 | 342.74 | 342.751281754361 | -0.0112817543613346 |
270 | 342.07 | 342.366051973324 | -0.296051973323586 |
271 | 340.32 | 340.709155387985 | -0.38915538798517 |
272 | 338.27 | 338.654547580585 | -0.384547580585149 |
273 | 336.52 | 336.729610360951 | -0.209610360950649 |
274 | 336.68 | 336.580492023293 | 0.0995079767067182 |
275 | 338.19 | 337.894693302117 | 0.295306697883461 |
276 | 339.44 | 339.273992032701 | 0.166007967298754 |
277 | 340.57 | 340.460581147397 | 0.109418852602914 |
278 | 341.44 | 341.229028048973 | 0.210971951026522 |
279 | 342.53 | 342.408308612354 | 0.121691387646422 |
280 | 343.39 | 343.413300385548 | -0.0233003855481684 |
281 | 343.96 | 343.879328516256 | 0.08067148374397 |
282 | 343.18 | 343.467537940661 | -0.28753794066057 |
283 | 341.88 | 341.790598760842 | 0.0894012391580077 |
284 | 339.65 | 339.973218610239 | -0.323218610238769 |
285 | 337.8 | 338.123459545981 | -0.323459545980825 |
286 | 337.69 | 337.996166401831 | -0.306166401831433 |
287 | 339.09 | 339.158832060433 | -0.0688320604332375 |
288 | 340.32 | 340.32452589084 | -0.00452589084045485 |
289 | 341.2 | 341.409390514849 | -0.209390514849019 |
290 | 342.35 | 342.040691385622 | 0.309308614378381 |
291 | 342.93 | 343.240684103608 | -0.310684103607912 |
292 | 344.77 | 343.990026131506 | 0.779973868493983 |
293 | 345.58 | 344.872157118997 | 0.707842881002819 |
294 | 345.14 | 344.677068204753 | 0.4629317952473 |
295 | 343.81 | 343.465708247176 | 0.344291752823665 |
296 | 342.22 | 341.677357258495 | 0.542642741505006 |
297 | 339.69 | 340.262952231831 | -0.572952231831437 |
298 | 339.82 | 340.027253620308 | -0.207253620307995 |
299 | 340.98 | 341.307219767604 | -0.327219767603538 |
300 | 342.82 | 342.370851749792 | 0.449148250208339 |
301 | 343.52 | 343.63873718665 | -0.118737186650094 |
302 | 344.33 | 344.454461513091 | -0.124461513090807 |
303 | 345.11 | 345.297962635569 | -0.187962635569363 |
304 | 346.88 | 346.387004647881 | 0.492995352119237 |
305 | 347.25 | 347.119036263342 | 0.13096373665752 |
306 | 346.61 | 346.585754593661 | 0.0242454063393893 |
307 | 345.22 | 345.132621710642 | 0.08737828935773 |
308 | 343.11 | 343.268450761448 | -0.158450761447625 |
309 | 340.9 | 341.231797773597 | -0.331797773597373 |
310 | 341.17 | 341.203111442945 | -0.0331114429451986 |
311 | 342.8 | 342.538226281409 | 0.261773718591485 |
312 | 344.04 | 344.085216624198 | -0.0452166241976215 |
313 | 344.79 | 344.970451887514 | -0.180451887513584 |
314 | 345.82 | 345.754146155681 | 0.0658538443193493 |
315 | 347.25 | 346.675956809567 | 0.574043190433258 |
316 | 348.17 | 348.311849375548 | -0.141849375548247 |
317 | 348.75 | 348.644715976143 | 0.105284023856996 |
318 | 348.07 | 348.073781634647 | -0.00378163464688441 |
319 | 346.38 | 346.623658678869 | -0.243658678868599 |
320 | 344.52 | 344.535735653508 | -0.0157356535078179 |
321 | 342.92 | 342.526258143353 | 0.393741856646841 |
322 | 342.63 | 342.931214072759 | -0.301214072758683 |
323 | 344.06 | 344.210486390495 | -0.150486390494621 |
324 | 345.38 | 345.479878619051 | -0.0998786190505143 |
325 | 346.12 | 346.304913948692 | -0.184913948692099 |
326 | 346.79 | 347.147273718221 | -0.357273718221279 |
327 | 347.69 | 347.984842142941 | -0.294842142941263 |
328 | 349.38 | 349.010536170525 | 0.369463829474569 |
329 | 350.04 | 349.650589061349 | 0.389410938651395 |
330 | 349.38 | 349.189096815436 | 0.190903184564434 |
331 | 347.78 | 347.773368560282 | 0.00663143971837599 |
332 | 345.75 | 345.864132479149 | -0.114132479149191 |
333 | 344.7 | 343.906743734766 | 0.793256265234106 |
334 | 344.01 | 344.337189097174 | -0.32718909717363 |
335 | 345.5 | 345.642245631512 | -0.142245631512253 |
336 | 346.75 | 346.929497566797 | -0.179497566796556 |
337 | 347.86 | 347.695353552143 | 0.164646447856626 |
338 | 348.32 | 348.669310126099 | -0.349310126098658 |
339 | 349.26 | 349.52911818109 | -0.269118181089596 |
340 | 350.84 | 350.734640032288 | 0.105359967712104 |
341 | 351.7 | 351.251719819105 | 0.448280180894926 |
342 | 351.11 | 350.77190411661 | 0.338095883389542 |
343 | 349.37 | 349.385504046671 | -0.0155040466707419 |
344 | 347.97 | 347.438171537429 | 0.531828462571468 |
345 | 346.31 | 346.027919371956 | 0.282080628044355 |
346 | 346.22 | 345.934308678693 | 0.285691321306956 |
347 | 347.68 | 347.592340050739 | 0.0876599492611945 |
348 | 348.82 | 348.991271103846 | -0.171271103846152 |
349 | 350.29 | 349.854454156557 | 0.435545843443379 |
350 | 351.58 | 350.843978968357 | 0.736021031642565 |
351 | 352.08 | 352.271579019089 | -0.191579019089431 |
352 | 353.45 | 353.624118994981 | -0.174118994981029 |
353 | 354.08 | 354.103832283072 | -0.0238322830720676 |
354 | 353.66 | 353.377556419222 | 0.282443580777908 |
355 | 352.25 | 351.888340929646 | 0.361659070354165 |
356 | 350.3 | 350.27512873802 | 0.0248712619795128 |
357 | 348.58 | 348.565785492138 | 0.0142145078619933 |
358 | 348.74 | 348.351341927321 | 0.388658072679448 |
359 | 349.93 | 350.021054998154 | -0.0910549981536519 |
360 | 351.21 | 351.277534250244 | -0.0675342502438525 |
361 | 352.62 | 352.351241450934 | 0.268758549066263 |
362 | 352.93 | 353.342039978529 | -0.412039978529378 |
363 | 353.54 | 353.979900305955 | -0.439900305955348 |
364 | 355.27 | 355.215804598691 | 0.0541954013089594 |
365 | 355.52 | 355.846626453991 | -0.326626453991366 |
366 | 354.97 | 355.047961780545 | -0.0779617805453086 |
367 | 353.74 | 353.399942427528 | 0.340057572472062 |
368 | 351.51 | 351.691055140777 | -0.181055140777119 |
369 | 349.63 | 349.875107595047 | -0.245107595046875 |
370 | 349.82 | 349.621568367382 | 0.198431632617655 |
371 | 351.12 | 351.073880061725 | 0.0461199382747282 |
372 | 352.35 | 352.398571609853 | -0.0485716098528997 |
373 | 353.47 | 353.559953775287 | -0.0899537752874267 |
374 | 354.51 | 354.199917688749 | 0.310082311251222 |
375 | 355.18 | 355.182182632139 | -0.00218263213895398 |
376 | 355.98 | 356.754594836809 | -0.774594836808888 |
377 | 356.94 | 356.880214899662 | 0.0597851003379333 |
378 | 355.99 | 356.329723433625 | -0.33972343362467 |
379 | 354.58 | 354.652541972773 | -0.0725419727727967 |
380 | 352.68 | 352.606117586872 | 0.0738824131283877 |
381 | 350.72 | 350.894220189592 | -0.17422018959229 |
382 | 350.92 | 350.780366924328 | 0.139633075671782 |
383 | 352.55 | 352.161217819261 | 0.388782180738758 |
384 | 353.91 | 353.62741850268 | 0.282581497319882 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
385 | 354.939742025576 | 354.338480744576 | 355.541003306576 |
386 | 355.722029429422 | 355.050908633146 | 356.393150225697 |
387 | 356.47274759178 | 355.73697641666 | 357.208518766899 |
388 | 357.852961927731 | 357.056465093054 | 358.649458762408 |
389 | 358.566476569559 | 357.712327365656 | 359.420625773462 |
390 | 357.889667364963 | 356.980341257584 | 358.798993472342 |
391 | 356.44867842009 | 355.486212674445 | 357.411144165734 |
392 | 354.478068960585 | 353.464168733118 | 355.491969188052 |
393 | 352.672300714118 | 351.60841264129 | 353.736188786946 |
394 | 352.726047973156 | 351.613413003782 | 353.838682942531 |
395 | 354.103881817386 | 352.943574235423 | 355.264189399348 |
396 | 355.35490731875 | 354.147864260963 | 356.561950376536 |