Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1091 | 0 | 110 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 1856 | 1717.0461780852 | -167.932921731244 | 2162.88674364604 | -138.953821914796 |
2 | 1834 | 1862.49484899914 | -340.322436087578 | 2145.82758708844 | 28.4948489991393 |
3 | 2095 | 2019.70184129498 | 41.5297281741834 | 2128.76843053084 | -75.2981587050203 |
4 | 2164 | 2273.81230133391 | -59.3608400385585 | 2113.54853870464 | 109.812301333914 |
5 | 2368 | 2768.58944401808 | -130.918090896529 | 2098.32864687845 | 400.589444018078 |
6 | 2072 | 2028.24561886508 | 28.5986948118474 | 2087.15568632307 | -43.7543811349224 |
7 | 2521 | 2672.34595227068 | 293.671321961627 | 2075.9827257677 | 151.345952270675 |
8 | 1823 | 1548.36173961312 | 30.1931141919941 | 2067.44514619488 | -274.638260386879 |
9 | 1947 | 1705.93337153961 | 129.159061838314 | 2058.90756662207 | -241.066628460386 |
10 | 2226 | 2193.88895345562 | 202.133109182978 | 2055.9779373614 | -32.1110465443771 |
11 | 1754 | 1513.0669634892 | -58.1152715899228 | 2053.04830810073 | -240.933036510804 |
12 | 1786 | 1469.46836806809 | 31.3645801052525 | 2071.16705182666 | -316.531631931911 |
13 | 2072 | 2222.64712617865 | -167.932921731244 | 2089.28579555259 | 150.647126178654 |
14 | 1846 | 1909.33516127068 | -340.322436087578 | 2122.9872748169 | 63.3351612706765 |
15 | 2137 | 2075.7815177446 | 41.5297281741834 | 2156.68875408121 | -61.2184822553963 |
16 | 2466 | 2796.48800268567 | -59.3608400385585 | 2194.87283735288 | 330.488002685674 |
17 | 2154 | 2205.86117027197 | -130.918090896529 | 2233.05692062456 | 51.8611702719741 |
18 | 2289 | 2285.00600429952 | 28.5986948118474 | 2264.39530088864 | -3.99399570048354 |
19 | 2628 | 2666.59499688566 | 293.671321961627 | 2295.73368115272 | 38.5949968856567 |
20 | 2074 | 1807.41889715609 | 30.1931141919941 | 2310.38798865191 | -266.581102843908 |
21 | 2798 | 3141.79864201057 | 129.159061838314 | 2325.04229615111 | 343.798642010574 |
22 | 2194 | 1860.33969433202 | 202.133109182978 | 2325.52719648501 | -333.660305667984 |
23 | 2442 | 2616.10317477102 | -58.1152715899228 | 2326.0120968189 | 174.103174771022 |
24 | 2565 | 2773.06277897289 | 31.3645801052525 | 2325.57264092186 | 208.062778972885 |
25 | 2063 | 1968.79973670642 | -167.932921731244 | 2325.13318502482 | -94.20026329358 |
26 | 2069 | 2155.69740957742 | -340.322436087578 | 2322.62502651015 | 86.6974095774231 |
27 | 2539 | 2716.35340383033 | 41.5297281741834 | 2320.11686799549 | 177.353403830331 |
28 | 1898 | 1541.58710901897 | -59.3608400385585 | 2313.77373101959 | -356.41289098103 |
29 | 2139 | 2101.48749685284 | -130.918090896529 | 2307.43059404369 | -37.5125031471621 |
30 | 2408 | 2483.30305814808 | 28.5986948118474 | 2304.09824704007 | 75.3030581480775 |
31 | 2725 | 2855.56277800192 | 293.671321961627 | 2300.76590003646 | 130.562778001915 |
32 | 2201 | 2064.11386096162 | 30.1931141919941 | 2307.69302484638 | -136.886139038376 |
33 | 2311 | 2178.22078850538 | 129.159061838314 | 2314.62014965631 | -132.779211494621 |
34 | 2548 | 2565.77005108346 | 202.133109182978 | 2328.09683973356 | 17.7700510834634 |
35 | 2276 | 2268.54174177911 | -58.1152715899228 | 2341.57352981081 | -7.45825822088818 |
36 | 2351 | 2315.67884636866 | 31.3645801052525 | 2354.95657352609 | -35.3211536313438 |
37 | 2280 | 2359.59330448987 | -167.932921731244 | 2368.33961724137 | 79.593304489872 |
38 | 2057 | 2070.07024346866 | -340.322436087578 | 2384.25219261892 | 13.0702434686559 |
39 | 2479 | 2516.30550382935 | 41.5297281741834 | 2400.16476799647 | 37.3055038293451 |
40 | 2379 | 2388.47512987157 | -59.3608400385585 | 2428.88571016699 | 9.47512987157006 |
41 | 2295 | 2263.31143855902 | -130.918090896529 | 2457.60665233751 | -31.6885614409757 |
42 | 2456 | 2379.50224345927 | 28.5986948118474 | 2503.89906172888 | -76.4977565407303 |
43 | 2546 | 2248.13720691811 | 293.671321961627 | 2550.19147112026 | -297.862793081887 |
44 | 2844 | 3063.23925690894 | 30.1931141919941 | 2594.56762889906 | 219.239256908944 |
45 | 2260 | 1751.89715148382 | 129.159061838314 | 2638.94378667786 | -508.102848516178 |
46 | 2981 | 3092.90376149681 | 202.133109182978 | 2666.96312932021 | 111.903761496813 |
47 | 2678 | 2719.13279962737 | -58.1152715899228 | 2694.98247196255 | 41.1327996273685 |
48 | 3440 | 4138.64663505943 | 31.3645801052525 | 2709.98878483531 | 698.646635059433 |
49 | 2842 | 3126.93782402317 | -167.932921731244 | 2724.99509770807 | 284.937824023169 |
50 | 2450 | 2508.91632230913 | -340.322436087578 | 2731.40611377845 | 58.9163223091291 |
51 | 2669 | 2558.65314197699 | 41.5297281741834 | 2737.81712984882 | -110.346858023006 |
52 | 2570 | 2479.91937771896 | -59.3608400385585 | 2719.4414623196 | -90.0806222810397 |
53 | 2540 | 2509.85229610616 | -130.918090896529 | 2701.06579479037 | -30.1477038938428 |
54 | 2318 | 1950.49845659041 | 28.5986948118474 | 2656.90284859774 | -367.501543409588 |
55 | 2930 | 2953.58877563326 | 293.671321961627 | 2612.73990240511 | 23.588775633265 |
56 | 2947 | 3288.32171511708 | 30.1931141919941 | 2575.48517069093 | 341.321715117077 |
57 | 2799 | 2930.61049918494 | 129.159061838314 | 2538.23043897675 | 131.610499184937 |
58 | 2695 | 2676.73160502789 | 202.133109182978 | 2511.13528578914 | -18.2683949721149 |
59 | 2498 | 2570.0751389884 | -58.1152715899228 | 2484.04013260153 | 72.0751389883976 |
60 | 2260 | 2030.1164887359 | 31.3645801052525 | 2458.51893115885 | -229.883511264099 |
61 | 2160 | 2054.93519201508 | -167.932921731244 | 2432.99772971617 | -105.064807984923 |
62 | 2058 | 2047.23172509917 | -340.322436087578 | 2409.0907109884 | -10.7682749008263 |
63 | 2533 | 2639.28657956518 | 41.5297281741834 | 2385.18369226064 | 106.286579565176 |
64 | 2150 | 1985.15973668612 | -59.3608400385585 | 2374.20110335244 | -164.840263313884 |
65 | 2172 | 2111.69957645228 | -130.918090896529 | 2363.21851444425 | -60.3004235477156 |
66 | 2155 | 1920.40000590708 | 28.5986948118474 | 2361.00129928107 | -234.599994092921 |
67 | 3016 | 3379.54459392047 | 293.671321961627 | 2358.7840841179 | 363.544593920471 |
68 | 2333 | 2285.21915108226 | 30.1931141919941 | 2350.58773472575 | -47.7808489177423 |
69 | 2355 | 2238.44955282809 | 129.159061838314 | 2342.39138533359 | -116.550447171908 |
70 | 2825 | 3120.56174302162 | 202.133109182978 | 2327.3051477954 | 295.561743021622 |
71 | 2214 | 2173.89636133272 | -58.1152715899228 | 2312.21891025721 | -40.1036386672836 |
72 | 2360 | 2398.60557905971 | 31.3645801052525 | 2290.02984083504 | 38.6055790597111 |
73 | 2299 | 2498.09215031838 | -167.932921731244 | 2267.84077141287 | 199.092150318377 |
74 | 1746 | 1593.46222273484 | -340.322436087578 | 2238.86021335274 | -152.53777726516 |
75 | 2069 | 1886.59061653321 | 41.5297281741834 | 2209.87965529261 | -182.409383466792 |
76 | 2267 | 2414.6986940088 | -59.3608400385585 | 2178.66214602976 | 147.698694008799 |
77 | 1878 | 1739.47345412962 | -130.918090896529 | 2147.44463676691 | -138.526545870381 |
78 | 2266 | 2385.87053113854 | 28.5986948118474 | 2117.53077404961 | 119.870531138544 |
79 | 2282 | 2182.71176670607 | 293.671321961627 | 2087.61691133231 | -99.2882332939328 |
80 | 2085 | 2075.20401153888 | 30.1931141919941 | 2064.60287426913 | -9.79598846112049 |
81 | 2277 | 2383.25210095574 | 129.159061838314 | 2041.58883720595 | 106.252100955739 |
82 | 2251 | 2270.20167464266 | 202.133109182978 | 2029.66521617436 | 19.2016746426634 |
83 | 1828 | 1696.37367644715 | -58.1152715899228 | 2017.74159514277 | -131.626323552847 |
84 | 1954 | 1863.87314669283 | 31.3645801052525 | 2012.76227320192 | -90.1268533071716 |
85 | 1851 | 1862.14997047018 | -167.932921731244 | 2007.78295126107 | 11.149970470176 |
86 | 1570 | 1475.19802919509 | -340.322436087578 | 2005.12440689249 | -94.8019708049128 |
87 | 1852 | 1660.0044093019 | 41.5297281741834 | 2002.46586252391 | -191.995590698097 |
88 | 2187 | 2433.9731058805 | -59.3608400385585 | 1999.38773415806 | 246.973105880498 |
89 | 1855 | 1844.60848510432 | -130.918090896529 | 1996.30960579221 | -10.391514895678 |
90 | 2218 | 2415.50906040726 | 28.5986948118474 | 1991.89224478089 | 197.50906040726 |
91 | 2253 | 2224.8537942688 | 293.671321961627 | 1987.47488376958 | -28.1462057312049 |
92 | 2028 | 2042.87061750543 | 30.1931141919941 | 1982.93626830258 | 14.8706175054267 |
93 | 2169 | 2230.4432853261 | 129.159061838314 | 1978.39765283558 | 61.4432853261046 |
94 | 1997 | 1819.555241928 | 202.133109182978 | 1972.31164888902 | -177.444758071996 |
95 | 2034 | 2159.88962664747 | -58.1152715899228 | 1966.22564494246 | 125.889626647467 |
96 | 1791 | 1586.03049596563 | 31.3645801052525 | 1964.60492392911 | -204.969504034366 |
97 | 1627 | 1458.94871881547 | -167.932921731244 | 1962.98420291577 | -168.051281184527 |
98 | 1631 | 1625.16144107206 | -340.322436087578 | 1977.16099501552 | -5.83855892794077 |
99 | 2319 | 2605.13248471055 | 41.5297281741834 | 1991.33778711527 | 286.132484710551 |
100 | 1707 | 1458.74110643959 | -59.3608400385585 | 2014.61973359897 | -248.258893560414 |
101 | 1747 | 1587.01641081385 | -130.918090896529 | 2037.90168008268 | -159.983589186149 |
102 | 2397 | 2714.6796731202 | 28.5986948118474 | 2050.72163206795 | 317.679673120201 |
103 | 2059 | 1760.78709398515 | 293.671321961627 | 2063.54158405322 | -298.212906014851 |
104 | 2251 | 2396.3825842477 | 30.1931141919941 | 2075.4243015603 | 145.382584247704 |
105 | 2558 | 2899.53391909431 | 129.159061838314 | 2087.30701906738 | 341.533919094305 |
106 | 2406 | 2510.41409072215 | 202.133109182978 | 2099.45280009487 | 104.414090722154 |
107 | 2049 | 2044.51669046757 | -58.1152715899228 | 2111.59858112235 | -4.48330953243203 |
108 | 2074 | 1994.395157246 | 31.3645801052525 | 2122.24026264875 | -79.6048427540036 |
109 | 1734 | 1503.0509775561 | -167.932921731244 | 2132.88194417515 | -230.949022443903 |