| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 3106.54 | 3106.54 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 3125.67 | 3124.68931868883 | 1.25142511248251 | 0.980681311167245 | 0.0701190497998039 |
| 3 | 3039.71 | 3038.87740252377 | -5.77041747953507 | 0.8325974762276 | -0.54236220066074 |
| 4 | 3051.67 | 3050.81063743179 | -3.80283903738118 | 0.859362568212891 | 0.108422757246245 |
| 5 | 3112.83 | 3111.8857531477 | 4.92877930492268 | 0.944246852301847 | 0.391980985245461 |
| 6 | 3228.01 | 3226.94353498845 | 21.6451520403553 | 1.06646501154602 | 0.658600675593157 |
| 7 | 3223.98 | 3222.93733404812 | 17.4387849629822 | 1.04266595188172 | -0.152266368909523 |
| 8 | 3328.8 | 3327.69029189364 | 32.4928772627493 | 1.10970810636111 | 0.515588687799304 |
| 9 | 3264.26 | 3263.21148532205 | 15.2181188833303 | 1.04851467794636 | -0.570545983250874 |
| 10 | 3394.14 | 3393.03232733386 | 36.0746689938147 | 1.10767266614356 | 0.672615757781974 |
| 11 | 3549.25 | 3548.09224238842 | 58.0337769089457 | 1.15775761158419 | 0.697169089904114 |
| 12 | 3744.63 | 3743.42521266667 | 83.6059240569058 | 1.2047873333312 | 0.80356803168967 |
| 13 | 3839.25 | 3844.94308056049 | 86.7855505421687 | -5.69308056049349 | 0.122668586958991 |
| 14 | 3912.28 | 3912.20420463339 | 83.1972269985107 | 0.0757953666066259 | -0.0964490344360934 |
| 15 | 3911.06 | 3910.93509835293 | 67.2652808809289 | 0.124901647072729 | -0.49312600793646 |
| 16 | 3675.8 | 3675.53237634171 | 10.0896577318258 | 0.267623658294913 | -1.76692172616402 |
| 17 | 3703.32 | 3703.05904387715 | 13.3869450091625 | 0.260956122850837 | 0.101792253315551 |
| 18 | 3795.91 | 3795.67360622699 | 28.3788430795033 | 0.236393773007878 | 0.462508757414791 |
| 19 | 3906.01 | 3905.79415049052 | 43.8535518981215 | 0.215849509477651 | 0.477191059563207 |
| 20 | 4070.78 | 4070.58879061794 | 66.7562787240598 | 0.191209382057146 | 0.706040926340599 |
| 21 | 4144.38 | 4144.18992102251 | 68.0527679149845 | 0.190078977488116 | 0.0399602384641640 |
| 22 | 4140.3 | 4140.10026392249 | 54.3862365250903 | 0.199736077512712 | -0.421175029116889 |
| 23 | 4388.53 | 4388.35129836297 | 91.1152957864269 | 0.178701637024952 | 1.13182186307676 |
| 24 | 4433.57 | 4433.38724600962 | 82.384631289529 | 0.182753990375473 | -0.269024541656719 |
| 25 | 4305.23 | 4342.05554062082 | 49.9482114462747 | -36.8255406208213 | -1.10065174031667 |
| 26 | 4471.65 | 4467.21204086424 | 63.9034819759635 | 4.43795913575861 | 0.397606353006847 |
| 27 | 4614.76 | 4610.35870593058 | 78.9267014534757 | 4.40129406942431 | 0.462418524703577 |
| 28 | 4697.86 | 4693.4602714645 | 79.7180182202672 | 4.39972853550139 | 0.0243651508779043 |
| 29 | 4639.4 | 4634.95826327564 | 53.5226986406372 | 4.44173672435856 | -0.80674947354213 |
| 30 | 4384.47 | 4379.9522641173 | -4.94509533420086 | 4.51773588270437 | -1.80092209209552 |
| 31 | 4350.83 | 4346.30653406083 | -10.3838032240848 | 4.52346593917359 | -0.167538833016132 |
| 32 | 4325.29 | 4320.76408113751 | -13.2562815124459 | 4.52591886248543 | -0.0884919552986306 |
| 33 | 4441.82 | 4437.31110530555 | 11.3405554486716 | 4.50889469444948 | 0.757781890025354 |
| 34 | 4162.5 | 4157.96020455389 | -43.743515708324 | 4.53979544610951 | -1.69708175270366 |
| 35 | 4127.47 | 4122.93095535312 | -42.0922140183972 | 4.53904464687843 | 0.0508757579892298 |
| 36 | 3722.23 | 3717.66559458979 | -110.911768822306 | 4.56440541021064 | -2.12031998516170 |
| 37 | 3757.12 | 3784.04264720296 | -77.619078703553 | -26.9226472029562 | 1.09406009017536 |
| 38 | 3719.52 | 3716.95981732916 | -75.6537911808403 | 2.56018267084147 | 0.0573054390452646 |
| 39 | 3925.43 | 3922.96779140471 | -22.2590058945037 | 2.46220859529227 | 1.64384351828422 |
| 40 | 3751.41 | 3748.90499585756 | -51.031564945706 | 2.50500414243667 | -0.886045379760065 |
| 41 | 3168.22 | 3165.59337741966 | -151.908330085841 | 2.6266225803372 | -3.10702481330344 |
| 42 | 2994.38 | 2991.74931522539 | -156.065302492253 | 2.63068477460612 | -0.128050331154495 |
| 43 | 3136 | 3133.41400249031 | -99.645256832255 | 2.58599750968583 | 1.73808029465606 |
| 44 | 2672.2 | 2669.5696973351 | -168.660130616372 | 2.63030266489928 | -2.1261831504745 |
| 45 | 2100.18 | 2097.50992273194 | -245.102955491629 | 2.67007726806079 | -2.3550973951135 |
| 46 | 1881.46 | 1878.79203127967 | -240.103080448809 | 2.66796872032513 | 0.154042516060985 |
| 47 | 1908.64 | 1905.98934456817 | -189.45048554638 | 2.65065543183082 | 1.56059160643903 |
| 48 | 1900.09 | 1897.44884179425 | -155.168468452039 | 2.64115820574881 | 1.05622867030751 |
| 49 | 1696.58 | 1727.11381190715 | -158.023333490752 | -30.5338119071476 | -0.0923402614704458 |
| 50 | 1748.74 | 1744.47797756568 | -125.201320375242 | 4.26202243431985 | 0.96902374367647 |
| 51 | 1953.35 | 1949.17923184803 | -62.6659046733559 | 4.17076815196565 | 1.92555722464145 |
| 52 | 2071.37 | 2067.23974768834 | -28.4126247492852 | 4.1302523116587 | 1.05493282760480 |
| 53 | 2030.98 | 2026.84757103887 | -30.6829354104333 | 4.13242896112935 | -0.0699308060339351 |
| 54 | 2169.14 | 2165.03243923776 | 1.31860504833264 | 4.10756076224194 | 0.985811634930953 |
| 55 | 2229.85 | 2225.74952889171 | 12.5747092012422 | 4.10047110828534 | 0.346766638977508 |
| 56 | 2480.93 | 2476.85260397090 | 57.7756229441186 | 4.07739602909665 | 1.39255898252069 |
| 57 | 2525.93 | 2521.85160218872 | 55.3544758297975 | 4.07839781127486 | -0.0745931329995134 |
| 58 | 2475.14 | 2471.05485634622 | 35.2390211783279 | 4.08514365377511 | -0.619747716700826 |
| 59 | 2529.66 | 2525.57584949996 | 38.8929255246296 | 4.08415050003521 | 0.112576340233638 |
| 60 | 2453.37 | 2449.28104083207 | 17.0649560720047 | 4.08895916792645 | -0.672521988120713 |
| 61 | 2386.53 | 2434.0207493835 | 10.9718434668685 | -47.4907493834995 | -0.195202294185455 |
| 62 | 2517.3 | 2512.50885871272 | 23.6342537011742 | 4.79114128727589 | 0.376783040432569 |
| 63 | 2457.46 | 2452.64970227108 | 7.80822338694688 | 4.81029772892422 | -0.487358129773467 |
| 64 | 2589.73 | 2584.94285081711 | 31.4014277666903 | 4.7871491828858 | 0.726674099295957 |
| 65 | 2679.07 | 2674.29158426867 | 42.3832324150107 | 4.77841573133275 | 0.338280323511151 |
| 66 | 2506.13 | 2501.32527878227 | 1.57317091135902 | 4.80472121772591 | -1.25719688562009 |
| 67 | 2592.31 | 2587.51365605637 | 17.6079268773612 | 4.79634394363318 | 0.493992204352127 |
