Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[59])
47	3129	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	2959	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	3060	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	2898	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	2783	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	2632	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	2465	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	2689	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	3321	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	3359	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	4108	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	3407	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	3241	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	3013	3019.1204	2734.0017	3304.2392	0.4832	0.0636	0.6603	0.0636
61	3067	3096.7148	2673.8512	3519.5784	0.4452	0.651	0.5676	0.2518
62	2965	2922.0311	2382.7072	3461.355	0.438	0.2992	0.5348	0.1232
63	2823	2788.706	2143.9499	3433.4622	0.4585	0.296	0.5069	0.0846
64	2718	2642.0196	1899.2921	3384.7472	0.4205	0.3165	0.5105	0.057
65	2567	2469.6599	1634.7293	3304.5905	0.4096	0.28	0.5044	0.0351
66	2658	2683.2095	1760.8754	3605.5435	0.4786	0.5975	0.4951	0.1179
67	3436	3329.4411	2323.8675	4335.0147	0.4177	0.9047	0.5066	0.5684
68	3375	3342.4106	2257.2994	4427.5219	0.4765	0.4329	0.488	0.5727
69	3931	4050.0287	2888.7203	5211.3371	0.4204	0.8727	0.461	0.9139
70	3371	3479.155	2244.6918	4713.6182	0.4318	0.2366	0.5456	0.6473
71	3038	3313.9182	2009.088	4618.7484	0.3393	0.4658	0.5436	0.5436

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
60	0.0482	-0.002	0	37.4598	0	0
61	0.0697	-0.0096	0.0058	882.9695	460.2147	21.4526
62	0.0942	0.0147	0.0088	1846.3256	922.2516	30.3686
63	0.118	0.0123	0.0097	1176.0754	985.7076	31.396
64	0.1434	0.0288	0.0135	5773.0156	1943.1692	44.0814
65	0.1725	0.0394	0.0178	9475.0974	3198.4905	56.5552
66	0.1754	-0.0094	0.0166	635.5182	2832.3516	53.2198
67	0.1541	0.032	0.0185	11354.7991	3897.6576	62.4312
68	0.1656	0.0098	0.0175	1062.0663	3582.5919	59.8548
69	0.1463	-0.0294	0.0187	14167.8273	4641.1154	68.1257
70	0.181	-0.0311	0.0199	11697.5087	5282.6057	72.6815
71	0.2009	-0.0833	0.0251	76130.8545	11186.6264	105.7668