Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 671 | 0 | 68 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 3106.54 | 3313.64273568123 | -44.8766538118925 | 2944.31391813066 | 207.102735681234 |
2 | 3125.67 | 3230.19715382961 | 19.3735322707297 | 3001.76931389966 | 104.527153829613 |
3 | 3039.71 | 2936.12141275922 | 84.0738775721264 | 3059.22470966866 | -103.588587240782 |
4 | 3051.67 | 2911.99700038362 | 72.8276116733257 | 3118.51538794306 | -139.672999616381 |
5 | 3112.83 | 3059.62106046762 | -11.7671266850794 | 3177.80606621746 | -53.208939532376 |
6 | 3228.01 | 3267.60503416839 | -49.4113385700273 | 3237.82630440164 | 39.5950341683865 |
7 | 3223.98 | 3134.38225056952 | 15.7312068446568 | 3297.84654258583 | -89.5977494304843 |
8 | 3328.8 | 3250.1317624485 | 48.907418231687 | 3358.56081931981 | -78.668237551502 |
9 | 3264.26 | 3127.10372324219 | -17.8588192959930 | 3419.2750960538 | -137.156276757810 |
10 | 3394.14 | 3396.96570055723 | -91.931576499104 | 3483.24587594187 | 2.82570055723136 |
11 | 3549.25 | 3542.67960961081 | 8.60373455924511 | 3547.21665582994 | -6.57039038918629 |
12 | 3744.63 | 3920.43707309817 | -33.6718115204286 | 3602.49473842226 | 175.807073098170 |
13 | 3839.25 | 4065.60383279732 | -44.8766538118925 | 3657.77282101458 | 226.353832797317 |
14 | 3912.28 | 4090.92657781871 | 19.3735322707297 | 3714.25988991056 | 178.646577818709 |
15 | 3911.06 | 3967.29916362133 | 84.0738775721264 | 3770.74695880655 | 56.2391636213265 |
16 | 3675.8 | 3450.38992637623 | 72.8276116733257 | 3828.38246195044 | -225.410073623769 |
17 | 3703.32 | 3532.38916159074 | -11.7671266850794 | 3886.01796509434 | -170.930838409261 |
18 | 3795.91 | 3699.57536174568 | -49.4113385700273 | 3941.65597682435 | -96.3346382543223 |
19 | 3906.01 | 3798.99480460098 | 15.7312068446568 | 3997.29398855436 | -107.015195399015 |
20 | 4070.78 | 4033.88138593381 | 48.907418231687 | 4058.7711958345 | -36.8986140661905 |
21 | 4144.38 | 4186.37041618135 | -17.8588192959930 | 4120.24840311465 | 41.9904161813456 |
22 | 4140.3 | 4181.82342715688 | -91.931576499104 | 4190.70814934223 | 41.5234271568779 |
23 | 4388.53 | 4507.28836987095 | 8.60373455924511 | 4261.16789556980 | 118.758369870950 |
24 | 4433.57 | 4583.46681768584 | -33.6718115204286 | 4317.34499383459 | 149.896817685842 |
25 | 4305.23 | 4281.81456171252 | -44.8766538118925 | 4373.52209209937 | -23.4154382874767 |
26 | 4471.65 | 4522.71559238523 | 19.3735322707297 | 4401.21087534404 | 51.0655923852291 |
27 | 4614.76 | 4716.54646383916 | 84.0738775721264 | 4428.89965858871 | 101.786463839162 |
28 | 4697.86 | 4897.67392463173 | 72.8276116733257 | 4425.21846369494 | 199.813924631734 |
29 | 4639.4 | 4869.02985788391 | -11.7671266850794 | 4421.53726880117 | 229.629857883911 |
30 | 4384.47 | 4434.86788302483 | -49.4113385700273 | 4383.4834555452 | 50.3978830248252 |
31 | 4350.83 | 4340.49915086611 | 15.7312068446568 | 4345.42964228924 | -10.3308491338948 |
32 | 4325.29 | 4320.33500019259 | 48.907418231687 | 4281.33758157572 | -4.95499980740806 |
33 | 4441.82 | 4684.25329843379 | -17.8588192959930 | 4217.24552086221 | 242.433298433788 |
34 | 4162.5 | 4287.08651778034 | -91.931576499104 | 4129.84505871876 | 124.586517780341 |
35 | 4127.47 | 4203.89166886543 | 8.60373455924511 | 4042.44459657532 | 76.4216688654333 |
36 | 3722.23 | 3546.22494240807 | -33.6718115204286 | 3931.90686911236 | -176.005057591927 |
37 | 3757.12 | 3737.7475121625 | -44.8766538118925 | 3821.36914164939 | -19.3724878374969 |
38 | 3719.52 | 3741.91434985683 | 19.3735322707297 | 3677.75211787244 | 22.394349856831 |
39 | 3925.43 | 4232.65102833238 | 84.0738775721264 | 3534.13509409549 | 307.221028332384 |
40 | 3751.41 | 4069.61144470173 | 72.8276116733257 | 3360.38094362494 | 318.201444701733 |
41 | 3168.22 | 3161.58033353069 | -11.7671266850794 | 3186.62679315439 | -6.63966646931385 |
42 | 2994.38 | 3033.26585269513 | -49.4113385700273 | 3004.9054858749 | 38.8858526951303 |
43 | 3136 | 3433.08461455994 | 15.7312068446568 | 2823.1841785954 | 297.084614559942 |
44 | 2672.2 | 2645.32593663878 | 48.907418231687 | 2650.16664512954 | -26.8740633612233 |
45 | 2100.18 | 1741.06970763232 | -17.8588192959930 | 2477.14911166367 | -359.110292367677 |
46 | 1881.46 | 1515.82140764941 | -91.931576499104 | 2339.03016884969 | -365.638592350585 |
47 | 1908.64 | 1607.76503940505 | 8.60373455924511 | 2200.91122603571 | -300.874960594954 |
48 | 1900.09 | 1709.96163044289 | -33.6718115204286 | 2123.89018107754 | -190.128369557114 |
49 | 1696.58 | 1391.16751769252 | -44.8766538118925 | 2046.86913611938 | -305.412482307484 |
50 | 1748.74 | 1440.58592582803 | 19.3735322707297 | 2037.52054190124 | -308.154074171974 |
51 | 1953.35 | 1794.45417474476 | 84.0738775721264 | 2028.17194768311 | -158.89582525524 |
52 | 2071.37 | 1997.51055481474 | 72.8276116733257 | 2072.40183351194 | -73.859445185263 |
53 | 2030.98 | 1957.09540734432 | -11.7671266850794 | 2116.63171934076 | -73.8845926556814 |
54 | 2169.14 | 2210.05363392969 | -49.4113385700273 | 2177.63770464034 | 40.9136339296879 |
55 | 2229.85 | 2205.32510321542 | 15.7312068446568 | 2238.64368993992 | -24.5248967845750 |
56 | 2480.93 | 2618.16517482536 | 48.907418231687 | 2294.78740694295 | 137.235174825358 |
57 | 2525.93 | 2718.78769535 | -17.8588192959930 | 2350.93112394599 | 192.857695350002 |
58 | 2475.14 | 2653.890958687 | -91.931576499104 | 2388.32061781211 | 178.750958686998 |
59 | 2529.66 | 2625.00615376253 | 8.60373455924511 | 2425.71011167822 | 95.3461537625344 |
60 | 2453.37 | 2488.24481988848 | -33.6718115204286 | 2452.16699163195 | 34.8748198884832 |
61 | 2386.53 | 2339.31278222622 | -44.8766538118925 | 2478.62387158567 | -47.2172177737771 |
62 | 2517.3 | 2513.06131105358 | 19.3735322707297 | 2502.16515667569 | -4.23868894642146 |
63 | 2457.46 | 2305.13968066216 | 84.0738775721264 | 2525.70644176571 | -152.320319337841 |
64 | 2589.73 | 2559.94821976687 | 72.8276116733257 | 2546.68416855980 | -29.7817802331297 |
65 | 2679.07 | 2802.24523133119 | -11.7671266850794 | 2567.66189535389 | 123.175231331186 |
66 | 2506.13 | 2474.46263382958 | -49.4113385700273 | 2587.20870474044 | -31.6673661704172 |
67 | 2592.31 | 2562.13327902835 | 15.7312068446568 | 2606.75551412700 | -30.1767209716527 |