Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[78])
66	7.396895	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	7.900419	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	8.1005	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	7.899453	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	7.599783	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	8.100929	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	9.002175	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	10.2989	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	10.10152	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	10.69915	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	9.69814	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	9.800951	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	10.90047	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	10.6979	11.137	9.4664	12.8077	0.3032	0.6093	0.9999	0.6093
80	9.2973	11.2891	9.0383	13.5399	0.0414	0.6967	0.9973	0.6325
81	10.3974	11.2677	8.4763	14.059	0.2706	0.9168	0.991	0.6017
82	10.9007	11.003	7.8219	14.184	0.4749	0.6455	0.982	0.5252
83	12.9013	11.0715	7.4945	14.6484	0.158	0.5373	0.9482	0.5373
84	13.0991	11.4706	7.5765	15.3646	0.2062	0.2357	0.893	0.6129
85	11.6983	12.1147	7.8957	16.3337	0.4233	0.3237	0.8005	0.7137
86	11.0999	11.6931	7.2042	16.1819	0.3978	0.4991	0.7564	0.6354
87	11.3016	11.6996	6.9345	16.4647	0.435	0.5974	0.6596	0.6288
88	10.7021	11.4778	6.4699	16.4858	0.3807	0.5275	0.757	0.5894
89	10.0993	11.3704	6.1154	16.6254	0.3177	0.5984	0.7209	0.5696
90	9.5911	11.3209	5.8431	16.7988	0.268	0.669	0.5598	0.5598

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
79	0.0765	-0.0394	0	0.1929	0	0
80	0.1017	-0.1764	0.1079	3.9675	2.0802	1.4423
81	0.1264	-0.0772	0.0977	0.7573	1.6392	1.2803
82	0.1475	-0.0093	0.0756	0.0105	1.232	1.11
83	0.1648	0.1653	0.0935	3.3482	1.6553	1.2866
84	0.1732	0.142	0.1016	2.652	1.8214	1.3496
85	0.1777	-0.0344	0.092	0.1734	1.586	1.2593
86	0.1959	-0.0507	0.0868	0.3519	1.4317	1.1965
87	0.2078	-0.034	0.081	0.1584	1.2902	1.1359
88	0.2226	-0.0676	0.0796	0.6017	1.2214	1.1052
89	0.2358	-0.1118	0.0826	1.6157	1.2572	1.1213
90	0.2469	-0.1528	0.0884	2.9923	1.4018	1.184