Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	9383	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	9706	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	8579	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	9474	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	8318	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	8213	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	8059	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	7708	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	7680	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	8014	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	8007	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	8718	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	9486	9544.1886	8768.7832	10319.594	0.4415	0.9816	0.3413	0.9816
62	9113	8883.8434	8014.314	9753.3727	0.3027	0.0873	0.754	0.6457
63	9025	9926.0976	9033.9369	10818.2583	0.0239	0.963	0.8397	0.996
64	8476	8358.3615	7460.4654	9256.2576	0.3987	0.0728	0.5351	0.2162
65	7952	8336.0005	7436.6334	9235.3675	0.2013	0.3801	0.6057	0.2026
66	7759	8072.1005	7172.355	8971.846	0.2476	0.6032	0.5114	0.0797
67	7835	8237.4639	7337.621	9137.3068	0.1903	0.8513	0.0285	0.1476
68	7600	7590.9195	6691.0516	8490.7875	0.4921	0.2975	0.3994	0.007
69	7651	7579.0589	6679.1844	8478.9333	0.4377	0.4818	0.413	0.0066
70	8319	8175.1144	7275.2383	9074.9905	0.377	0.8732	0.6372	0.1185
71	8812	8039.9128	7140.0362	8939.7893	0.0463	0.2716	0.5286	0.0698
72	8630	9106.5011	8206.6245	10006.3778	0.1497	0.7394	0.8013	0.8013

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0415	-0.0061	0	3385.9149	0	0
62	0.0499	0.0258	0.0159	52512.759	27949.3369	167.1806
63	0.0459	-0.0908	0.0409	811976.901	289291.8583	537.8586
64	0.0548	0.0141	0.0342	13838.8145	220428.5973	469.4982
65	0.055	-0.0461	0.0366	147456.3595	205834.1498	453.6895
66	0.0569	-0.0388	0.0369	98031.9219	187867.1118	433.4364
67	0.0557	-0.0489	0.0386	161977.1728	184168.5491	429.1486
68	0.0605	0.0012	0.034	82.4549	161157.7873	401.4446
69	0.0606	0.0095	0.0312	5175.5243	143826.4247	379.2445
70	0.0562	0.0176	0.0299	20703.0655	131514.0888	362.6487
71	0.0571	0.096	0.0359	596118.6835	173750.8702	416.8343
72	0.0504	-0.0523	0.0373	227053.3189	178192.7409	422.1288