| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3437 | 0.1116 | 0.012 | -0.4762 | 0.0132 | -0.1014 |
| (p-val) | (0.0169 ) | (0.4777 ) | (0.9348 ) | (0.8748 ) | (0.9938 ) | (0.973 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3436 | 0.1117 | 0.0119 | -0.5 | 0 | -0.0776 |
| (p-val) | (0.0164 ) | (0.4776 ) | (0.9348 ) | (0.0502 ) | (NA ) | (0.7928 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.3456 | 0.1154 | 0 | -0.5 | 0 | -0.0743 |
| (p-val) | (0.0145 ) | (0.442 ) | (NA ) | (0.0511 ) | (NA ) | (0.8008 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.3472 | 0.1209 | 0 | -0.5539 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0136 ) | (0.4128 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.3985 | 0 | 0 | -0.5222 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0019 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 9.69198670565042 |
| -903.149574301378 |
| 348.657175135849 |
| 364.636587838564 |
| 233.75234346394 |
| -128.431470901811 |
| 79.701619460479 |
| -77.417622866062 |
| 253.478017134953 |
| 217.721690895225 |
| -177.39347303203 |
| 106.432584301698 |
| 402.969101020808 |
| -349.190652054616 |
| -321.127716212589 |
| -256.472844398442 |
| -392.120382161397 |
| -114.836312576199 |
| -27.8513744748517 |
| -157.254041097897 |
| -478.068525828851 |
| -15.5902977742074 |
| -62.2217341802365 |
| -133.354977900355 |
| -464.585203666797 |
| 160.379803954959 |
| 736.358780138461 |
| 987.976148833017 |
| -791.06937069383 |
| 114.698704681778 |
| -9.52508514082209 |
| -661.544651157168 |
| -540.136278878297 |
| -152.702646423489 |
| 14.0125313010384 |
| -229.001771061459 |
| -456.959570684375 |
| -250.243193049061 |
| -123.244128349115 |
| 98.9799260980533 |
| 5.05338264162049 |
| -13.4959979058164 |
| 82.815784281762 |
| 1197.26305718708 |
| -412.309276346596 |
| -106.282518763313 |
| -358.263598270697 |
| -24.5159011040603 |
| -613.785216534359 |
| -144.994867147169 |
| 298.924736688924 |
| -941.048113115682 |
| 401.562484506229 |
| -309.563603264005 |
| -194.054834061486 |
| -293.161414598793 |
| 196.796164230173 |
| 120.066271293245 |
| 128.93408778259 |
| 712.922878384854 |
| -743.222713067898 |
