Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1321 | 0 | 133 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 1775 | 1614.53263914160 | -2239.82821207112 | 4175.29557292952 | -160.467360858398 |
2 | 2197 | 1752.75072689951 | -1555.35889461034 | 4196.60816771083 | -444.249273100486 |
3 | 2920 | 2835.24163255931 | -1213.16239505145 | 4217.92076249214 | -84.7583674406878 |
4 | 4240 | 4548.98802564649 | -301.516679762529 | 4232.52865411604 | 308.988025646488 |
5 | 5415 | 5361.09773722041 | 1221.76571703965 | 4247.13654573994 | -53.9022627795857 |
6 | 6136 | 6331.37263112808 | 1682.66152642255 | 4257.96584244936 | 195.372631128083 |
7 | 6719 | 7286.92043728105 | 1882.28442356016 | 4268.79513915879 | 567.920437281051 |
8 | 6234 | 5806.4331591536 | 2381.98053357046 | 4279.58630727594 | -427.566840846399 |
9 | 7152 | 8238.49183654263 | 1775.13068806427 | 4290.37747539309 | 1086.49183654263 |
10 | 3646 | 3489.22084109285 | -485.383820204572 | 4288.16297911173 | -156.779158907155 |
11 | 2165 | 1809.76814819324 | -1765.71663102360 | 4285.94848283036 | -355.231851806762 |
12 | 2803 | 2703.30366598598 | -1382.85631134697 | 4285.55264536099 | -99.6963340140192 |
13 | 1615 | 1184.67140417949 | -2239.82821207112 | 4285.15680789163 | -430.32859582051 |
14 | 2350 | 1971.83977695999 | -1555.35889461034 | 4283.51911765035 | -378.160223040011 |
15 | 3350 | 3631.28096764237 | -1213.16239505145 | 4281.88142740908 | 281.280967642372 |
16 | 3536 | 3099.26011646497 | -301.516679762529 | 4274.25656329756 | -436.73988353503 |
17 | 5834 | 6179.60258377432 | 1221.76571703965 | 4266.63169918604 | 345.602583774315 |
18 | 6767 | 7596.35974064278 | 1682.66152642255 | 4254.97873293466 | 829.359740642784 |
19 | 5993 | 5860.38980975655 | 1882.28442356016 | 4243.32576668329 | -132.610190243447 |
20 | 7276 | 7956.70089563147 | 2381.98053357046 | 4213.31857079807 | 680.700895631473 |
21 | 5641 | 5323.55793702287 | 1775.13068806427 | 4183.31137491285 | -317.442062977127 |
22 | 3477 | 3295.64890036129 | -485.383820204572 | 4143.73491984328 | -181.351099638713 |
23 | 2247 | 2155.55816624988 | -1765.71663102360 | 4104.15846477372 | -91.441833750122 |
24 | 2466 | 2244.62253039633 | -1382.85631134697 | 4070.23378095064 | -221.377469603668 |
25 | 1567 | 1337.51911494355 | -2239.82821207112 | 4036.30909712756 | -229.480885056446 |
26 | 2237 | 2005.68040662906 | -1555.35889461034 | 4023.67848798128 | -231.319593370942 |
27 | 2598 | 2398.11451621645 | -1213.16239505145 | 4011.04787883501 | -199.885483783552 |
28 | 3729 | 3747.86249745892 | -301.516679762529 | 4011.65418230361 | 18.8624974589156 |
29 | 5715 | 6195.97379718813 | 1221.76571703965 | 4012.26048577222 | 480.973797188131 |
30 | 5776 | 5860.4600330443 | 1682.66152642255 | 4008.87844053314 | 84.4600330443045 |
31 | 5852 | 5816.21918114578 | 1882.28442356016 | 4005.49639529406 | -35.7808188542217 |
32 | 6878 | 7383.95181961148 | 2381.98053357046 | 3990.06764681806 | 505.951819611482 |
33 | 5488 | 5226.23041359367 | 1775.13068806427 | 3974.63889834206 | -261.769586406333 |
34 | 3583 | 3708.22609636835 | -485.383820204572 | 3943.15772383622 | 125.226096368351 |
35 | 2054 | 1962.04008169321 | -1765.71663102360 | 3911.67654933038 | -91.9599183067876 |
36 | 2282 | 2075.33187199030 | -1382.85631134697 | 3871.52443935668 | -206.668128009703 |
37 | 1552 | 1512.45588268815 | -2239.82821207112 | 3831.37232938297 | -39.544117311852 |
38 | 2261 | 2279.72734511966 | -1555.35889461034 | 3797.63154949068 | 18.7273451196615 |
39 | 2446 | 2341.27162545306 | -1213.16239505145 | 3763.89076959839 | -104.728374546938 |
40 | 3519 | 3596.61726390845 | -301.516679762529 | 3742.89941585408 | 77.6172639084457 |
41 | 5161 | 5378.32622085058 | 1221.76571703965 | 3721.90806210978 | 217.326220850577 |
42 | 5085 | 4778.50109424608 | 1682.66152642255 | 3708.83737933136 | -306.498905753917 |
43 | 5711 | 5843.94887988689 | 1882.28442356016 | 3695.76669655295 | 132.948879886888 |
44 | 6057 | 6047.36082634351 | 2381.98053357046 | 3684.65864008603 | -9.63917365648877 |
45 | 5224 | 4999.31872831662 | 1775.13068806427 | 3673.55058361911 | -224.681271683384 |
46 | 3363 | 3549.36449429974 | -485.383820204572 | 3662.01932590483 | 186.364494299742 |
47 | 1899 | 1913.22856283305 | -1765.71663102360 | 3650.48806819055 | 14.2285628330455 |
48 | 2115 | 1968.80599041324 | -1382.85631134697 | 3644.05032093374 | -146.194009586764 |
49 | 1491 | 1584.21563839420 | -2239.82821207112 | 3637.61257367692 | 93.2156383941951 |
50 | 2061 | 2039.40140313153 | -1555.35889461034 | 3637.95749147881 | -21.5985968684672 |
51 | 2419 | 2412.85998577076 | -1213.16239505145 | 3638.3024092807 | -6.14001422924366 |
52 | 3430 | 3515.596492766 | -301.516679762529 | 3645.92018699653 | 85.596492766002 |
53 | 4778 | 4680.69631824799 | 1221.76571703965 | 3653.53796471236 | -97.3036817520051 |
54 | 4862 | 4376.24651067947 | 1682.66152642255 | 3665.09196289797 | -485.753489320527 |
55 | 6176 | 6793.06961535625 | 1882.28442356016 | 3676.64596108359 | 617.069615356252 |
56 | 5664 | 5256.28617958553 | 2381.98053357046 | 3689.73328684401 | -407.713820414466 |
57 | 5529 | 5580.0486993313 | 1775.13068806427 | 3702.82061260443 | 51.048699331297 |
58 | 3418 | 3605.81024324320 | -485.383820204572 | 3715.57357696138 | 187.810243243196 |
59 | 1941 | 1919.39008970527 | -1765.71663102360 | 3728.32654131832 | -21.6099102947273 |
60 | 2402 | 2445.92903320979 | -1382.85631134697 | 3740.92727813718 | 43.9290332097917 |
61 | 1579 | 1644.30019711508 | -2239.82821207112 | 3753.52801495604 | 65.300197115078 |
62 | 2146 | 2082.67021088386 | -1555.35889461034 | 3764.68868372648 | -63.3297891161401 |
63 | 2462 | 2361.31304255453 | -1213.16239505145 | 3775.84935249692 | -100.686957445471 |
64 | 3695 | 3914.06646553989 | -301.516679762529 | 3777.45021422264 | 219.066465539892 |
65 | 4831 | 4661.183207012 | 1221.76571703965 | 3779.05107594835 | -169.816792987996 |
66 | 5134 | 4813.10011859307 | 1682.66152642255 | 3772.23835498438 | -320.899881406933 |
67 | 6250 | 6852.28994241943 | 1882.28442356016 | 3765.42563402041 | 602.28994241943 |
68 | 5760 | 5382.52722328679 | 2381.98053357046 | 3755.49224314275 | -377.472776713206 |
69 | 6249 | 6977.31045967064 | 1775.13068806427 | 3745.55885226509 | 728.31045967064 |
70 | 2917 | 2595.93219845847 | -485.383820204572 | 3723.4516217461 | -321.067801541530 |
71 | 1741 | 1546.37223979648 | -1765.71663102360 | 3701.34439122712 | -194.627760203521 |
72 | 2359 | 2438.73020444560 | -1382.85631134697 | 3662.12610690138 | 79.7302044455955 |
73 | 1511 | 1638.92038949548 | -2239.82821207112 | 3622.90782257564 | 127.920389495479 |
74 | 2059 | 2092.21196637474 | -1555.35889461034 | 3581.14692823560 | 33.2119663747380 |
75 | 2635 | 2943.77636115588 | -1213.16239505145 | 3539.38603389557 | 308.776361155883 |
76 | 2867 | 2519.6139044989 | -301.516679762529 | 3515.90277526363 | -347.386095501102 |
77 | 4403 | 4091.81476632866 | 1221.76571703965 | 3492.41951663169 | -311.185233671339 |
78 | 5720 | 6272.77546068421 | 1682.66152642255 | 3484.56301289324 | 552.775460684209 |
79 | 4502 | 3645.00906728506 | 1882.28442356016 | 3476.70650915478 | -856.990932714943 |
80 | 5749 | 5644.4403790569 | 2381.98053357046 | 3471.57908737264 | -104.559620943096 |
81 | 5627 | 6012.41764634523 | 1775.13068806427 | 3466.45166559049 | 385.417646345234 |
82 | 2846 | 2716.42034212083 | -485.383820204572 | 3460.96347808375 | -129.579657879173 |
83 | 1762 | 1834.24134044660 | -1765.71663102360 | 3455.475290577 | 72.2413404465965 |
84 | 2429 | 2794.71601660711 | -1382.85631134697 | 3446.14029473986 | 365.716016607114 |
85 | 1169 | 1141.0229131684 | -2239.82821207112 | 3436.80529890272 | -27.9770868316009 |
86 | 2154 | 2440.81369118716 | -1555.35889461034 | 3422.54520342319 | 286.813691187157 |
87 | 2249 | 2302.8772871078 | -1213.16239505145 | 3408.28510794365 | 53.8772871078008 |
88 | 2687 | 2284.51529347545 | -301.516679762529 | 3391.00138628707 | -402.484706524545 |
89 | 4359 | 4122.51661832986 | 1221.76571703965 | 3373.71766463050 | -236.483381670144 |
90 | 5382 | 5711.48249478482 | 1682.66152642255 | 3369.85597879263 | 329.482494784817 |
91 | 4459 | 3669.72128348508 | 1882.28442356016 | 3365.99429295476 | -789.278716514922 |
92 | 6398 | 7031.66181094576 | 2381.98053357046 | 3382.35765548378 | 633.661810945761 |
93 | 4596 | 4018.14829392293 | 1775.13068806427 | 3398.7210180128 | -577.851706077074 |
94 | 3024 | 3109.67483609158 | -485.383820204572 | 3423.70898411299 | 85.674836091583 |
95 | 1887 | 2091.01968081042 | -1765.71663102360 | 3448.69695021318 | 204.019680810417 |
96 | 2070 | 2064.54675897307 | -1382.85631134697 | 3458.30955237390 | -5.45324102693166 |
97 | 1351 | 1473.90605753649 | -2239.82821207112 | 3467.92215453463 | 122.906057536487 |
98 | 2218 | 2525.7561002443 | -1555.35889461034 | 3465.60279436604 | 307.756100244301 |
99 | 2461 | 2671.878960854 | -1213.16239505145 | 3463.28343419745 | 210.878960854001 |
100 | 3028 | 2896.59528515396 | -301.516679762529 | 3460.92139460857 | -131.404714846044 |
101 | 4784 | 4887.67492794066 | 1221.76571703965 | 3458.55935501969 | 103.674927940659 |
102 | 4975 | 4803.77984646335 | 1682.66152642255 | 3463.5586271141 | -171.220153536652 |
103 | 4607 | 3863.15767723134 | 1882.28442356016 | 3468.5578992085 | -743.842322768662 |
104 | 6249 | 6630.96226767563 | 2381.98053357046 | 3485.05719875391 | 381.96226767563 |
105 | 4809 | 4341.3128136364 | 1775.13068806427 | 3501.55649829932 | -467.687186363596 |
106 | 3157 | 3272.86100647881 | -485.383820204572 | 3526.52281372576 | 115.861006478813 |
107 | 1910 | 2034.2275018714 | -1765.71663102360 | 3551.48912915220 | 124.227501871399 |
108 | 2228 | 2263.47227258245 | -1382.85631134697 | 3575.38403876452 | 35.472272582449 |
109 | 1594 | 1828.54926369427 | -2239.82821207112 | 3599.27894837685 | 234.549263694266 |
110 | 2467 | 2884.71057865913 | -1555.35889461034 | 3604.64831595121 | 417.710578659128 |
111 | 2222 | 2047.14471152588 | -1213.16239505145 | 3610.01768352558 | -174.855288474124 |
112 | 3607 | 3912.81687849847 | -301.516679762529 | 3602.69980126406 | 305.816878498466 |
113 | 4685 | 4552.85236395781 | 1221.76571703965 | 3595.38191900255 | -132.147636042195 |
114 | 4962 | 4653.53165890237 | 1682.66152642255 | 3587.80681467508 | -308.468341097631 |
115 | 5770 | 6077.48386609223 | 1882.28442356016 | 3580.23171034761 | 307.483866092232 |
116 | 5480 | 5001.91374452351 | 2381.98053357046 | 3576.10572190603 | -478.086255476487 |
117 | 5000 | 4652.88957847127 | 1775.13068806427 | 3571.97973346445 | -347.110421528725 |
118 | 3228 | 3367.4336998363 | -485.383820204572 | 3573.95012036827 | 139.433699836299 |
119 | 1993 | 2175.7961237515 | -1765.71663102360 | 3575.92050727209 | 182.796123751501 |
120 | 2288 | 2376.58285543243 | -1382.85631134697 | 3582.27345591455 | 88.5828554324266 |
121 | 1588 | 1827.20180751412 | -2239.82821207112 | 3588.626404557 | 239.201807514120 |
122 | 2105 | 2173.43056777745 | -1555.35889461034 | 3591.92832683289 | 68.4305677774487 |
123 | 2191 | 1999.93214594266 | -1213.16239505145 | 3595.23024910879 | -191.067854057336 |
124 | 3591 | 3889.72935516657 | -301.516679762529 | 3593.78732459596 | 298.729355166568 |
125 | 4668 | 4521.88988287722 | 1221.76571703965 | 3592.34440008313 | -146.110117122779 |
126 | 4885 | 4494.85537081675 | 1682.66152642255 | 3592.4831027607 | -390.14462918325 |
127 | 5822 | 6169.09377100158 | 1882.28442356016 | 3592.62180543826 | 347.093771001579 |
128 | 5599 | 5224.02806343394 | 2381.98053357046 | 3591.9914029956 | -374.971936566059 |
129 | 5340 | 5313.50831138278 | 1775.13068806427 | 3591.36100055294 | -26.491688617215 |
130 | 3082 | 3057.89673715811 | -485.383820204572 | 3591.48708304646 | -24.1032628418898 |
131 | 2010 | 2194.10346548361 | -1765.71663102360 | 3591.61316553998 | 184.103465483613 |
132 | 2301 | 2391.51692296627 | -1382.85631134697 | 3593.33938838071 | 90.5169229662674 |