Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1801 | 0 | 181 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 11974 | 11679.9931091870 | 1706.22639006322 | 10561.7805007498 | -294.006890813038 |
2 | 10106 | 9491.28659977573 | 24.995623629304 | 10695.7177765950 | -614.713400224275 |
3 | 12069 | 12336.1132120904 | 972.23173546944 | 10829.6550524401 | 267.113212090440 |
4 | 11412 | 11864.2239454643 | 0.542358710969246 | 10959.2336958247 | 452.223945464311 |
5 | 11180 | 11435.9343383155 | -164.746677524768 | 11088.8123392093 | 255.93433831545 |
6 | 10508 | 10497.5591839124 | -697.975444104338 | 11216.4162601919 | -10.4408160875992 |
7 | 11288 | 11666.3843039766 | -434.404485151133 | 11344.0201811746 | 378.384303976576 |
8 | 10928 | 11003.3605238831 | -614.290450595461 | 11466.9299267124 | 75.3605238830587 |
9 | 10199 | 9880.47029436249 | -1072.30996661274 | 11589.8396722502 | -318.529705637511 |
10 | 11030 | 10777.0739192735 | -372.679125225541 | 11655.6052059521 | -252.92608072652 |
11 | 11234 | 11116.1441549091 | -369.514894562927 | 11721.3707396539 | -117.855845090948 |
12 | 13747 | 14747.5800741865 | 1021.92492546227 | 11724.4950003512 | 1000.58007418649 |
13 | 13912 | 14390.1543488882 | 1706.22639006322 | 11727.6192610486 | 478.154348888182 |
14 | 12376 | 13025.1595971957 | 24.995623629304 | 11701.8447791750 | 649.159597195718 |
15 | 12264 | 11879.6979672292 | 972.23173546944 | 11676.0702973014 | -384.302032770791 |
16 | 11675 | 11726.5885531131 | 0.542358710969246 | 11622.8690881760 | 51.5885531130607 |
17 | 11271 | 11137.0787984742 | -164.746677524768 | 11569.6678790506 | -133.92120152582 |
18 | 10672 | 10529.7777876096 | -697.975444104338 | 11512.1976564948 | -142.222212390416 |
19 | 10933 | 10845.6770512122 | -434.404485151133 | 11454.7274339389 | -87.3229487877888 |
20 | 10379 | 9961.745694545 | -614.290450595461 | 11410.5447560505 | -417.254305455008 |
21 | 10187 | 10079.9478884507 | -1072.30996661274 | 11366.3620781620 | -107.052111549277 |
22 | 10747 | 10530.5482328811 | -372.679125225541 | 11336.1308923444 | -216.451767118861 |
23 | 10970 | 11003.6151880361 | -369.514894562927 | 11305.8997065268 | 33.6151880361376 |
24 | 12175 | 12030.7934381724 | 1021.92492546227 | 11297.2816363654 | -144.206561827623 |
25 | 14200 | 15405.1100437329 | 1706.22639006322 | 11288.6635662039 | 1205.11004373287 |
26 | 11676 | 12018.5436507030 | 24.995623629304 | 11308.4607256677 | 342.543650702963 |
27 | 11258 | 10215.510379399 | 972.23173546944 | 11328.2578851316 | -1042.48962060099 |
28 | 10872 | 10414.7427783945 | 0.542358710969246 | 11328.7148628945 | -457.257221605469 |
29 | 11148 | 11131.5748368673 | -164.746677524768 | 11329.1718406574 | -16.4251631326752 |
30 | 10690 | 10802.3468954349 | -697.975444104338 | 11275.6285486695 | 112.346895434885 |
31 | 10684 | 10580.3192284697 | -434.404485151133 | 11222.0852566815 | -103.680771530331 |
32 | 11658 | 12744.7127355784 | -614.290450595461 | 11185.5777150171 | 1086.71273557841 |
33 | 10178 | 10279.2397932601 | -1072.30996661274 | 11149.0701733526 | 101.239793260091 |
34 | 10981 | 11158.9223349938 | -372.679125225541 | 11175.7567902318 | 177.922334993782 |
35 | 10773 | 10713.0714874521 | -369.514894562927 | 11202.4434071109 | -59.9285125479455 |
36 | 11665 | 11088.3851789472 | 1021.92492546227 | 11219.6898955905 | -576.614821052764 |
37 | 11359 | 9774.83722586667 | 1706.22639006322 | 11236.9363840701 | -1584.16277413333 |
38 | 10716 | 10159.9295057408 | 24.995623629304 | 11247.0748706299 | -556.070494259189 |
39 | 12928 | 13626.5549073409 | 972.23173546944 | 11257.2133571897 | 698.554907340904 |
40 | 12317 | 13324.2081663036 | 0.542358710969246 | 11309.2494749854 | 1007.20816630358 |
41 | 11641 | 12085.4610847435 | -164.746677524768 | 11361.2855927812 | 444.461084743532 |
42 | 10459 | 10164.5667307117 | -697.975444104338 | 11451.4087133927 | -294.433269288342 |
43 | 10953 | 10798.872651147 | -434.404485151133 | 11541.5318340041 | -154.127348852993 |
44 | 10703 | 10412.054851328 | -614.290450595461 | 11608.2355992675 | -290.94514867201 |
45 | 10703 | 10803.3706020819 | -1072.30996661274 | 11674.9393645308 | 100.370602081923 |
46 | 11101 | 10887.4192455107 | -372.679125225541 | 11687.2598797148 | -213.580754489309 |
47 | 11334 | 11337.9344996640 | -369.514894562927 | 11699.5803948989 | 3.93449966404114 |
48 | 13268 | 13799.3475790995 | 1021.92492546227 | 11714.7274954382 | 531.347579099509 |
49 | 13145 | 12853.8990139592 | 1706.22639006322 | 11729.8745959776 | -291.100986040767 |
50 | 12334 | 12897.7758882480 | 24.995623629304 | 11745.2284881227 | 563.775888247963 |
51 | 13153 | 13573.1858842626 | 972.23173546944 | 11760.5823802679 | 420.185884262646 |
52 | 11289 | 10821.9696409196 | 0.542358710969246 | 11755.4880003694 | -467.030359080385 |
53 | 11374 | 11162.3530570539 | -164.746677524768 | 11750.3936204709 | -211.646942946147 |
54 | 10914 | 10774.3508966684 | -697.975444104338 | 11751.6245474359 | -139.649103331592 |
55 | 11299 | 11279.5490107502 | -434.404485151133 | 11752.8554744009 | -19.4509892498118 |
56 | 11284 | 11431.9637378786 | -614.290450595461 | 11750.3267127169 | 147.963737878566 |
57 | 10694 | 10712.5120155799 | -1072.30996661274 | 11747.7979510328 | 18.5120155798904 |
58 | 11077 | 10787.6825797412 | -372.679125225541 | 11738.9965454844 | -289.317420258849 |
59 | 11104 | 10847.319754627 | -369.514894562927 | 11730.1951399359 | -256.680245373007 |
60 | 12820 | 12894.6727200487 | 1021.92492546227 | 11723.4023544890 | 74.6727200487403 |
61 | 14915 | 16407.1640408947 | 1706.22639006322 | 11716.6095690420 | 1492.16404089474 |
62 | 11773 | 11808.2930046414 | 24.995623629304 | 11712.7113717293 | 35.2930046414112 |
63 | 11608 | 10534.9550901140 | 972.23173546944 | 11708.8131744165 | -1073.04490988597 |
64 | 11468 | 11233.9608316282 | 0.542358710969246 | 11701.4968096609 | -234.039168371826 |
65 | 11511 | 11492.5662326196 | -164.746677524768 | 11694.1804449052 | -18.4337673804184 |
66 | 11200 | 11432.2628793255 | -697.975444104338 | 11665.7125647789 | 232.262879325479 |
67 | 11164 | 11125.1598004986 | -434.404485151133 | 11637.2446846525 | -38.8401995013974 |
68 | 10960 | 10922.3986171789 | -614.290450595461 | 11611.8918334166 | -37.601382821118 |
69 | 10667 | 10819.7709844321 | -1072.30996661274 | 11586.5389821806 | 152.770984432109 |
70 | 11556 | 11888.5617882319 | -372.679125225541 | 11596.1173369936 | 332.561788231931 |
71 | 11372 | 11507.8192027563 | -369.514894562927 | 11605.6956918066 | 135.819202756335 |
72 | 12333 | 12025.5445314699 | 1021.92492546227 | 11618.5305430678 | -307.455468530106 |
73 | 13102 | 12866.4082156077 | 1706.22639006322 | 11631.3653943291 | -235.591784392294 |
74 | 11115 | 10560.7406312913 | 24.995623629304 | 11644.2637450794 | -554.259368708663 |
75 | 12572 | 12514.6061687009 | 972.23173546944 | 11657.1620958296 | -57.3938312990795 |
76 | 11557 | 11440.6602059631 | 0.542358710969246 | 11672.7974353259 | -116.339794036914 |
77 | 12059 | 12594.3139027025 | -164.746677524768 | 11688.4327748222 | 535.313902702519 |
78 | 11420 | 11822.5626648829 | -697.975444104338 | 11715.4127792214 | 402.562664882918 |
79 | 11185 | 11062.0117015305 | -434.404485151133 | 11742.3927836206 | -122.988298469460 |
80 | 11113 | 11067.9377371198 | -614.290450595461 | 11772.3527134756 | -45.0622628801866 |
81 | 10706 | 10681.9973232820 | -1072.30996661274 | 11802.3126433307 | -24.0026767179679 |
82 | 11523 | 11603.3781068431 | -372.679125225541 | 11815.3010183824 | 80.3781068431072 |
83 | 11391 | 11323.2255011288 | -369.514894562927 | 11828.2893934342 | -67.7744988712348 |
84 | 12634 | 12416.1980833046 | 1021.92492546227 | 11829.8769912331 | -217.80191669542 |
85 | 13469 | 13400.3090209046 | 1706.22639006322 | 11831.4645890321 | -68.6909790953505 |
86 | 11735 | 11612.4304771047 | 24.995623629304 | 11832.5738992660 | -122.569522895268 |
87 | 13281 | 13756.0850550308 | 972.23173546944 | 11833.6832094998 | 475.08505503077 |
88 | 11968 | 12099.6539229460 | 0.542358710969246 | 11835.803718343 | 131.653922946025 |
89 | 11623 | 11572.8224503385 | -164.746677524768 | 11837.9242271862 | -50.1775496614518 |
90 | 11084 | 11032.1980482599 | -697.975444104338 | 11833.7773958445 | -51.8019517401208 |
91 | 11509 | 11622.7739206484 | -434.404485151133 | 11829.6305645027 | 113.773920648437 |
92 | 11134 | 11067.3052142561 | -614.290450595461 | 11814.9852363394 | -66.6947857439045 |
93 | 10438 | 10147.9700584367 | -1072.30996661274 | 11800.3399081760 | -290.0299415633 |
94 | 11530 | 11644.2371030427 | -372.679125225541 | 11788.4420221828 | 114.237103042737 |
95 | 11491 | 11574.9707583734 | -369.514894562927 | 11776.5441361896 | 83.9707583733525 |
96 | 13093 | 13387.4539441179 | 1021.92492546227 | 11776.6211304198 | 294.453944117946 |
97 | 13106 | 12729.0754852868 | 1706.22639006322 | 11776.69812465 | -376.924514713208 |
98 | 11305 | 10798.0912903890 | 24.995623629304 | 11786.9130859817 | -506.908709611038 |
99 | 13113 | 13456.6402172171 | 972.23173546944 | 11797.1280473135 | 343.640217217086 |
100 | 12203 | 12594.2837768093 | 0.542358710969246 | 11811.1738644798 | 391.283776809267 |
101 | 11309 | 10957.5269958787 | -164.746677524768 | 11825.2196816461 | -351.473004121284 |
102 | 11088 | 11034.9055589167 | -697.975444104338 | 11839.0698851876 | -53.0944410832999 |
103 | 11234 | 11049.4843964219 | -434.404485151133 | 11852.9200887292 | -184.515603578091 |
104 | 11619 | 12012.1695936763 | -614.290450595461 | 11840.1208569192 | 393.169593676288 |
105 | 10942 | 11128.9883415036 | -1072.30996661274 | 11827.3216251091 | 186.988341503615 |
106 | 11445 | 11484.8635320976 | -372.679125225541 | 11777.8155931280 | 39.8635320975827 |
107 | 11291 | 11223.2053334161 | -369.514894562927 | 11728.3095611468 | -67.7946665838663 |
108 | 13281 | 13865.3607141023 | 1021.92492546227 | 11674.7143604354 | 584.360714102309 |
109 | 13726 | 14124.6544502127 | 1706.22639006322 | 11621.1191597240 | 398.65445021274 |
110 | 11300 | 10999.7581000736 | 24.995623629304 | 11575.2462762970 | -300.24189992635 |
111 | 11983 | 11464.3948716605 | 972.23173546944 | 11529.3733928700 | -518.605128339486 |
112 | 11092 | 10695.9794433328 | 0.542358710969246 | 11487.4781979563 | -396.020556667219 |
113 | 11093 | 10905.1636744823 | -164.746677524768 | 11445.5830030425 | -187.836325517686 |
114 | 10692 | 10669.9486607918 | -697.975444104338 | 11412.0267833125 | -22.0513392082103 |
115 | 10786 | 10627.9339215685 | -434.404485151133 | 11378.4705635826 | -158.066078431510 |
116 | 11166 | 11545.5520703672 | -614.290450595461 | 11400.7383802283 | 379.552070367175 |
117 | 10553 | 10755.3037697388 | -1072.30996661274 | 11423.0061968739 | 202.30376973881 |
118 | 11103 | 11107.1373939792 | -372.679125225541 | 11471.5417312463 | 4.13739397924837 |
119 | 10969 | 10787.4376289443 | -369.514894562927 | 11520.0772656187 | -181.56237105573 |
120 | 12090 | 11627.9377822388 | 1021.92492546227 | 11530.1372922989 | -462.062217761168 |
121 | 12544 | 11841.5762909576 | 1706.22639006322 | 11540.1973189791 | -702.42370904235 |
122 | 12264 | 12990.5918812476 | 24.995623629304 | 11512.4124951231 | 726.591881247557 |
123 | 13783 | 15109.1405932634 | 972.23173546944 | 11484.6276712671 | 1326.14059326342 |
124 | 11214 | 10974.9375345347 | 0.542358710969246 | 11452.5201067543 | -239.062465465317 |
125 | 11453 | 11650.3341352832 | -164.746677524768 | 11420.4125422416 | 197.334135283216 |
126 | 10883 | 11089.8444694566 | -697.975444104338 | 11374.1309746477 | 206.844469456648 |
127 | 10381 | 9868.5550780973 | -434.404485151133 | 11327.8494070538 | -512.444921902694 |
128 | 10348 | 10039.7473906705 | -614.290450595461 | 11270.543059925 | -308.252609329533 |
129 | 10024 | 9907.07325381658 | -1072.30996661274 | 11213.2367127962 | -116.926746183424 |
130 | 10805 | 10797.5736866322 | -372.679125225541 | 11185.1054385934 | -7.4263133678487 |
131 | 10796 | 10804.5407301723 | -369.514894562927 | 11156.9741643906 | 8.54073017230621 |
132 | 11907 | 11604.5925246028 | 1021.92492546227 | 11187.4825499349 | -302.407475397211 |
133 | 12261 | 11597.7826744575 | 1706.22639006322 | 11217.9909354793 | -663.217325542471 |
134 | 11377 | 11467.5939494720 | 24.995623629304 | 11261.4104268987 | 90.5939494719787 |
135 | 12689 | 13100.9383462124 | 972.23173546944 | 11304.8299183182 | 411.938346212384 |
136 | 11474 | 11624.3264269078 | 0.542358710969246 | 11323.1312143813 | 150.326426907777 |
137 | 10992 | 10807.3141670804 | -164.746677524768 | 11341.4325104443 | -184.685832919560 |
138 | 10764 | 10901.3766129485 | -697.975444104338 | 11324.5988311558 | 137.376612948492 |
139 | 12164 | 13454.6393332838 | -434.404485151133 | 11307.7651518674 | 1290.63933328377 |
140 | 10409 | 10167.9627723646 | -614.290450595461 | 11264.3276782309 | -241.037227635436 |
141 | 10398 | 10647.4197620183 | -1072.30996661274 | 11220.8902045944 | 249.419762018308 |
142 | 10349 | 9906.57666779037 | -372.679125225541 | 11164.1024574352 | -442.423332209626 |
143 | 10865 | 10992.2001842870 | -369.514894562927 | 11107.3147102759 | 127.200184287021 |
144 | 11630 | 11182.1280388948 | 1021.92492546227 | 11055.9470356429 | -447.871961105166 |
145 | 12221 | 11731.1942489269 | 1706.22639006322 | 11004.5793610099 | -489.805751073096 |
146 | 10884 | 10766.8155066905 | 24.995623629304 | 10976.1888696801 | -117.184493309453 |
147 | 12019 | 12117.9698861801 | 972.23173546944 | 10947.7983783504 | 98.9698861801444 |
148 | 11021 | 11068.2039319772 | 0.542358710969246 | 10973.2537093119 | 47.2039319771538 |
149 | 10799 | 10764.0376372514 | -164.746677524768 | 10998.7090402733 | -34.9623627485689 |
150 | 10423 | 10494.7728332791 | -697.975444104338 | 11049.2026108253 | 71.7728332790557 |
151 | 10484 | 10302.7083037739 | -434.404485151133 | 11099.6961813772 | -181.291696226093 |
152 | 10450 | 10372.4756526879 | -614.290450595461 | 11141.8147979075 | -77.5243473120518 |
153 | 9906 | 9700.37655217494 | -1072.30996661274 | 11183.9334144378 | -205.623447825063 |
154 | 11049 | 11258.1637752747 | -372.679125225541 | 11212.5153499508 | 209.163775274719 |
155 | 11281 | 11690.4176090991 | -369.514894562927 | 11241.0972854638 | 409.417609099082 |
156 | 12485 | 12684.9588065123 | 1021.92492546227 | 11263.1162680254 | 199.958806512326 |
157 | 12849 | 12706.6383593498 | 1706.22639006322 | 11285.1352505870 | -142.361640650177 |
158 | 11380 | 11443.9195713164 | 24.995623629304 | 11291.0848050543 | 63.919571316379 |
159 | 12079 | 11888.7339050089 | 972.23173546944 | 11297.0343595217 | -190.266094991110 |
160 | 11366 | 11440.9106432587 | 0.542358710969246 | 11290.5469980303 | 74.9106432587214 |
161 | 11328 | 11536.6870409858 | -164.746677524768 | 11284.0596365389 | 208.687040985822 |
162 | 10444 | 10285.4492627837 | -697.975444104338 | 11300.5261813207 | -158.550737216316 |
163 | 10854 | 10825.4117590488 | -434.404485151133 | 11316.9927261024 | -28.5882409512287 |
164 | 10434 | 10143.4349771434 | -614.290450595461 | 11338.8554734521 | -290.565022856605 |
165 | 10137 | 9985.59174581097 | -1072.30996661274 | 11360.7182208018 | -151.408254189033 |
166 | 10992 | 11006.7284981273 | -372.679125225541 | 11349.9506270983 | 14.7284981272733 |
167 | 10906 | 10842.3318611682 | -369.514894562927 | 11339.1830333948 | -63.6681388318411 |
168 | 12367 | 12401.1979882253 | 1021.92492546227 | 11310.8770863124 | 34.1979882253017 |
169 | 14371 | 15753.2024707067 | 1706.22639006322 | 11282.5711392301 | 1382.2024707067 |
170 | 11695 | 12103.5854222232 | 24.995623629304 | 11261.4189541475 | 408.58542222315 |
171 | 11546 | 10879.5014954656 | 972.23173546944 | 11240.266769065 | -666.498504534446 |
172 | 10922 | 10626.4681537287 | 0.542358710969246 | 11216.9894875603 | -295.531846271264 |
173 | 10670 | 10311.0344714692 | -164.746677524768 | 11193.7122060556 | -358.965528530814 |
174 | 10254 | 10046.0762032863 | -697.975444104338 | 11159.8992408180 | -207.923796713707 |
175 | 10573 | 10454.3182095706 | -434.404485151133 | 11126.0862755805 | -118.681790429373 |
176 | 10239 | 10000.0023848218 | -614.290450595461 | 11092.2880657736 | -238.997615178156 |
177 | 10253 | 10519.8201106460 | -1072.30996661274 | 11058.4898559667 | 266.820110646009 |
178 | 11176 | 11695.0124911386 | -372.679125225541 | 11029.6666340870 | 519.012491138581 |
179 | 10719 | 10806.6714823557 | -369.514894562927 | 11000.8434122072 | 87.6714823557322 |
180 | 11817 | 11636.1802447078 | 1021.92492546227 | 10975.8948298299 | -180.81975529215 |