| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 1.2967 | -0.4774 | 0.1743 | -0.871 | -0.1993 | -0.2876 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.0356 ) | (0 ) | (0.019 ) | (7e-04 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.3552 | 0.3758 | 0 | 0.8669 | -0.0931 | -0.2046 | -0.8807 |
| (p-val) | (0.0813 ) | (0.0045 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.446 ) | (0.0719 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.0476 | 0.1513 | 0 | 0.4596 | 0 | -0.1615 | -0.9995 |
| (p-val) | (0.9518 ) | (0.7102 ) | (NA ) | (0.5525 ) | (NA ) | (0.0631 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.1755 | 0 | 0.5064 | 0 | -0.1626 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0504 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0572 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.1406 | 0 | 0.5083 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.1162 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4608 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 13.7469728330636 |
| 1209.50934298792 |
| 968.398193887401 |
| -543.390011650122 |
| 236.129489007918 |
| -74.7189679628042 |
| 128.506322390527 |
| -323.493075317584 |
| -235.131479865961 |
| 159.59840131381 |
| -191.59327905203 |
| 5.93211400483315 |
| -861.290079456554 |
| 1389.35375138741 |
| -242.835877539529 |
| -762.508433050893 |
| -210.678061834201 |
| 148.30272238658 |
| 83.9725575272419 |
| -380.463987106003 |
| 1006.38276723731 |
| -463.794911039699 |
| 226.595339691723 |
| -304.014003670392 |
| -706.327716415457 |
| -1349.56147414845 |
| 220.532765314591 |
| 1053.44605877778 |
| 409.975063077159 |
| 44.360628319647 |
| -286.031565701173 |
| 79.0721896990273 |
| -265.495663867796 |
| 587.784472279488 |
| -93.9550937534742 |
| 316.426109969219 |
| 552.280925671888 |
| -64.9424192113082 |
| 929.463258811979 |
| 407.276726312373 |
| -597.644883983372 |
| 232.414537320406 |
| 214.018541018801 |
| 182.942276945992 |
| 195.01698235768 |
| 200.340401127017 |
| -37.213390257751 |
| 24.0828441257039 |
| 142.981370302557 |
| 1736.49045726653 |
| -604.17018530701 |
| -612.338791486274 |
| 227.637725842121 |
| 149.423286506089 |
| 433.435825434601 |
| -122.765453712539 |
| -34.3773242664682 |
| 255.834937822024 |
| 405.50570350105 |
| 54.7100567853629 |
| -380.471668182648 |
| 12.3835394712671 |
| -321.023577414037 |
| 514.567428877995 |
| -164.111445502932 |
| 689.353944795642 |
| 272.230177173876 |
| -107.827078638451 |
| 86.028945488575 |
| 191.037763982269 |
| 305.025412376325 |
| 77.427837162499 |
| -53.8122615594883 |
| 213.355468564532 |
| 159.157345679308 |
| 838.400513122264 |
| -38.8321838394047 |
| 43.4218659124854 |
| 148.777126473384 |
| 311.251023315921 |
| -67.2820043292604 |
| -55.7153345492644 |
| 380.661812139443 |
| 137.174840324839 |
| 349.124912745173 |
| -365.985024696718 |
| -43.6341284778238 |
| 722.63699006065 |
| 252.824202878801 |
| -381.386926763981 |
| 317.138868484409 |
| -37.662088070736 |
| 556.045371666689 |
| 149.676631504488 |
| 90.1681028316212 |
| -9.90054711486719 |
| 562.464726399727 |
| 160.184952145946 |
| -315.619396210857 |
| -367.764949319095 |
| -311.759814193639 |
| -121.935675911181 |
| -55.2414171884398 |
| -257.624180617086 |
| 234.273500705289 |
| -41.606561940311 |
| -93.8443686619473 |
| -173.10075615867 |
| -496.55243984967 |
| -429.852288038732 |
| 1084.59635760217 |
| 845.677749435062 |
| -893.788447289753 |
| 302.61825275632 |
| -94.0872987051122 |
| -645.03207786933 |
| -384.286687138316 |
| -184.831118683562 |
| -185.020605122471 |
| -200.630145917919 |
| -564.650884683713 |
| -583.681545224358 |
| 262.407824051231 |
| 132.505623518099 |
| -122.569602681375 |
| -370.27030735458 |
| 93.773766891945 |
| 1088.97976814272 |
| -1129.21835127696 |
| 344.860014763256 |
| -875.203107346911 |
| 190.587561892595 |
| -912.705170600928 |
| -385.464330682261 |
| -272.202642895444 |
| -255.39744464108 |
| -289.628313697843 |
| -345.629837160912 |
| -177.625502386998 |
| -452.201443266685 |
| -214.355351660026 |
| -347.66220585727 |
| 199.52502286775 |
| 130.118331570197 |
| -91.474172951915 |
| -189.958852610667 |
| 25.3884115667681 |
| -404.697473692705 |
| 82.6234455382156 |
| 3.35587194319319 |
| -355.298672704976 |
| -36.7827869719274 |
| -410.822984801507 |
| -41.4839232561458 |
| -10.6368298995477 |
| -173.073544467062 |
| -42.2081049717882 |
| 1321.7312526505 |
| -417.746394434596 |
| -874.063728115783 |
| -142.04554853289 |
| -448.879041222731 |
| -224.274322353274 |
| -270.454029616431 |
| -424.927166392105 |
| 133.317041270217 |
| 107.333304981441 |
| -416.291597707921 |
| -463.497466031815 |
