Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 1203 | 1115.80157383313 | -19.9987559373420 | 1310.19718210421 | -87.1984261668697 |
2 | 1319 | 1350.27041191349 | -16.2752293323761 | 1304.00481741888 | 31.2704119134912 |
3 | 1328 | 1359.93917209564 | -1.75162482920184 | 1297.81245273356 | 31.9391720956437 |
4 | 1260 | 1220.58185774510 | 8.85722243896905 | 1290.56091981593 | -39.4181422549027 |
5 | 1286 | 1278.62461305856 | 10.0660000431302 | 1283.30938689831 | -7.3753869414395 |
6 | 1274 | 1263.33308305322 | 9.71768986934024 | 1274.94922707744 | -10.6669169467843 |
7 | 1389 | 1491.24158467767 | 20.1693480657504 | 1266.58906725658 | 102.241584677671 |
8 | 1255 | 1258.87909984246 | -6.11048446195155 | 1257.23138461949 | 3.87909984245948 |
9 | 1244 | 1246.71663343618 | -6.59033541858101 | 1247.87370198241 | 2.71663343617547 |
10 | 1336 | 1426.87910356475 | 11.8057009900276 | 1233.31519544523 | 90.8791035647457 |
11 | 1214 | 1219.24151971354 | -9.99820862159106 | 1218.75668890805 | 5.24151971354331 |
12 | 1239 | 1280.83318813218 | 0.108638779041662 | 1197.05817308878 | 41.8331881321781 |
13 | 1174 | 1192.63909866783 | -19.9987559373420 | 1175.35965726951 | 18.6390986678296 |
14 | 1061 | 987.719265718444 | -16.2752293323761 | 1150.55596361393 | -73.2807342815556 |
15 | 1116 | 1107.99935487085 | -1.75162482920184 | 1125.75226995835 | -8.00064512914923 |
16 | 1123 | 1135.16119903558 | 8.85722243896905 | 1101.98157852545 | 12.1611990355786 |
17 | 1086 | 1083.72311286432 | 10.0660000431302 | 1078.21088709255 | -2.27688713568386 |
18 | 1074 | 1081.11179242783 | 9.71768986934024 | 1057.17051770283 | 7.11179242782873 |
19 | 965 | 873.700503621141 | 20.1693480657504 | 1036.13014831311 | -91.2994963788585 |
20 | 1035 | 1060.36505208456 | -6.11048446195155 | 1015.74543237739 | 25.3650520845588 |
21 | 1016 | 1043.22961897690 | -6.59033541858101 | 995.360716441677 | 27.2296189769036 |
22 | 941 | 895.408403212386 | 11.8057009900276 | 974.785895797586 | -45.5915967876141 |
23 | 1003 | 1061.78713346810 | -9.99820862159106 | 954.211075153495 | 58.7871334680956 |
24 | 998 | 1062.94288049906 | 0.108638779041662 | 932.948480721903 | 64.9428804990553 |
25 | 891 | 890.312869647031 | -19.9987559373420 | 911.68588629031 | -0.687130352968552 |
26 | 828 | 784.307973135654 | -16.2752293323761 | 887.967256196722 | -43.6920268643462 |
27 | 833 | 803.502998726068 | -1.75162482920184 | 864.248626103134 | -29.4970012739323 |
28 | 887 | 927.055476067197 | 8.85722243896905 | 838.087301493834 | 40.0554760671965 |
29 | 842 | 862.008023072335 | 10.0660000431302 | 811.925976884535 | 20.0080230723352 |
30 | 793 | 790.08601296613 | 9.71768986934024 | 786.19629716453 | -2.91398703387006 |
31 | 778 | 775.364034489725 | 20.1693480657504 | 760.466617444525 | -2.63596551027535 |
32 | 699 | 668.169630970257 | -6.11048446195155 | 735.940853491695 | -30.8303690297433 |
33 | 686 | 667.175245879716 | -6.59033541858101 | 711.415089538865 | -18.8247541202837 |
34 | 727 | 756.449385485468 | 11.8057009900276 | 685.744913524505 | 29.4493854854677 |
35 | 641 | 631.923471111446 | -9.99820862159106 | 660.074737510145 | -9.07652888855364 |
36 | 619 | 603.467132400548 | 0.108638779041662 | 634.42422882041 | -15.5328675994522 |
37 | 627 | 665.225035806666 | -19.9987559373420 | 608.773720130676 | 38.2250358066656 |
38 | 593 | 617.710673616548 | -16.2752293323761 | 584.564555715828 | 24.7106736165483 |
39 | 535 | 511.396233528223 | -1.75162482920184 | 560.355391300979 | -23.6037664717774 |
40 | 536 | 526.466968297379 | 8.85722243896905 | 536.675809263652 | -9.5330317026212 |
41 | 504 | 484.937772730545 | 10.0660000431302 | 512.996227226325 | -19.0622272694551 |
42 | 487 | 473.353925068768 | 9.71768986934024 | 490.928385061891 | -13.6460749312316 |
43 | 477 | 464.970109036792 | 20.1693480657504 | 468.860542897458 | -12.0298909632082 |
44 | 435 | 426.025144466959 | -6.11048446195155 | 450.085339994993 | -8.9748555330412 |
45 | 433 | 441.280198326053 | -6.59033541858101 | 431.310137092528 | 8.28019832605327 |
46 | 393 | 357.095595539455 | 11.8057009900276 | 417.098703470517 | -35.9044044605449 |
47 | 389 | 385.110938773084 | -9.99820862159106 | 402.887269848507 | -3.88906122691589 |
48 | 377 | 360.065476854795 | 0.108638779041662 | 393.825884366163 | -16.9345231452048 |
49 | 339 | 313.234257053523 | -19.9987559373420 | 384.764498883819 | -25.7657429464774 |
50 | 370 | 375.436731149212 | -16.2752293323761 | 380.838498183164 | 5.43673114921177 |
51 | 350 | 324.839127346693 | -1.75162482920184 | 376.912497482509 | -25.1608726533074 |
52 | 341 | 295.890665832275 | 8.85722243896905 | 377.252111728755 | -45.1093341677246 |
53 | 367 | 346.342273981868 | 10.0660000431302 | 377.591725975002 | -20.6577260181319 |
54 | 396 | 404.835623402167 | 9.71768986934024 | 377.446686728493 | 8.83562340216679 |
55 | 408 | 418.529004452265 | 20.1693480657504 | 377.301647481984 | 10.5290044522654 |
56 | 405 | 438.461061897656 | -6.11048446195155 | 377.649422564296 | 33.4610618976558 |
57 | 391 | 410.593137771974 | -6.59033541858101 | 377.997197646607 | 19.5931377719737 |
58 | 396 | 401.463388875414 | 11.8057009900276 | 378.730910134558 | 5.46338887541407 |
59 | 368 | 366.533585999082 | -9.99820862159106 | 379.464622622509 | -1.46641400091823 |
60 | 356 | 331.605684279206 | 0.108638779041662 | 380.285676941752 | -24.3943157207935 |