Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	619	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	627	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	593	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	535	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	536	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	504	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	487	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	477	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	435	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	393	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	389	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	377	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	339	346.3723	248.8552	443.8894	0.4411	0.2691	0	0.2691
50	370	330.3863	218.8178	441.9548	0.2432	0.4399	0	0.2064
51	350	315.8218	196.8245	434.8191	0.2867	0.1861	2e-04	0.1568
52	341	293.9354	150.8564	437.0144	0.2596	0.2212	5e-04	0.1276
53	367	275.9038	114.5226	437.2851	0.1343	0.2146	0.0028	0.1098
54	396	259.7723	84.325	435.2195	0.064	0.1155	0.0056	0.0952
55	408	241.2292	46.6751	435.7832	0.0465	0.0595	0.0088	0.0857
56	405	223.5848	10.0198	437.1498	0.048	0.0453	0.0262	0.0796
57	391	207.0849	-23.904	438.0739	0.0593	0.0465	0.0276	0.0747
58	396	189.9937	-59.9476	439.935	0.0531	0.0575	0.0557	0.0713
59	368	173.1429	-96.2912	442.5769	0.0782	0.0525	0.0582	0.069
60	356	156.9038	-131.6499	445.4574	0.0881	0.0758	0.0675	0.0675

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1436	-0.0213	0	54.3508	0	0
50	0.1723	0.1199	0.0706	1569.2425	811.7966	28.492
51	0.1922	0.1082	0.0831	1168.1517	930.5817	30.5054
52	0.2484	0.1601	0.1024	2215.0734	1251.7046	35.3794
53	0.2984	0.3302	0.1479	8298.5113	2661.0659	51.5855
54	0.3446	0.5244	0.2107	18557.9961	5310.5543	72.8736
55	0.4115	0.6913	0.2793	27812.5081	8525.1191	92.3316
56	0.4873	0.8114	0.3459	32911.4709	11573.4131	107.5798
57	0.5691	0.8881	0.4061	33824.753	14045.7842	118.5149
58	0.6712	1.0843	0.4739	42438.5938	16885.0652	129.9425
59	0.7939	1.1254	0.5331	37969.3027	18801.814	137.1197
60	0.9383	1.2689	0.5945	39639.3161	20538.2725	143.3118