| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.999949133676386 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 3 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 4 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 5 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 6 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 7 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 8 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 9 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 10 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 11 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 12 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 13 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 14 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 15 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 16 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 17 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 18 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 19 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 20 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 21 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 22 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 23 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 24 | 20.1 | 19.39 | 0.710000000000001 |
| 25 | 21.64 | 20.0999638849102 | 1.54003611508977 |
| 26 | 20.95 | 21.6399216640246 | -0.689921664024595 |
| 27 | 19.46 | 20.9500350937786 | -1.49003509377863 |
| 28 | 19.39 | 19.4600757926073 | -0.0700757926072768 |
| 29 | 19.39 | 19.3900035644979 | -3.56449794480795e-06 |
| 30 | 19.39 | 19.3900000001813 | -1.81312742597584e-10 |
| 31 | 19.39 | 19.39 | -1.06581410364015e-14 |
| 32 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 33 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 34 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 35 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 36 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 37 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 38 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 39 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 40 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 41 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 42 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 43 | 19.39 | 19.39 | 0 |
| 44 | 19.94 | 19.39 | 0.550000000000001 |
| 45 | 20.69 | 19.939972023522 | 0.750027976477988 |
| 46 | 20.69 | 20.6899618488342 | 3.81511657714384e-05 |
| 47 | 21.64 | 20.6899999980594 | 0.950000001940609 |
| 48 | 20.86 | 21.6399516769925 | -0.779951676992468 |
| 49 | 20.67 | 20.8600396732744 | -0.190039673274402 |
| 50 | 20.67 | 20.6700096666195 | -9.66661951906644e-06 |
| 51 | 20.67 | 20.6700000004917 | -4.91706231287026e-10 |
| 52 | 20.67 | 20.67 | -2.48689957516035e-14 |
| 53 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 54 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 55 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 56 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 57 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 58 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 59 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 60 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 61 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 62 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 63 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 64 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 65 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 66 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 67 | 20.7 | 20.67 | 0.0299999999999976 |
| 68 | 20.67 | 20.6999984740103 | -0.0299984740102879 |
| 69 | 20.67 | 20.6700015259121 | -1.52591208646413e-06 |
| 70 | 20.67 | 20.6700000000776 | -7.76161357407545e-11 |
| 71 | 20.67 | 20.67 | -3.5527136788005e-15 |
| 72 | 23.42 | 20.67 | 2.75 |
| 73 | 30.02 | 23.4198601176101 | 6.60013988238994 |
| 74 | 42.03 | 30.0196642751488 | 12.0103357248512 |
| 75 | 32.52 | 42.0293890783763 | -9.5093890783763 |
| 76 | 29.13 | 32.5204837076622 | -3.39048370766224 |
| 77 | 28.57 | 29.1301724614415 | -0.560172461441482 |
| 78 | 28.88 | 28.5700284939137 | 0.309971506086296 |
| 79 | 27.49 | 28.8799842328891 | -1.38998423288906 |
| 80 | 23.75 | 27.4900707033878 | -3.74007070338781 |
| 81 | 23.09 | 23.7501902436467 | -0.660190243646738 |
| 82 | 23.24 | 23.0900335814506 | 0.149966418549418 |
| 83 | 23.52 | 23.2399923717596 | 0.28000762824038 |
| 84 | 22.99 | 23.5199857570414 | -0.52998575704137 |
| 85 | 23.75 | 22.990026958427 | 0.759973041572973 |
| 86 | 23.05 | 23.7499613429653 | -0.699961342965327 |
| 87 | 21.66 | 23.0500356044602 | -1.39003560446019 |
| 88 | 20.84 | 21.6600707060009 | -0.820070706000891 |
| 89 | 20.67 | 20.8400417139819 | -0.170041713981917 |
| 90 | 20.67 | 20.6700086493969 | -8.64939685030208e-06 |
| 91 | 20.67 | 20.67000000044 | -4.39964509268975e-10 |
| 92 | 20.67 | 20.67 | -2.1316282072803e-14 |
| 93 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 94 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 95 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 96 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 97 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 98 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 99 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 100 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 101 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 102 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 103 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 104 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 105 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 106 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 107 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 108 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 109 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 110 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 111 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 112 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 113 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 114 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 115 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 116 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 117 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 118 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 119 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 120 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 121 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 122 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 123 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 124 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 125 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 126 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 127 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 128 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 129 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 130 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 131 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 132 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 133 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 134 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 135 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 136 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 137 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 138 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 139 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 140 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 141 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 142 | 20.67 | 20.67 | 0 |
| 143 | 24.44 | 20.67 | 3.77 |
| 144 | 34.94 | 24.43980823396 | 10.50019176604 |
| 145 | 35 | 34.9394658938476 | 0.0605341061523816 |
| 146 | 35 | 34.9999969208526 | 3.07914743302717e-06 |
| 147 | 35 | 34.9999999998434 | 1.56624935243599e-10 |
| 148 | 35 | 35 | 7.105427357601e-15 |
| 149 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 150 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 151 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 152 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 153 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 154 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 155 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 156 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 157 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 158 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 159 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 160 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 161 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 162 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 163 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 164 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 165 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 166 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 167 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 168 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 169 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 170 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 171 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 172 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 173 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 174 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 175 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 176 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 177 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 178 | 39.26 | 35 | 4.26 |
| 179 | 41.51 | 39.2597833094614 | 2.25021669053859 |
| 180 | 36.41 | 41.5098855397496 | -5.09988553974962 |
| 181 | 41.25 | 36.4102594124283 | 4.83974058757175 |
| 182 | 58.6 | 41.2497538201891 | 17.3502461798109 |
| 183 | 97.81 | 58.599117456763 | 39.210882543237 |
| 184 | 159.74 | 97.8080054865594 | 61.9319945134406 |
| 185 | 161.49 | 159.736849747125 | 1.75315025287497 |
| 186 | 125.32 | 161.489910823692 | -36.1699108236919 |
| 187 | 148.31 | 125.321839830389 | 22.988160169611 |
| 188 | 193.55 | 148.308830676806 | 45.2411693231945 |
| 189 | 307.5 | 193.547698748041 | 113.952301251959 |
| 190 | 612.56 | 307.494203665368 | 305.065796334632 |
| 191 | 459.64 | 612.54448242448 | -152.90448242448 |
| 192 | 375.91 | 459.647777688885 | -83.737777688885 |
| 193 | 424 | 375.914259432899 | 48.0857405671013 |
| 194 | 360.66 | 423.997554055159 | -63.337554055159 |
| 195 | 317.66 | 360.663221748521 | -43.0032217485215 |
| 196 | 368.24 | 317.662187415794 | 50.5778125842061 |
| 197 | 447.95 | 368.237427292617 | 79.7125727073825 |
| 198 | 438.31 | 447.945945314481 | -9.63594531448058 |
| 199 | 382.58 | 438.310490145113 | -55.7304901451127 |
| 200 | 384.93 | 382.582834805147 | 2.34716519485312 |
| 201 | 363.29 | 384.929880608336 | -21.6398806083356 |
| 202 | 344.97 | 363.29110074117 | -18.32110074117 |
| 203 | 360.91 | 344.970931927039 | 15.9390680729607 |
| 204 | 385.42 | 360.909189238205 | 24.5108107617947 |
| 205 | 385.5 | 385.418753225168 | 0.0812467748322092 |
| 206 | 389.09 | 385.499995867275 | 3.59000413272474 |
| 207 | 332.39 | 389.089817389688 | -56.699817389688 |
| 208 | 295.24 | 332.39288411126 | -37.1528841112602 |
| 209 | 279.91 | 295.241889830626 | -15.3318898306264 |
| 210 | 280.1 | 279.91077987687 | 0.189220123130269 |
| 211 | 272.22 | 280.099990375068 | -7.87999037506796 |
| 212 | 311.33 | 272.220400826141 | 39.1095991738595 |
| 213 | 364.8 | 311.328010638472 | 53.471989361528 |
| 214 | 410.52 | 364.797280076485 | 45.7227199235151 |
| 215 | 446 | 410.517674253332 | 35.4823257466682 |
| 216 | 606 | 445.998195144536 | 160.001804855464 |
| 217 | 699 | 605.991861296415 | 93.0081387035846 |
| 218 | 768 | 698.995269017918 | 69.004730982082 |
| 219 | 950 | 767.996489983023 | 182.003510016977 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 220 | 949.99074215056 | 883.560682805727 | 1016.42080149539 |
