Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 711 | 0 | 72 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 235243 | 236187.292507137 | -1294.69126405537 | 235593.398756919 | 944.292507136532 |
2 | 230354 | 229096.343287018 | -3809.21855692986 | 235420.875269912 | -1257.65671298173 |
3 | 227184 | 226438.392547427 | -7318.7443303309 | 235248.351782904 | -745.6074525734 |
4 | 221678 | 218114.168396543 | -9722.83435020938 | 234964.665953666 | -3563.83160345655 |
5 | 217142 | 214069.112070695 | -14466.0921951226 | 234680.980124428 | -3072.88792930503 |
6 | 219452 | 215002.421815873 | -10350.8923151265 | 234252.470499254 | -4449.57818412723 |
7 | 256446 | 257901.567405627 | 21166.4717202927 | 233823.96087408 | 1455.56740562731 |
8 | 265845 | 274513.526216266 | 23856.0974246686 | 233320.376359066 | 8668.52621626557 |
9 | 248624 | 255333.648199071 | 9097.55995687696 | 232816.791844052 | 6709.6481990712 |
10 | 241114 | 250397.621119635 | -293.004224221963 | 232123.383104587 | 9283.62111963515 |
11 | 229245 | 234029.591150434 | -6969.56551555605 | 231429.974365122 | 4784.59115043428 |
12 | 231805 | 233327.727634864 | 104.906636401442 | 230177.365728734 | 1522.72763486445 |
13 | 219277 | 210923.934171709 | -1294.69126405537 | 228924.757092346 | -8353.06582829109 |
14 | 219313 | 215268.66753126 | -3809.21855692986 | 227166.551025670 | -4044.33246873989 |
15 | 212610 | 207130.399371338 | -7318.7443303309 | 225408.344958993 | -5479.60062866213 |
16 | 214771 | 215969.76047706 | -9722.83435020938 | 223295.073873150 | 1198.76047705981 |
17 | 211142 | 215568.289407816 | -14466.0921951226 | 221181.802787306 | 4426.28940781645 |
18 | 211457 | 214456.773164468 | -10350.8923151265 | 218808.119150659 | 2999.77316446783 |
19 | 240048 | 242495.092765696 | 21166.4717202927 | 216434.435514011 | 2447.09276569591 |
20 | 240636 | 243831.422601031 | 23856.0974246686 | 213584.4799743 | 3195.42260103131 |
21 | 230580 | 241327.915608534 | 9097.55995687696 | 210734.524434589 | 10747.9156085341 |
22 | 208795 | 210619.235727912 | -293.004224221963 | 207263.768496310 | 1824.23572791234 |
23 | 197922 | 199020.552957526 | -6969.56551555605 | 203793.012558030 | 1098.55295752574 |
24 | 194596 | 188983.465177797 | 104.906636401442 | 200103.628185802 | -5612.53482220334 |
25 | 194581 | 194042.447450482 | -1294.69126405537 | 196414.243813573 | -538.552549518092 |
26 | 185686 | 182230.911623547 | -3809.21855692986 | 192950.306933382 | -3455.08837645251 |
27 | 178106 | 174044.374277140 | -7318.7443303309 | 189486.370053191 | -4061.62572286031 |
28 | 172608 | 168370.782524241 | -9722.83435020938 | 186568.051825968 | -4237.21747575901 |
29 | 167302 | 165420.358596377 | -14466.0921951226 | 183649.733598746 | -1881.64140362304 |
30 | 168053 | 164987.905316137 | -10350.8923151265 | 181468.986998989 | -3065.09468386252 |
31 | 202300 | 204145.287880475 | 21166.4717202927 | 179288.240399233 | 1845.2878804747 |
32 | 202388 | 203283.108195555 | 23856.0974246686 | 177636.794379777 | 895.108195554698 |
33 | 182516 | 179949.091682802 | 9097.55995687696 | 175985.348360321 | -2566.90831719787 |
34 | 173476 | 172565.880029883 | -293.004224221963 | 174679.124194339 | -910.119970116968 |
35 | 166444 | 166484.665487199 | -6969.56551555605 | 173372.900028357 | 40.6654871991486 |
36 | 171297 | 170258.404139043 | 104.906636401442 | 172230.689224556 | -1038.59586095711 |
37 | 169701 | 169608.212843301 | -1294.69126405537 | 171088.478420754 | -92.7871566990798 |
38 | 164182 | 162044.944186807 | -3809.21855692986 | 170128.274370123 | -2137.05581319294 |
39 | 161914 | 161978.674010840 | -7318.7443303309 | 169168.070319491 | 64.6740108397789 |
40 | 159612 | 160197.224262798 | -9722.83435020938 | 168749.610087412 | 585.224262797798 |
41 | 151001 | 148136.942339791 | -14466.0921951226 | 168331.149855332 | -2864.05766020948 |
42 | 158114 | 157710.479040687 | -10350.8923151265 | 168868.413274439 | -403.520959312649 |
43 | 186530 | 182487.851586161 | 21166.4717202927 | 169405.676693546 | -4042.14841383908 |
44 | 187069 | 179122.874917143 | 23856.0974246686 | 171159.027658189 | -7946.12508285732 |
45 | 174330 | 166650.061420292 | 9097.55995687696 | 172912.378622831 | -7679.93857970813 |
46 | 169362 | 163371.550045738 | -293.004224221963 | 175645.454178483 | -5990.44995426151 |
47 | 166827 | 162245.035781420 | -6969.56551555605 | 178378.529734136 | -4581.9642185797 |
48 | 178037 | 174266.733244236 | 104.906636401442 | 181702.360119363 | -3770.26675576437 |
49 | 186413 | 189094.500759465 | -1294.69126405537 | 185026.19050459 | 2681.50075946527 |
50 | 189226 | 193804.816267151 | -3809.21855692986 | 188456.402289779 | 4578.81626715086 |
51 | 191563 | 198558.130255363 | -7318.7443303309 | 191886.614074968 | 6995.13025536304 |
52 | 188906 | 192488.368215586 | -9722.83435020938 | 195046.466134624 | 3582.36821558571 |
53 | 186005 | 188269.774000843 | -14466.0921951226 | 198206.318194279 | 2264.77400084308 |
54 | 195309 | 200093.909393610 | -10350.8923151265 | 200874.982921517 | 4784.90939360965 |
55 | 223532 | 222353.880630953 | 21166.4717202927 | 203543.647648754 | -1178.11936904705 |
56 | 226899 | 224457.492878150 | 23856.0974246686 | 205484.409697181 | -2441.50712184969 |
57 | 214126 | 211729.268297515 | 9097.55995687696 | 207425.171745608 | -2396.73170248495 |
58 | 206903 | 205447.607166136 | -293.004224221963 | 208651.397058086 | -1455.39283386400 |
59 | 204442 | 205975.943144992 | -6969.56551555605 | 209877.622370564 | 1533.94314499211 |
60 | 220375 | 230105.223079418 | 104.906636401442 | 210539.870284181 | 9730.2230794176 |
61 | 214320 | 218732.573066257 | -1294.69126405537 | 211202.118197798 | 4412.57306625735 |
62 | 212588 | 218004.134858948 | -3809.21855692986 | 210981.083697982 | 5416.13485894824 |
63 | 205816 | 208190.695132166 | -7318.7443303309 | 210760.049198165 | 2374.69513216571 |
64 | 202196 | 204110.929594937 | -9722.83435020938 | 210003.904755273 | 1914.92959493652 |
65 | 195722 | 196662.331882742 | -14466.0921951226 | 209247.760312381 | 940.331882742 |
66 | 198563 | 199076.110803032 | -10350.8923151265 | 208400.781512094 | 513.110803032061 |
67 | 229139 | 229557.725567899 | 21166.4717202927 | 207553.802711808 | 418.725567898859 |
68 | 229527 | 228599.370086624 | 23856.0974246686 | 206598.532488707 | -927.629913376004 |
69 | 211868 | 208995.177777517 | 9097.55995687696 | 205643.262265607 | -2872.82222248349 |
70 | 203555 | 202807.626943079 | -293.004224221963 | 204595.377281143 | -747.373056921206 |
71 | 195770 | 194962.073218876 | -6969.56551555605 | 203547.492296680 | -807.926781123708 |