Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[44])
3239.66-------
3339.66-------
3439.67-------
3539.56-------
3639.64-------
3739.73-------
3839.7-------
3939.7-------
4039.68-------
4139.76-------
4240-------
4339.96-------
4440.01-------
4540.0140.0139.776440.24360.50.50.99830.5
4640.0140.0139.679740.34030.50.50.97820.5
474040.0139.605540.41450.48070.50.98540.5
4839.9140.0139.542940.47710.33740.51670.93970.5
4939.8640.0139.487740.53230.28670.64630.85330.5
5039.7940.0139.437940.58210.22550.69630.85590.5
5139.7940.0139.392140.62790.24270.75730.83730.5
5239.840.0139.349440.67060.26660.7430.83620.5
5339.6440.0139.309340.71070.15030.72150.75780.5
5439.5540.0139.271440.74860.11110.83690.51060.5
5539.3640.0139.235440.78460.050.87780.55030.5
5639.2840.0139.200940.81910.03850.94230.50.5


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
450.00300000
460.004200000
470.0052-2e-041e-041e-0400.0058
480.006-0.00257e-040.010.00250.0502
490.0067-0.00370.00130.02250.00650.0807
500.0073-0.00550.0020.04840.01350.1162
510.0079-0.00550.00250.04840.01850.136
520.0084-0.00520.00280.04410.02170.1473
530.0089-0.00920.00360.13690.03450.1857
540.0094-0.01150.00430.21160.05220.2285
550.0099-0.01620.00540.42250.08590.293
560.0103-0.01820.00650.53290.12310.3509