Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	142.35	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	144.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	145.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	156.01	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	146.74	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	156.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	152.29	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	122.56	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	154.59	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	149.68	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	118.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	109.22	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	104.19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	107.33	105.3216	91.6406	123.1761	0.4128	0.5494	0	0.5494
51	114.07	106.1874	87.488	133.5572	0.2862	0.4674	0.0022	0.5569
52	107.92	111.8342	87.7634	151.1045	0.4226	0.4556	0.0137	0.6486
53	103.53	106.678	81.6977	149.8212	0.4431	0.4775	0.0344	0.545
54	117.3	112.0757	82.5837	168.0252	0.4274	0.6177	0.06	0.6088
55	112.09	109.7807	79.2264	170.8915	0.4705	0.4047	0.0864	0.5712
56	95.08	92.5816	67.9342	139.8344	0.4587	0.2092	0.1068	0.3151
57	123.28	111.0528	76.4952	189.3527	0.3798	0.6554	0.1379	0.5682
58	121.98	108.3275	73.672	189.7164	0.3712	0.3594	0.1597	0.5397
59	121.74	90.2691	63.2527	148.6764	0.1455	0.1436	0.1696	0.3202
60	119.93	84.3674	59.2349	138.4113	0.0986	0.0876	0.1837	0.2361
61	115.11	81.1823	56.7747	134.2287	0.105	0.0761	0.1976	0.1976

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0865	0.0191	0	4.0337	0	0
51	0.1315	0.0742	0.0467	62.1358	33.0847	5.7519
52	0.1792	-0.035	0.0428	15.3207	27.1634	5.2119
53	0.2063	-0.0295	0.0395	9.9102	22.8501	4.7802
54	0.2547	0.0466	0.0409	27.2934	23.7388	4.8722
55	0.284	0.021	0.0376	5.3329	20.6711	4.5466
56	0.2604	0.027	0.0361	6.2418	18.6098	4.3139
57	0.3597	0.1101	0.0453	149.5055	34.9718	5.9137
58	0.3833	0.126	0.0543	186.3911	51.7961	7.197
59	0.3301	0.3486	0.0837	990.4199	145.6585	12.0689
60	0.3268	0.4215	0.1144	1264.7011	247.3897	15.7286
61	0.3334	0.4179	0.1397	1151.0897	322.698	17.9638