| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 49915 | 49915 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 47469 | 48054.9100273512 | -1908.51228848179 | -585.910027351172 | -0.625488585550989 |
| 3 | 45652 | 45445.8356321007 | -2397.35531297182 | 206.164367899272 | -0.149024276652523 |
| 4 | 43492 | 43332.3435485845 | -2187.19966673854 | 159.656451415450 | 0.0621313871758061 |
| 5 | 41087 | 41106.6751305862 | -2215.0849477409 | -19.6751305861678 | -0.0079565128619767 |
| 6 | 42931 | 42052.4397671654 | 64.936513275486 | 878.560232834582 | 0.65680302011448 |
| 7 | 67256 | 62050.9851281384 | 14488.8733019679 | 5205.01487186161 | 4.15121270134145 |
| 8 | 72316 | 74531.9348744421 | 13035.1129719894 | -2215.93487444214 | -0.418188710152325 |
| 9 | 65624 | 70219.9496262154 | 477.104421390131 | -4595.94962621536 | -3.61273986015508 |
| 10 | 59450 | 60738.6456728403 | -6730.69754420941 | -1288.64567284032 | -2.07352923660390 |
| 11 | 52851 | 52451.876074245 | -7856.89420889287 | 399.123925755013 | -0.323981538875216 |
| 12 | 51214 | 49691.5554151534 | -4168.21376550952 | 1522.44458484665 | 1.06115169088050 |
| 13 | 44092 | 44728.4750105224 | -4742.0600082226 | -636.47501052238 | -0.165575793548647 |
| 14 | 43752 | 43191.9851680310 | -2419.20896499232 | 560.014831969047 | 0.678694016392548 |
| 15 | 40320 | 40188.5200983374 | -2827.23952674978 | 131.479901662643 | -0.116793934872384 |
| 16 | 40551 | 38604.2225628837 | -1960.67442824940 | 1946.77743711625 | 0.253193319462149 |
| 17 | 38329 | 38299.0404129765 | -799.622440403144 | 29.9595870235352 | 0.333835640316512 |
| 18 | 39530 | 43672.1625251407 | 3495.66130739115 | -4142.16252514068 | 1.23296671383039 |
| 19 | 59648 | 53673.2922902639 | 8021.82547478744 | 5974.70770973614 | 1.30306337569509 |
| 20 | 61031 | 59842.3704513962 | 6730.77302032815 | 1188.62954860378 | -0.371467632964803 |
| 21 | 55560 | 59281.7446653009 | 1648.19521816235 | -3721.7446653009 | -1.46205106993328 |
| 22 | 43877 | 47941.0955180597 | -7405.47819353161 | -4064.09551805966 | -2.60471367796243 |
| 23 | 38510 | 39063.8362282919 | -8430.99906663948 | -553.83622829186 | -0.295022139652995 |
| 24 | 36085 | 33352.9073539625 | -6537.60563196163 | 2732.09264603755 | 0.544858643081406 |
| 25 | 35994 | 35089.7456208396 | -777.407116033018 | 904.254379160363 | 1.66203971211854 |
| 26 | 32617 | 32448.582261804 | -2076.48225280578 | 168.417738196016 | -0.374255852490388 |
| 27 | 30001 | 29617.92542403 | -2596.69678035483 | 383.074575970006 | -0.149313969071453 |
| 28 | 27894 | 26136.2776898046 | -3205.52353696901 | 1757.72231019536 | -0.176114056035855 |
| 29 | 26083 | 26954.1104165456 | -423.977156476301 | -871.110416545596 | 0.801730506581558 |
| 30 | 28817 | 33937.7993102224 | 4682.14216449458 | -5120.79931022242 | 1.46613502676548 |
| 31 | 48742 | 42505.8816732421 | 7355.45030239892 | 6236.11832675788 | 0.768965229592107 |
| 32 | 49915 | 47606.1907382553 | 5802.45734203271 | 2308.80926174471 | -0.44689822013063 |
| 33 | 40264 | 42698.4952616616 | -1578.18058637246 | -2434.49526166159 | -2.12317699958105 |
| 34 | 34276 | 37913.0160557226 | -3788.44063477600 | -3637.01605572264 | -0.635865599434165 |
| 35 | 30426 | 32318.9473430505 | -5032.14094508802 | -1892.94734305054 | -0.357789863224785 |
| 36 | 30793 | 29861.0322013219 | -3260.16339595976 | 931.96779867806 | 0.510085538939467 |
| 37 | 29855 | 27944.6870626057 | -2334.47521077088 | 1910.31293739425 | 0.26677926209369 |
| 38 | 28081 | 26763.0836287648 | -1540.58724720524 | 1317.91637123518 | 0.228354021685662 |
| 39 | 26820 | 25427.3442948253 | -1400.23321729475 | 1392.65570517474 | 0.0403314770097582 |
| 40 | 25782 | 24835.0564856024 | -847.4490756093 | 946.943514397606 | 0.159424302657798 |
| 41 | 22654 | 25819.3657289281 | 409.440685043375 | -3165.36572892806 | 0.362209382122214 |
| 42 | 27373 | 32765.1962084638 | 4891.25096588271 | -5392.1962084638 | 1.28804991139661 |
| 43 | 43675 | 37433.7256351276 | 4738.80996300735 | 6241.27436487237 | -0.0438297637262487 |
| 44 | 45096 | 40069.8386809300 | 3299.28661744680 | 5026.16131906995 | -0.414172084362699 |
| 45 | 38145 | 40244.8076503221 | 1158.92368420508 | -2099.80765032213 | -0.61575276386306 |
| 46 | 34017 | 37902.8099065578 | -1239.66626997443 | -3885.80990655779 | -0.690023240910395 |
| 47 | 31537 | 34644.3626614841 | -2622.29163776583 | -3107.36266148412 | -0.397788229981384 |
| 48 | 33814 | 32934.1573268921 | -1997.71738675355 | 879.842673107918 | 0.179793888019627 |
| 49 | 36531 | 33968.2681941513 | 79.662948237155 | 2562.73180584873 | 0.59818564696341 |
| 50 | 36935 | 35099.4269041232 | 799.634448250583 | 1835.57309587678 | 0.207037952097699 |
| 51 | 36497 | 35141.9145688030 | 282.737625065423 | 1355.08543119695 | -0.148605247383081 |
| 52 | 35110 | 34899.7900591218 | -75.2895058861104 | 210.209940878196 | -0.103140945482274 |
| 53 | 33137 | 37795.4932882038 | 1954.96630953774 | -4658.49328820382 | 0.584835370851633 |
| 54 | 37407 | 42466.8870128123 | 3811.37294234474 | -5059.88701281231 | 0.533830023832569 |
| 55 | 53963 | 47190.501668624 | 4434.01297005744 | 6772.49833137596 | 0.17901246348803 |
| 56 | 56602 | 50896.4372459454 | 3937.19309018352 | 5705.56275405458 | -0.142913943442061 |
| 57 | 49694 | 51468.2770817664 | 1639.83201388054 | -1774.27708176640 | -0.660928068411421 |
| 58 | 43957 | 48267.747066966 | -1664.88036798074 | -4310.74706696604 | -0.950733351828158 |
| 59 | 41723 | 45313.1318324563 | -2545.29819128717 | -3590.13183245635 | -0.253325187313365 |
| 60 | 45599 | 45066.0271299942 | -976.293296516713 | 532.972870005765 | 0.451620286142561 |
| 61 | 42503 | 41079.2149010603 | -3032.42101963358 | 1423.78509893975 | -0.591783983916273 |
| 62 | 42153 | 39241.9741741646 | -2216.74049833499 | 2911.02582583536 | 0.234553621817085 |
| 63 | 39098 | 37323.8791520904 | -2013.31672455791 | 1774.12084790964 | 0.0584970524155923 |
| 64 | 37449 | 37534.0864154188 | -499.512856155734 | -85.0864154187898 | 0.43587967697749 |
| 65 | 34748 | 39775.0537511742 | 1368.48646741695 | -5027.05375117424 | 0.53793176246557 |
| 66 | 36548 | 42079.2698958729 | 2006.50762033808 | -5531.26989587292 | 0.183526344978030 |
| 67 | 53639 | 46329.9016102382 | 3535.34720809742 | 7309.09838976176 | 0.439587940458182 |
| 68 | 55289 | 48919.2437057034 | 2891.17195094746 | 6369.75629429663 | -0.185278399253649 |
| 69 | 47774 | 48789.9463504437 | 834.151091208721 | -1015.94635044374 | -0.591773603848368 |
| 70 | 42156 | 46880.6414977795 | -1034.44293477845 | -4724.64149777951 | -0.537612854741253 |
| 71 | 38019 | 42992.6012693490 | -2978.1031007798 | -4973.60126934904 | -0.559299922580377 |
