| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 3065 | 3065 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 2997 | 3008.52132984141 | -57.4308461652338 | -11.5213298414105 | -0.394571923099675 |
| 3 | 2901 | 2904.48245445651 | -92.0410946133205 | -3.482454456509 | -0.233214850986717 |
| 4 | 2815 | 2811.98042638843 | -92.4006291181543 | 3.01957361156934 | -0.00228395106446355 |
| 5 | 2709 | 2710.84711376416 | -99.0688472962668 | -1.84711376416367 | -0.0417410036872391 |
| 6 | 2711 | 2692.90041666764 | -37.1127176303377 | 18.099583332359 | 0.390063775627983 |
| 7 | 3509 | 3360.9252125022 | 502.450445333022 | 148.074787497804 | 3.39282560013221 |
| 8 | 3369 | 3494.63203290656 | 220.254613650929 | -125.63203290656 | -1.77441480569011 |
| 9 | 3596 | 3598.04039785579 | 130.84742838385 | -2.04039785578978 | -0.562189657734893 |
| 10 | 3448 | 3492.23032542799 | -50.2163857782155 | -44.2303254279921 | -1.13851232294309 |
| 11 | 3160 | 3198.12608032255 | -236.811707873242 | -38.1260803225456 | -1.17329512656562 |
| 12 | 2934 | 2926.23880999051 | -263.648105074292 | 7.76119000949463 | -0.168744903466494 |
| 13 | 2534 | 2555.07420020928 | -345.745313209625 | -21.0742002092838 | -0.517493978489517 |
| 14 | 2266 | 2254.63042018064 | -311.042583490159 | 11.3695798193634 | 0.221450641719808 |
| 15 | 2088 | 2062.4048966199 | -223.780385860205 | 25.5951033800988 | 0.548037194003999 |
| 16 | 1932 | 1885.12811360623 | -189.436273627021 | 46.8718863937721 | 0.218798237261057 |
| 17 | 1784 | 1768.46397035217 | -135.680422298517 | 15.5360296478293 | 0.337110549454524 |
| 18 | 1851 | 1949.36764264171 | 96.8386750230845 | -98.3676426417081 | 1.4611662625695 |
| 19 | 2700 | 2410.25787418582 | 364.557413231091 | 289.742125814179 | 1.68429329247413 |
| 20 | 2580 | 2728.76396020645 | 330.663129715337 | -148.763960206453 | -0.213119576721193 |
| 21 | 2829 | 2842.21808779584 | 170.784291962522 | -13.2180877958423 | -1.00528997780698 |
| 22 | 2298 | 2422.9319125651 | -263.520639190831 | -124.931912565101 | -2.73097136959565 |
| 23 | 2045 | 2071.68499435855 | -328.076333395277 | -26.6849943585501 | -0.405921443073218 |
| 24 | 1824 | 1770.94605818772 | -307.975294787013 | 53.0539418122791 | 0.126419177550124 |
| 25 | 1872 | 1813.71522837652 | -50.0951096309418 | 58.2847716234812 | 1.62591288219237 |
| 26 | 1801 | 1812.27350932658 | -14.2792011961628 | -11.2735093265821 | 0.225515918419823 |
| 27 | 1735 | 1715.18250347072 | -74.5217355450237 | 19.8174965292804 | -0.378270078091017 |
| 28 | 1639 | 1588.69493438335 | -112.319134459529 | 50.3050656166522 | -0.239052361931656 |
| 29 | 1521 | 1559.68504954285 | -51.5234587913615 | -38.685049542846 | 0.382337989611295 |
| 30 | 1758 | 1890.44934070841 | 226.430773552593 | -132.449340708406 | 1.74536624628129 |
| 31 | 2603 | 2312.76244695178 | 368.780125196721 | 290.237553048224 | 0.89534009133089 |
| 32 | 2540 | 2668.94970562274 | 359.619627478365 | -128.949705622737 | -0.0576076578612994 |
| 33 | 3103 | 2972.93319801753 | 319.135257613662 | 130.066801982469 | -0.254552555312155 |
| 34 | 2801 | 2960.85093454054 | 78.1318580864534 | -159.850934540542 | -1.51549629249334 |
| 35 | 2590 | 2685.13473316619 | -179.230373665122 | -95.1347331661929 | -1.61825202014122 |
| 36 | 2324 | 2385.92658635877 | -266.434699894323 | -61.9265863587737 | -0.548616955098713 |
| 37 | 2424 | 2327.87996012428 | -114.874431275599 | 96.1200398757212 | 0.954707986502277 |
| 38 | 2288 | 2257.33172597887 | -82.6487653773345 | 30.6682740211252 | 0.202594005573066 |
| 39 | 2163 | 2112.02825671909 | -127.946941679866 | 50.9717432809054 | -0.284613928451145 |
| 40 | 2082 | 2020.28549144245 | -101.782658861419 | 61.7145085575511 | 0.164995401597328 |
| 41 | 1937 | 2046.81273470064 | -8.81664598509114 | -109.812734700645 | 0.585039709485024 |
| 42 | 2155 | 2295.95177730898 | 177.766692944792 | -140.951777308984 | 1.17196428997283 |
| 43 | 2874 | 2589.36348269849 | 261.323175068105 | 284.636517301509 | 0.525344853228414 |
| 44 | 2836 | 2958.82413658518 | 339.505870376773 | -122.824136585179 | 0.491677046270253 |
| 45 | 3439 | 3246.73503793894 | 302.186193739311 | 192.264962061064 | -0.23465905208662 |
| 46 | 3278 | 3374.02365686944 | 175.682184238808 | -96.0236568694404 | -0.795461686634786 |
| 47 | 3129 | 3252.48431823018 | -39.2108882243069 | -123.484318230177 | -1.35127280967065 |
| 48 | 2959 | 3100.15180750171 | -120.974293569908 | -141.151807501715 | -0.514423801137036 |
| 49 | 3060 | 2972.14054452987 | -126.063645289801 | 87.8594554701331 | -0.0320345741624389 |
| 50 | 2898 | 2836.12378596156 | -133.256515505258 | 61.8762140384404 | -0.0452095736285125 |
| 51 | 2783 | 2714.89932819909 | -124.589293626072 | 68.1006718009058 | 0.0544746343218403 |
| 52 | 2632 | 2588.12644875065 | -126.1617794179 | 43.8735512493452 | -0.00990411744538079 |
| 53 | 2465 | 2604.05022701716 | -23.6573808605812 | -139.050227017159 | 0.645074161407301 |
| 54 | 2689 | 2816.61139198726 | 146.643517767402 | -127.611391987259 | 1.07011712518994 |
| 55 | 3321 | 3066.03864354455 | 220.667824554741 | 254.961356455445 | 0.465318489748285 |
| 56 | 3359 | 3453.71793609093 | 340.978920306346 | -94.7179360909344 | 0.756556254003159 |
| 57 | 4108 | 3868.98620739569 | 394.518085458683 | 239.013792604314 | 0.336652662732684 |
| 58 | 3407 | 3582.58900433025 | -96.2147637535746 | -175.589004330245 | -3.08569895407298 |
| 59 | 3241 | 3349.92228909767 | -194.527004960755 | -108.922289097669 | -0.618238700894315 |
| 60 | 3013 | 3156.33281984418 | -193.851538820364 | -143.33281984418 | 0.00424951123704307 |
| 61 | 3067 | 2970.52202683791 | -188.055922648614 | 96.4779731620921 | 0.0364631942862495 |
| 62 | 2965 | 2868.42829301131 | -126.144961359825 | 96.5717069886926 | 0.389131298758314 |
| 63 | 2823 | 2733.38062645764 | -132.543382696662 | 89.619373542362 | -0.0402215478615863 |
| 64 | 2718 | 2676.60491289207 | -78.0989277341145 | 41.3950871079259 | 0.342707534470107 |
| 65 | 2567 | 2733.29299074601 | 18.878087622085 | -166.29299074601 | 0.610223872428589 |
| 66 | 2658 | 2814.47117922924 | 63.6936816447249 | -156.471179229237 | 0.281689107048199 |
| 67 | 3436 | 3195.8435886772 | 292.023865959307 | 240.156411322798 | 1.43521013520164 |
| 68 | 3375 | 3513.49534691749 | 310.443191405403 | -138.495346917489 | 0.115816452023226 |
| 69 | 3931 | 3562.46723760569 | 122.461057320644 | 368.532762394312 | -1.1820397174037 |
| 70 | 3371 | 3535.72795516838 | 15.1900677394097 | -164.727955168382 | -0.674528766231616 |
| 71 | 3038 | 3219.50169645456 | -223.055421458684 | -181.501696454564 | -1.49829686584636 |
