| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 711 | 0 | 72 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 961 | 993.563096169051 | 10.146251441526 | 918.290652389423 | 32.5630961690513 |
| 2 | 935 | 931.62797872193 | 3.9310079154315 | 934.441013362638 | -3.37202127806961 |
| 3 | 956 | 957.026209883083 | 4.38241578106375 | 950.591374335854 | 1.02620988308274 |
| 4 | 951 | 939.42566243381 | -5.03494916108284 | 967.609286727273 | -11.5743375661901 |
| 5 | 986 | 1004.99182176169 | -17.6190208803822 | 984.627199118693 | 18.9918217616896 |
| 6 | 980 | 994.568313682935 | -37.3926362951399 | 1002.8243226122 | 14.5683136829349 |
| 7 | 1031 | 1033.14479373586 | 7.83376015842168 | 1021.02144610572 | 2.14479373586107 |
| 8 | 1059 | 1039.86370334354 | 37.5764665500332 | 1040.55983010643 | -19.1362966564618 |
| 9 | 1036 | 999.249263518768 | 12.6525223740924 | 1060.09821410714 | -36.750736481232 |
| 10 | 1023 | 959.120312920057 | 0.174587862703851 | 1086.70509921724 | -63.8796870799433 |
| 11 | 1030 | 954.82469494038 | -8.13667926772009 | 1113.31198432734 | -75.1753050596192 |
| 12 | 1075 | 1006.57162279473 | -8.51371840574718 | 1151.94209561101 | -68.4283772052663 |
| 13 | 1151 | 1101.28154166379 | 10.146251441526 | 1190.57220689469 | -49.7184583362136 |
| 14 | 1220 | 1200.2804968716 | 3.9310079154315 | 1235.78849521297 | -19.7195031284032 |
| 15 | 1290 | 1294.61280068768 | 4.38241578106375 | 1281.00478353126 | 4.61280068768087 |
| 16 | 1330 | 1336.27269511379 | -5.03494916108284 | 1328.76225404729 | 6.27269511379359 |
| 17 | 1419 | 1479.09929631706 | -17.6190208803822 | 1376.51972456332 | 60.099296317059 |
| 18 | 1443 | 1503.497298035 | -37.3926362951399 | 1419.89533826014 | 60.4972980349987 |
| 19 | 1516 | 1560.89528788462 | 7.83376015842168 | 1463.27095195696 | 44.8952878846187 |
| 20 | 1546 | 1558.60714298897 | 37.5764665500332 | 1495.816390461 | 12.6071429889685 |
| 21 | 1579 | 1616.98564866087 | 12.6525223740924 | 1528.36182896504 | 37.985648660871 |
| 22 | 1591 | 1634.1960225333 | 0.174587862703851 | 1547.629389604 | 43.1960225332959 |
| 23 | 1603 | 1647.23972902476 | -8.13667926772009 | 1566.89695024296 | 44.2397290247566 |
| 24 | 1606 | 1645.07549137118 | -8.51371840574718 | 1575.43822703457 | 39.0754913711762 |
| 25 | 1616 | 1637.8742447323 | 10.146251441526 | 1583.97950382618 | 21.8742447322957 |
| 26 | 1628 | 1666.44583059988 | 3.9310079154315 | 1585.62316148469 | 38.4458305998769 |
| 27 | 1594 | 1596.35076507573 | 4.38241578106375 | 1587.2668191432 | 2.35076507573126 |
| 28 | 1596 | 1614.26133892942 | -5.03494916108284 | 1582.77361023167 | 18.2613389294156 |
| 29 | 1526 | 1491.33861956025 | -17.6190208803822 | 1578.28040132013 | -34.6613804397473 |
| 30 | 1535 | 1538.51841233463 | -37.3926362951399 | 1568.87422396051 | 3.51841233463324 |
| 31 | 1581 | 1594.69819324069 | 7.83376015842168 | 1559.46804660088 | 13.6981932406945 |
| 32 | 1611 | 1637.01941742519 | 37.5764665500332 | 1547.40411602478 | 26.0194174251865 |
| 33 | 1571 | 1594.00729217723 | 12.6525223740924 | 1535.34018544868 | 23.0072921772307 |
| 34 | 1535 | 1550.35366275221 | 0.174587862703851 | 1519.47174938508 | 15.3536627522114 |
| 35 | 1498 | 1500.53336594623 | -8.13667926772009 | 1503.60331332149 | 2.53336594622783 |
| 36 | 1493 | 1514.43786986119 | -8.51371840574718 | 1480.07584854456 | 21.4378698611856 |
| 37 | 1480 | 1493.30536479084 | 10.146251441526 | 1456.54838376763 | 13.3053647908434 |
| 38 | 1448 | 1464.16953696276 | 3.9310079154315 | 1427.8994551218 | 16.1695369627637 |
| 39 | 1462 | 1520.36705774296 | 4.38241578106375 | 1399.25052647598 | 58.3670577429573 |
| 40 | 1428 | 1489.52735159265 | -5.03494916108284 | 1371.50759756843 | 61.5273515926528 |
| 41 | 1315 | 1303.8543522195 | -17.6190208803822 | 1343.76466866088 | -11.1456477804986 |
| 42 | 1186 | 1088.98831148918 | -37.3926362951399 | 1320.40432480596 | -97.011688510817 |
| 43 | 1230 | 1155.12225889055 | 7.83376015842168 | 1297.04398095103 | -74.877741109455 |
| 44 | 1271 | 1224.30370083936 | 37.5764665500332 | 1280.11983261061 | -46.6962991606399 |
| 45 | 1243 | 1210.15179335573 | 12.6525223740924 | 1263.19568427018 | -32.8482066442723 |
| 46 | 1220 | 1184.07104987085 | 0.174587862703851 | 1255.75436226645 | -35.9289501291496 |
| 47 | 1214 | 1187.82363900501 | -8.13667926772009 | 1248.31304026271 | -26.1763609949912 |
| 48 | 1227 | 1210.33509690024 | -8.51371840574718 | 1252.1786215055 | -16.6649030997564 |
| 49 | 1262 | 1257.80954581018 | 10.146251441526 | 1256.0442027483 | -4.19045418982182 |
| 50 | 1274 | 1277.73478193414 | 3.9310079154315 | 1266.33421015043 | 3.73478193414303 |
| 51 | 1272 | 1262.99336666638 | 4.38241578106375 | 1276.62421755256 | -9.006633333619 |
| 52 | 1249 | 1212.09746785192 | -5.03494916108284 | 1290.93748130916 | -36.9025321480822 |
| 53 | 1266 | 1244.36827581461 | -17.6190208803822 | 1305.25074506577 | -21.6317241853928 |
| 54 | 1307 | 1327.67132325972 | -37.3926362951399 | 1323.72131303542 | 20.6713232597181 |
| 55 | 1345 | 1339.97435883651 | 7.83376015842168 | 1342.19188100507 | -5.02564116349049 |
| 56 | 1369 | 1337.0933118965 | 37.5764665500332 | 1363.33022155347 | -31.9066881035021 |
| 57 | 1374 | 1350.87891552404 | 12.6525223740924 | 1384.46856210187 | -23.1210844759612 |
| 58 | 1400 | 1392.32427766019 | 0.174587862703851 | 1407.5011344771 | -7.67572233980786 |
| 59 | 1425 | 1427.60297241538 | -8.13667926772009 | 1430.53370685234 | 2.60297241538115 |
| 60 | 1465 | 1483.10095158686 | -8.51371840574718 | 1455.41276681889 | 18.1009515868559 |
| 61 | 1510 | 1529.56192177303 | 10.146251441526 | 1480.29182678544 | 19.5619217730309 |
| 62 | 1508 | 1504.73341156624 | 3.9310079154315 | 1507.33558051833 | -3.2665884337589 |
| 63 | 1512 | 1485.23824996772 | 4.38241578106375 | 1534.37933425121 | -26.7617500322754 |
| 64 | 1539 | 1521.17014681437 | -5.03494916108284 | 1561.86480234671 | -17.8298531856256 |
| 65 | 1569 | 1566.26875043818 | -17.6190208803822 | 1589.35027044221 | -2.73124956182301 |
| 66 | 1571 | 1562.60185362193 | -37.3926362951399 | 1616.79078267321 | -8.39814637807308 |
| 67 | 1650 | 1647.93494493736 | 7.83376015842168 | 1644.23129490422 | -2.06505506264284 |
| 68 | 1736 | 1762.59184832044 | 37.5764665500332 | 1671.83168512953 | 26.5918483204396 |
| 69 | 1700 | 1687.91540227107 | 12.6525223740924 | 1699.43207535483 | -12.0845977289257 |
| 70 | 1731 | 1734.59825582557 | 0.174587862703851 | 1727.22715631173 | 3.59825582556527 |
| 71 | 1752 | 1757.11444199909 | -8.13667926772009 | 1755.02223726863 | 5.11444199909192 |
