| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 49915 | 49915 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 47469 | 48054.9102584259 | -1908.51207570129 | -585.910258425918 | -0.625488600724794 |
| 3 | 45652 | 45445.8356412282 | -2397.35536871778 | 206.164358771802 | -0.149024366962252 |
| 4 | 43492 | 43332.3434749779 | -2187.19975647116 | 159.656525022101 | 0.0621313834064608 |
| 5 | 41087 | 41106.6751007528 | -2215.08493897911 | -19.6751007527871 | -0.00795648533898918 |
| 6 | 42931 | 42052.4395942928 | 64.9362536785892 | 878.56040570721 | 0.65680299294174 |
| 7 | 67256 | 62050.9839690999 | 14488.8715298131 | 5205.01603090007 | 4.15121258854616 |
| 8 | 72316 | 74531.9347155147 | 13035.1133053156 | -2215.93471551473 | -0.418188136631675 |
| 9 | 65624 | 70219.9507997024 | 477.10632617661 | -4595.95079970239 | -3.61273968604251 |
| 10 | 59450 | 60738.6466338554 | -6730.69668451185 | -1288.64663385539 | -2.07352969680377 |
| 11 | 52851 | 52451.8762318613 | -7856.89447658363 | 399.123768138654 | -0.323981888124756 |
| 12 | 51214 | 49691.5549776427 | -4168.21452006542 | 1522.44502235728 | 1.06115163246103 |
| 13 | 44092 | 44728.4748478281 | -4742.05998035167 | -636.474847828119 | -0.165575580733713 |
| 14 | 43752 | 43191.9849351941 | -2419.20916876936 | 560.015064805885 | 0.678694001099109 |
| 15 | 40320 | 40188.5198269027 | -2827.23959030123 | 131.480173097352 | -0.116793903281184 |
| 16 | 40551 | 38604.222274751 | -1960.67452023494 | 1946.77772524898 | 0.253193330939974 |
| 17 | 38329 | 38299.0407172673 | -799.622126514284 | 29.9592827326681 | 0.333835783979233 |
| 18 | 39530 | 43672.1630263354 | 3495.66126032296 | -4142.16302633538 | 1.23296670253431 |
| 19 | 59648 | 53673.2917022048 | 8021.82439651883 | 5974.70829779517 | 1.30306317905240 |
| 20 | 61031 | 59842.3696226883 | 6730.77261204223 | 1188.63037731172 | -0.371467468909485 |
| 21 | 55560 | 59281.7448383119 | 1648.19613009143 | -3721.74483831189 | -1.46205080255301 |
| 22 | 43877 | 47941.0967737009 | -7405.47656194947 | -4064.09677370087 | -2.60471367136971 |
| 23 | 38510 | 39063.8369982592 | -8430.9988421114 | -553.836998259239 | -0.295022567138393 |
| 24 | 36085 | 33352.9072516004 | -6537.60629734989 | 2732.09274839963 | 0.54485842900725 |
| 25 | 35994 | 35089.7448842835 | -777.408143156459 | 904.255115716506 | 1.66203973610960 |
| 26 | 32617 | 32448.5817439652 | -2076.48232482017 | 168.418256034769 | -0.374255606161042 |
| 27 | 30001 | 29617.9250730681 | -2596.69665383055 | 383.074926931942 | -0.149313923462349 |
| 28 | 27894 | 26136.2778234155 | -3205.52312296511 | 1757.72217658450 | -0.176113986265837 |
| 29 | 26083 | 26954.1109883542 | -423.976910562849 | -871.110988354215 | 0.801730521601201 |
| 30 | 28817 | 33937.7996426126 | 4682.1417449956 | -5120.7996426126 | 1.46613494810727 |
| 31 | 48742 | 42505.8811773827 | 7355.44942382184 | 6236.11882261734 | 0.768965156121511 |
| 32 | 49915 | 47606.1898298507 | 5802.45688825747 | 2308.81017014934 | -0.446898132348216 |
| 33 | 40264 | 42698.495161203 | -1578.17968080328 | -2434.495161203 | -2.12317677200541 |
| 34 | 34276 | 37913.0167580412 | -3788.43965364417 | -3637.01675804118 | -0.635865626585045 |
| 35 | 30426 | 32318.9483593869 | -5032.14034101896 | -1892.94835938688 | -0.357789999243963 |
| 36 | 30793 | 29861.0325490950 | -3260.16378515952 | 931.967450904958 | 0.510085292336623 |
| 37 | 29855 | 27944.6865193557 | -2334.47600684930 | 1910.31348064427 | 0.266779165340143 |
| 38 | 28081 | 26763.0827706027 | -1540.58776441705 | 1317.91722939732 | 0.228354119483739 |
| 39 | 26820 | 25427.3438382166 | -1400.23311417929 | 1392.65616178337 | 0.040331658354731 |
| 40 | 25782 | 24835.0568374816 | -847.448526610465 | 946.943162518361 | 0.159424443417562 |
| 41 | 22654 | 25819.3665913805 | 409.441124164234 | -3165.36659138052 | 0.362209378686596 |
| 42 | 27373 | 32765.1964503075 | 4891.25038678277 | -5392.19645030752 | 1.28804971836422 |
| 43 | 43675 | 37433.7251199897 | 4738.80927215971 | 6241.27488001034 | -0.0438297992020393 |
| 44 | 45096 | 40069.8377102488 | 3299.28618322564 | 5026.16228975124 | -0.414172042334057 |
| 45 | 38145 | 40244.8072815501 | 1158.92410154342 | -2099.80728155011 | -0.615752566302866 |
| 46 | 34017 | 37902.810464905 | -1239.66534497966 | -3885.810464905 | -0.690023147959359 |
| 47 | 31537 | 34644.3636038226 | -2622.29099215778 | -3107.36360382258 | -0.397788341007762 |
| 48 | 33814 | 32934.157719665 | -1997.71760061051 | 879.842280334991 | 0.179793654454959 |
| 49 | 36531 | 33968.2677274528 | 79.662155437192 | 2562.73227254718 | 0.59818552619235 |
| 50 | 36935 | 35099.4261595517 | 799.633960729648 | 1835.57384044826 | 0.207038055815206 |
| 51 | 36497 | 35141.9142912602 | 282.737822970364 | 1355.08570873980 | -0.148605061734198 |
| 52 | 35110 | 34899.7905536118 | -75.2888927711292 | 210.209446388207 | -0.103140833765052 |
| 53 | 33137 | 37795.4940226097 | 1954.96653353691 | -4658.4940226097 | 0.584835304048984 |
| 54 | 37407 | 42466.8871995206 | 3811.37251798781 | -5059.8871995206 | 0.533829878715382 |
| 55 | 53963 | 47190.5011274525 | 4434.01229793985 | 6772.49887254746 | 0.179012405974210 |
| 56 | 56602 | 50896.4363919545 | 3937.1926959766 | 5705.56360804546 | -0.142913874456852 |
| 57 | 49694 | 51468.2766990747 | 1639.83236233210 | -1774.27669907469 | -0.660927905622397 |
| 58 | 43957 | 48267.7475260176 | -1664.87946479897 | -4310.74752601763 | -0.9507332654719 |
| 59 | 41723 | 45313.1326125358 | -2545.29762762862 | -3590.13261253583 | -0.253325304533689 |
| 60 | 45599 | 45066.0274832496 | -976.293511926042 | 532.972516750367 | 0.451620096662118 |
| 61 | 42503 | 41079.2148478209 | -3032.42123062337 | 1423.78515217905 | -0.591784028094205 |
| 62 | 42153 | 39241.9736353241 | -2216.74095024341 | 2911.02636467590 | 0.234553570577528 |
| 63 | 39098 | 37323.8789318702 | -2013.31666491904 | 1774.12106812978 | 0.0584972040110666 |
| 64 | 37449 | 37534.0867613161 | -499.512551163299 | -85.0867613160517 | 0.435879781063916 |
| 65 | 34748 | 39775.0542876908 | 1368.48657138000 | -5027.05428769084 | 0.537931746119703 |
| 66 | 36548 | 42079.270100975 | 2006.50738575646 | -5531.270100975 | 0.183526261792228 |
| 67 | 53639 | 46329.9010793479 | 3535.34653224705 | 7309.09892065214 | 0.439587847351093 |
| 68 | 55289 | 48919.2429102319 | 2891.17159748945 | 6369.75708976808 | -0.185278320732578 |
| 69 | 47774 | 48789.9459489652 | 834.151382728867 | -1015.94594896516 | -0.591773463809047 |
| 70 | 42156 | 46880.6418009678 | -1034.44223846550 | -4724.64180096778 | -0.53761277971524 |
| 71 | 38019 | 42992.6019574356 | -2978.10248868457 | -4973.60195743558 | -0.559299989947147 |
