Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 711 | 0 | 72 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 49915 | 50676.769197431 | -2735.80675488534 | 51889.0375574544 | 761.769197430956 |
2 | 47469 | 46737.0109408704 | -3863.29554298595 | 52064.2846021156 | -731.98905912965 |
3 | 45652 | 44844.5853834577 | -5780.11703023448 | 52239.5316467768 | -807.414616542344 |
4 | 43492 | 41578.2156038576 | -6937.67384948085 | 52343.4582456233 | -1913.78439614244 |
5 | 41087 | 38843.5126958719 | -9116.89754034169 | 52447.3848444698 | -2243.48730412807 |
6 | 42931 | 39624.0764107556 | -6218.48382108948 | 52456.4074103339 | -3306.9235892444 |
7 | 67256 | 69075.1424641891 | 12971.4275596129 | 52465.429976198 | 1819.14246418913 |
8 | 72316 | 76910.2933566811 | 15298.7459323414 | 52422.9607109774 | 4594.29335668113 |
9 | 65624 | 70660.443622791 | 8207.06493145218 | 52380.4914457568 | 5036.44362279099 |
10 | 59450 | 64926.3150813792 | 1800.01305850741 | 52173.6718601134 | 5476.31508137923 |
11 | 52851 | 55898.6854584694 | -2163.53773293926 | 51966.8522744699 | 3047.68545846936 |
12 | 51214 | 52543.108408941 | -1461.44301581749 | 51346.3346068765 | 1329.10840894101 |
13 | 44092 | 40193.9898156023 | -2735.80675488534 | 50725.8169392831 | -3898.01018439772 |
14 | 43752 | 41538.285179155 | -3863.29554298595 | 49829.010363831 | -2213.71482084503 |
15 | 40320 | 37487.9132418556 | -5780.11703023448 | 48932.2037883789 | -2832.08675814442 |
16 | 40551 | 40106.806675642 | -6937.67384948085 | 47932.8671738388 | -444.193324357955 |
17 | 38329 | 38841.366981043 | -9116.89754034169 | 46933.5305592987 | 512.366981042971 |
18 | 39530 | 39285.1830528128 | -6218.48382108948 | 45993.3007682767 | -244.816947187195 |
19 | 59648 | 61271.5014631325 | 12971.4275596129 | 45053.0709772546 | 1623.50146313250 |
20 | 61031 | 62642.8097100995 | 15298.7459323414 | 44120.444357559 | 1611.80971009952 |
21 | 55560 | 59725.1173306844 | 8207.06493145218 | 43187.8177378634 | 4165.11733068441 |
22 | 43877 | 43798.3564949441 | 1800.01305850741 | 42155.6304465485 | -78.6435050558939 |
23 | 38510 | 38060.0945777057 | -2163.53773293926 | 41123.4431552336 | -449.905422294294 |
24 | 36085 | 33556.5757576067 | -1461.44301581749 | 40074.8672582108 | -2528.42424239327 |
25 | 35994 | 35697.5153936974 | -2735.80675488534 | 39026.291361188 | -296.484606302634 |
26 | 32617 | 31045.4688375994 | -3863.29554298595 | 38051.8267053865 | -1571.53116240056 |
27 | 30001 | 28704.7549806494 | -5780.11703023448 | 37077.3620495850 | -1296.24501935056 |
28 | 27894 | 26437.3368016021 | -6937.67384948085 | 36288.3370478788 | -1456.66319839790 |
29 | 26083 | 25783.5854941692 | -9116.89754034169 | 35499.3120461725 | -299.414505830777 |
30 | 28817 | 28896.6261042698 | -6218.48382108948 | 34955.8577168197 | 79.6261042698025 |
31 | 48742 | 50100.1690529202 | 12971.4275596129 | 34412.4033874669 | 1358.16905292023 |
32 | 49915 | 50498.4054407216 | 15298.7459323414 | 34032.8486269369 | 583.405440721603 |
33 | 40264 | 38667.6412021408 | 8207.06493145218 | 33653.293866407 | -1596.35879785918 |
34 | 34276 | 33376.079538739 | 1800.01305850741 | 33375.9074027536 | -899.920461260979 |
35 | 30426 | 29917.0167938391 | -2163.53773293926 | 33098.5209391001 | -508.983206160883 |
36 | 30793 | 30196.4195624940 | -1461.44301581749 | 32851.0234533235 | -596.580437506025 |
37 | 29855 | 29842.2807873385 | -2735.80675488534 | 32603.5259675469 | -12.7192126615410 |
38 | 28081 | 27646.3790658403 | -3863.29554298595 | 32378.9164771456 | -434.620934159666 |
39 | 26820 | 27265.8100434901 | -5780.11703023448 | 32154.3069867443 | 445.810043490139 |
40 | 25782 | 26420.5998303424 | -6937.67384948085 | 32081.0740191385 | 638.599830342362 |
41 | 22654 | 22417.0564888090 | -9116.89754034169 | 32007.8410515326 | -236.943511190952 |
42 | 27373 | 28736.7992590849 | -6218.48382108948 | 32227.6845620046 | 1363.79925908486 |
43 | 43675 | 41931.0443679105 | 12971.4275596129 | 32447.5280724766 | -1743.95563208947 |
44 | 45096 | 41852.7436066138 | 15298.7459323414 | 33040.5104610447 | -3243.25639338619 |
45 | 38145 | 34449.4422189349 | 8207.06493145218 | 33633.4928496129 | -3695.55778106505 |
46 | 34017 | 31731.2180498163 | 1800.01305850741 | 34502.7688916763 | -2285.78195018367 |
47 | 31537 | 29865.4927991996 | -2163.53773293926 | 35372.0449337396 | -1671.50720080039 |
48 | 33814 | 32707.0262462828 | -1461.44301581749 | 36382.4167695347 | -1106.97375371720 |
49 | 36531 | 38405.0181495556 | -2735.80675488534 | 37392.7886053297 | 1874.01814955562 |
50 | 36935 | 39346.0095996253 | -3863.29554298595 | 38387.2859433606 | 2411.0095996253 |
51 | 36497 | 39392.3337488429 | -5780.11703023448 | 39381.7832813916 | 2895.3337488429 |
52 | 35110 | 36939.6931737391 | -6937.67384948085 | 40217.9806757417 | 1829.69317373913 |
53 | 33137 | 34336.7194702498 | -9116.89754034169 | 41054.1780700919 | 1199.71947024982 |
54 | 37407 | 39346.1630118732 | -6218.48382108948 | 41686.3208092163 | 1939.16301187318 |
55 | 53963 | 52636.1088920464 | 12971.4275596129 | 42318.4635483407 | -1326.89110795360 |
56 | 56602 | 55170.6747184432 | 15298.7459323414 | 42734.5793492153 | -1431.32528155675 |
57 | 49694 | 48030.239918458 | 8207.06493145218 | 43150.6951500899 | -1663.76008154205 |
58 | 43957 | 42712.1123378964 | 1800.01305850741 | 43401.8746035962 | -1244.88766210363 |
59 | 41723 | 41956.4836758367 | -2163.53773293926 | 43653.0540571026 | 233.483675836695 |
60 | 45599 | 48906.607562454 | -1461.44301581749 | 43752.8354533635 | 3307.60756245403 |
61 | 42503 | 43889.189905261 | -2735.80675488534 | 43852.6168496243 | 1386.18990526099 |
62 | 42153 | 44533.1719694339 | -3863.29554298595 | 43636.1235735521 | 2380.17196943389 |
63 | 39098 | 40556.4867327547 | -5780.11703023448 | 43419.6302974798 | 1458.48673275471 |
64 | 37449 | 38800.5084267526 | -6937.67384948085 | 43035.1654227282 | 1351.50842675265 |
65 | 34748 | 35962.1969923651 | -9116.89754034169 | 42650.7005479766 | 1214.19699236505 |
66 | 36548 | 37078.0215792735 | -6218.48382108948 | 42236.4622418159 | 530.02157927354 |
67 | 53639 | 52484.3485047319 | 12971.4275596129 | 41822.2239356552 | -1154.65149526812 |
68 | 55289 | 53922.4603153129 | 15298.7459323414 | 41356.7937523456 | -1366.53968468708 |
69 | 47774 | 46449.5714995118 | 8207.06493145218 | 40891.363569036 | -1324.42850048819 |
70 | 42156 | 42127.5138360545 | 1800.01305850741 | 40384.4731054381 | -28.4861639454903 |
71 | 38019 | 38323.9550910991 | -2163.53773293926 | 39877.5826418402 | 304.955091099102 |