Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 711 | 0 | 72 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 3065 | 2899.89184437689 | -76.8661485161046 | 3306.97430413922 | -165.108155623114 |
2 | 2997 | 2931.54910841643 | -204.228358270199 | 3266.67924985377 | -65.4508915835695 |
3 | 2901 | 2893.03967606363 | -317.423871631947 | 3226.38419556832 | -7.96032393637279 |
4 | 2815 | 2869.35216183275 | -422.703098709984 | 3183.35093687723 | 54.3521618327495 |
5 | 2709 | 2832.33131547736 | -554.648993663506 | 3140.31767818615 | 123.331315477357 |
6 | 2711 | 2736.97769902917 | -410.053667150333 | 3095.07596812116 | 25.9776990291675 |
7 | 3509 | 3603.29084754575 | 364.874894398071 | 3049.83425805618 | 94.2908475457484 |
8 | 3369 | 3434.53975636867 | 301.439142006125 | 3002.02110162521 | 65.5397563686683 |
9 | 3596 | 3444.62193105142 | 793.17012375435 | 2954.20794519423 | -151.378068948583 |
10 | 3448 | 3612.28123864556 | 394.438041054956 | 2889.28072029948 | 164.281238645563 |
11 | 3160 | 3332.77383616592 | 162.872668429352 | 2824.35349540473 | 172.773836165920 |
12 | 2934 | 3148.99671511361 | -30.8708290302116 | 2749.8741139166 | 214.996715113612 |
13 | 2534 | 2469.47141608763 | -76.8661485161046 | 2675.39473242847 | -64.5285839123658 |
14 | 2266 | 2135.79636854073 | -204.228358270199 | 2600.43198972946 | -130.203631459265 |
15 | 2088 | 1967.95462460149 | -317.423871631947 | 2525.46924703046 | -120.045375398511 |
16 | 1932 | 1842.35991428290 | -422.703098709984 | 2444.34318442709 | -89.640085717103 |
17 | 1784 | 1759.43187183979 | -554.648993663506 | 2363.21712182372 | -24.5681281602106 |
18 | 1851 | 1823.12949968021 | -410.053667150333 | 2288.92416747012 | -27.870500319792 |
19 | 2700 | 2820.49389248540 | 364.874894398071 | 2214.63121311653 | 120.493892485397 |
20 | 2580 | 2693.13210293436 | 301.439142006125 | 2165.42875505952 | 113.132102934359 |
21 | 2829 | 2748.60357924315 | 793.17012375435 | 2116.2262970025 | -80.3964207568492 |
22 | 2298 | 2114.79472921696 | 394.438041054956 | 2086.76722972809 | -183.205270783042 |
23 | 2045 | 1869.81916911697 | 162.872668429352 | 2057.30816245367 | -175.180830883025 |
24 | 1824 | 1633.65976329006 | -30.8708290302116 | 2045.21106574015 | -190.34023670994 |
25 | 1872 | 1787.75217948947 | -76.8661485161046 | 2033.11396902663 | -84.2478205105253 |
26 | 1801 | 1761.93947701435 | -204.228358270199 | 2044.28888125585 | -39.0605229856526 |
27 | 1735 | 1731.96007814687 | -317.423871631947 | 2055.46379348507 | -3.039921853127 |
28 | 1639 | 1610.14775951731 | -422.703098709984 | 2090.55533919267 | -28.8522404826886 |
29 | 1521 | 1471.00210876323 | -554.648993663506 | 2125.64688490027 | -49.9978912367656 |
30 | 1758 | 1756.61454541735 | -410.053667150333 | 2169.43912173299 | -1.38545458265435 |
31 | 2603 | 2627.89374703623 | 364.874894398071 | 2213.2313585657 | 24.893747036228 |
32 | 2540 | 2523.6704330951 | 301.439142006125 | 2254.89042489878 | -16.3295669049021 |
33 | 3103 | 3116.28038501380 | 793.17012375435 | 2296.54949123185 | 13.2803850137966 |
34 | 2801 | 2874.1713475733 | 394.438041054956 | 2333.39061137174 | 73.1713475733022 |
35 | 2590 | 2646.89560005902 | 162.872668429352 | 2370.23173151163 | 56.8956000590183 |
36 | 2324 | 2278.41893635857 | -30.8708290302116 | 2400.45189267164 | -45.5810636414258 |
37 | 2424 | 2494.19409468446 | -76.8661485161046 | 2430.67205383164 | 70.1940946844602 |
38 | 2288 | 2323.30284136067 | -204.228358270199 | 2456.92551690953 | 35.3028413606717 |
39 | 2163 | 2160.24489164454 | -317.423871631947 | 2483.17897998741 | -2.75510835546447 |
40 | 2082 | 2069.69002415703 | -422.703098709984 | 2517.01307455296 | -12.3099758429726 |
41 | 1937 | 1877.80182454500 | -554.648993663506 | 2550.84716911850 | -59.1981754549965 |
42 | 2155 | 2122.36764454048 | -410.053667150333 | 2597.68602260985 | -32.6323554595156 |
43 | 2874 | 2738.60022950074 | 364.874894398071 | 2644.52487610119 | -135.399770499264 |
44 | 2836 | 2671.69282215957 | 301.439142006125 | 2698.86803583430 | -164.307177840429 |
45 | 3439 | 3331.61868067824 | 793.17012375435 | 2753.21119556742 | -107.381319321765 |
46 | 3278 | 3354.62189680441 | 394.438041054956 | 2806.94006214063 | 76.6218968044122 |
47 | 3129 | 3234.4584028568 | 162.872668429352 | 2860.66892871385 | 105.458402856800 |
48 | 2959 | 3041.19344175940 | -30.8708290302116 | 2907.67738727081 | 82.1934417594043 |
49 | 3060 | 3242.18030268834 | -76.8661485161046 | 2954.68584582777 | 182.180302688338 |
50 | 2898 | 3008.32892932177 | -204.228358270199 | 2991.89942894843 | 110.328929321767 |
51 | 2783 | 2854.31085956285 | -317.423871631947 | 3029.1130120691 | 71.3108595628478 |
52 | 2632 | 2637.89151465724 | -422.703098709984 | 3048.81158405274 | 5.89151465724353 |
53 | 2465 | 2416.13883762712 | -554.648993663506 | 3068.51015603638 | -48.8611623728766 |
54 | 2689 | 2713.53708284572 | -410.053667150333 | 3074.51658430461 | 24.5370828457239 |
55 | 3321 | 3196.60209302910 | 364.874894398071 | 3080.52301257283 | -124.397906970905 |
56 | 3359 | 3331.95294900608 | 301.439142006125 | 3084.60790898779 | -27.0470509939191 |
57 | 4108 | 4334.1370708429 | 793.17012375435 | 3088.69280540275 | 226.137070842896 |
58 | 3407 | 3324.21909033154 | 394.438041054956 | 3095.34286861351 | -82.7809096684614 |
59 | 3241 | 3217.13439974639 | 162.872668429352 | 3101.99293182426 | -23.8656002536086 |
60 | 3013 | 2950.83646277345 | -30.8708290302116 | 3106.03436625676 | -62.1635372265487 |
61 | 3067 | 3100.79034782684 | -76.8661485161046 | 3110.07580068926 | 33.7903478268408 |
62 | 2965 | 3027.19223295619 | -204.228358270199 | 3107.03612531401 | 62.1922329561912 |
63 | 2823 | 2859.42742169319 | -317.423871631947 | 3103.99644993875 | 36.4274216931944 |
64 | 2718 | 2765.31029923115 | -422.703098709984 | 3093.39279947884 | 47.3102992311465 |
65 | 2567 | 2605.85984464458 | -554.648993663506 | 3082.78914901892 | 38.8598446445831 |
66 | 2658 | 2655.02855742372 | -410.053667150333 | 3071.02510972662 | -2.97144257628406 |
67 | 3436 | 3447.86403516762 | 364.874894398071 | 3059.26107043431 | 11.8640351676195 |
68 | 3375 | 3401.92846624413 | 301.439142006125 | 3046.63239174975 | 26.9284662441250 |
69 | 3931 | 4034.82616318046 | 793.17012375435 | 3034.00371306519 | 103.826163180460 |
70 | 3371 | 3327.34992466842 | 394.438041054956 | 3020.21203427663 | -43.6500753315831 |
71 | 3038 | 2906.70697608258 | 162.872668429352 | 3006.42035548806 | -131.293023917416 |