| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 9782 | 9782 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 9938 | 9918.93605779396 | 23.5549301421804 | 19.0639422060417 | 0.857758874105988 |
| 3 | 10111 | 10077.9760546967 | 71.4188230684924 | 33.0239453032494 | 1.03391890128237 |
| 4 | 10259 | 10241.9844164491 | 110.157937722000 | 17.0155835509192 | 0.659212746247292 |
| 5 | 10419 | 10406.5785907746 | 133.353645316196 | 12.4214092253877 | 0.382204322318611 |
| 6 | 10622 | 10604.5079824549 | 161.004721374398 | 17.4920175451272 | 0.455522951897839 |
| 7 | 11173 | 11096.8818781177 | 303.274223558504 | 76.11812188235 | 2.34218720351826 |
| 8 | 11542 | 11530.2526931791 | 359.188581801535 | 11.7473068209281 | 0.920043660299011 |
| 9 | 11538 | 11604.6584682778 | 236.747127652393 | -66.658468277833 | -2.01433451811386 |
| 10 | 11837 | 11815.6822868926 | 225.685803654216 | 21.3177131074291 | -0.181964701118438 |
| 11 | 12060 | 12049.7198196101 | 229.277439024574 | 10.2801803899135 | 0.0590835175226261 |
| 12 | 12423 | 12391.7719120008 | 277.778086638859 | 31.2280879991654 | 0.797847831202871 |
| 13 | 12791 | 12802.4347566347 | 333.40431774105 | -11.4347566347429 | 1.0182222328493 |
| 14 | 12891 | 12943.2312624623 | 254.498123428254 | -52.2312624623293 | -1.21970181446696 |
| 15 | 13098 | 13101.9885692694 | 215.731152229803 | -3.98856926944557 | -0.643610112578598 |
| 16 | 13418 | 13383.942655519 | 243.427992014109 | 34.0573444810074 | 0.457873754561834 |
| 17 | 13614 | 13617.8511518545 | 239.435723160518 | -3.85115185447749 | -0.065140366893704 |
| 18 | 13653 | 13747.6680774390 | 193.580505235018 | -94.668077439033 | -0.751501867438058 |
| 19 | 13980 | 13940.3792362616 | 193.216764591017 | 39.6207637384379 | -0.00597939200671672 |
| 20 | 14087 | 14044.9557571788 | 156.10254727509 | 42.0442428211844 | -0.610490613766667 |
| 21 | 14332 | 14348.5105881860 | 217.867215995426 | -16.5105881860365 | 1.01604471599163 |
| 22 | 14232 | 14297.3195042576 | 105.142820750440 | -65.319504257613 | -1.85440458507655 |
| 23 | 14226 | 14268.6099105285 | 49.1019139696661 | -42.6099105285166 | -0.921850048890431 |
| 24 | 14186 | 14207.8439927964 | 3.25978471960693 | -21.8439927964456 | -0.756502855574918 |
| 25 | 14310 | 14242.0208426428 | 16.1685268243479 | 67.9791573571991 | 0.218397238532523 |
| 26 | 14152 | 14196.3609551045 | -9.37915394003732 | -44.3609551045374 | -0.412626619824681 |
| 27 | 14127 | 14156.5532715461 | -21.7715066267317 | -29.5532715461194 | -0.203793908346721 |
| 28 | 14163 | 14127.5825656126 | -24.7470020790524 | 35.4174343874204 | -0.0493257421586975 |
| 29 | 13964 | 13975.5052227228 | -77.6776467929766 | -11.5052227228487 | -0.867776581287822 |
| 30 | 13811 | 13898.0667463759 | -77.5784066346216 | -87.066746375857 | 0.00162616033679722 |
| 31 | 14440 | 14264.5582527841 | 106.584526260075 | 175.441747215885 | 3.0259345771543 |
| 32 | 14724 | 14668.8617725076 | 230.140401937184 | 55.1382274924246 | 2.03219630061857 |
| 33 | 14790 | 14793.2669073079 | 186.232847218396 | -3.26690730789285 | -0.722291908257976 |
| 34 | 14961 | 14990.6077211864 | 190.845302206966 | -29.6077211864129 | 0.075875607105275 |
| 35 | 15117 | 15147.5312625351 | 176.778770566811 | -30.5312625351364 | -0.231450508482369 |
| 36 | 15452 | 15446.6659404892 | 227.425561409009 | 5.33405951076522 | 0.836979558777251 |
| 37 | 16080 | 15925.3483768262 | 331.712867723907 | 154.651623173842 | 1.73282326886379 |
| 38 | 16284 | 16314.3959474695 | 355.372979925942 | -30.3959474694958 | 0.386059568765797 |
| 39 | 16524 | 16570.7843181975 | 314.913810732776 | -46.7843181974516 | -0.664351702594299 |
| 40 | 16782 | 16734.5658830091 | 252.738929154183 | 47.4341169909307 | -1.02894724481577 |
| 41 | 16663 | 16737.2689014171 | 149.313078418830 | -74.2689014171212 | -1.70067336348240 |
| 42 | 16678 | 16881.1309339626 | 147.059879220053 | -203.130933962555 | -0.0369512761697523 |
| 43 | 17448 | 17279.9468243233 | 251.030098652220 | 168.053175676688 | 1.70776145768666 |
| 44 | 17745 | 17639.5211453030 | 295.873755238496 | 105.478854696961 | 0.73744008709896 |
| 45 | 17789 | 17823.2997972484 | 249.539611398962 | -34.2997972484466 | -0.76216746296519 |
| 46 | 17864 | 17917.8199671701 | 185.479043967609 | -53.819967170118 | -1.05379037834552 |
| 47 | 18079 | 18131.6598161127 | 197.18489594113 | -52.6598161126831 | 0.192706237903397 |
| 48 | 18483 | 18502.7594778068 | 268.942951931884 | -19.7594778068262 | 1.18523919452177 |
| 49 | 19037 | 18878.5494346319 | 313.115456239103 | 158.450565368101 | 0.729674662258837 |
| 50 | 19344 | 19317.5193518114 | 364.949627679411 | 26.4806481886313 | 0.848644211941166 |
| 51 | 19590 | 19612.0777526598 | 336.135116962810 | -22.0777526597913 | -0.473193731154397 |
| 52 | 19862 | 19784.0579077626 | 268.741773112379 | 77.9420922373997 | -1.11328493507764 |
| 53 | 20207 | 20230.1217288908 | 341.856011914412 | -23.1217288907942 | 1.20391581444042 |
| 54 | 20593 | 20814.7527761654 | 441.969431500659 | -221.752776165433 | 1.64349683261922 |
| 55 | 21253 | 21155.6571047633 | 400.331898312726 | 97.3428952366934 | -0.683867501769733 |
| 56 | 21507 | 21403.3651845512 | 337.453653047335 | 103.634815448782 | -1.03379448313649 |
| 57 | 21528 | 21558.7435182918 | 262.42235669579 | -30.7435182917968 | -1.23410481749973 |
| 58 | 21818 | 21859.0572268274 | 278.032002385217 | -41.0572268273586 | 0.256800682792461 |
| 59 | 22205 | 22268.2388418921 | 332.02036228875 | -63.2388418920523 | 0.889103448178963 |
| 60 | 22621 | 22659.7666454220 | 356.526362045662 | -38.766645422024 | 0.404409472118186 |
| 61 | 23006 | 22908.8147847302 | 312.211313065230 | 97.1852152697695 | -0.73031651206288 |
| 62 | 23178 | 23137.2946497613 | 277.781569405263 | 40.705350238717 | -0.564538662633011 |
| 63 | 23358 | 23350.0137753084 | 251.137582750992 | 7.98622469161922 | -0.437690458610266 |
| 64 | 23519 | 23521.8280880134 | 218.608602319280 | -2.82808801337982 | -0.536673749048284 |
| 65 | 23725 | 23800.6725805192 | 243.390825046013 | -75.6725805191608 | 0.408283128732295 |
| 66 | 23789 | 23998.4602877774 | 224.618263759952 | -209.460287777367 | -0.308444981187799 |
| 67 | 24472 | 24301.2340525172 | 256.765218253769 | 170.765947482756 | 0.528045894338038 |
| 68 | 24773 | 24606.4727019610 | 276.696631818557 | 166.527298038952 | 0.327635917544852 |
| 69 | 24477 | 24603.1372762029 | 161.553761037450 | -126.137276202922 | -1.89368671991159 |
| 70 | 24669 | 24747.0497842964 | 154.302212659892 | -78.0497842963931 | -0.119314672324533 |
| 71 | 24827 | 24907.7049872053 | 156.912892804107 | -80.704987205328 | 0.043001299764418 |
