Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 711 | 0 | 72 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 9782 | 9863.40550811548 | 35.9659433984505 | 9664.62854848607 | 81.4055081154838 |
2 | 9938 | 10024.5465560593 | -51.5338547507709 | 9902.98729869147 | 86.5465560592984 |
3 | 10111 | 10179.6875712004 | -99.0336200973157 | 10141.3460488969 | 68.6875712004367 |
4 | 10259 | 10216.6568732057 | -81.3912954687744 | 10382.7344222631 | -42.3431267942942 |
5 | 10419 | 10378.6263281802 | -164.749123809497 | 10624.1227956293 | -40.3736718197615 |
6 | 10622 | 10618.1146805578 | -242.051830079097 | 10867.9371495213 | -3.88531944216993 |
7 | 11173 | 11042.6029299119 | 191.645566674855 | 11111.7515034133 | -130.397070088131 |
8 | 11542 | 11451.2925852828 | 276.043362582321 | 11356.6640521349 | -90.7074147172498 |
9 | 11538 | 11369.9820829042 | 104.441316239227 | 11601.5766008566 | -168.017917095807 |
10 | 11837 | 11775.4224646241 | 42.0844417876842 | 11856.4930935882 | -61.5775353759218 |
11 | 12060 | 11994.5294448229 | 14.0609688572449 | 12111.4095863199 | -65.4705551771367 |
12 | 12423 | 12505.2112538105 | -25.4819399295251 | 12366.270686119 | 82.2112538105193 |
13 | 12791 | 12924.9022706834 | 35.9659433984505 | 12621.1317859181 | 133.902270683431 |
14 | 12891 | 12980.2301408163 | -51.5338547507709 | 12853.3037139345 | 89.2301408162639 |
15 | 13098 | 13209.5579781464 | -99.0336200973157 | 13085.4756419509 | 111.557978146418 |
16 | 13418 | 13635.2999186144 | -81.3912954687744 | 13282.0913768543 | 217.299918614428 |
17 | 13614 | 13914.0420120517 | -164.749123809497 | 13478.7071117578 | 300.042012051703 |
18 | 13653 | 13918.6177237655 | -242.051830079097 | 13629.4341063136 | 265.617723765481 |
19 | 13980 | 13988.1933324557 | 191.645566674855 | 13780.1611008694 | 8.19333245570851 |
20 | 14087 | 14015.3771214539 | 276.043362582321 | 13882.5795159637 | -71.6228785460662 |
21 | 14332 | 14574.5607527027 | 104.441316239227 | 13984.9979310581 | 242.560752702719 |
22 | 14232 | 14377.2402174526 | 42.0844417876842 | 14044.6753407597 | 145.240217452631 |
23 | 14226 | 14333.5862806814 | 14.0609688572449 | 14104.3527504613 | 107.586280681444 |
24 | 14186 | 14260.4291249839 | -25.4819399295251 | 14137.0528149456 | 74.4291249838752 |
25 | 14310 | 14414.2811771716 | 35.9659433984505 | 14169.75287943 | 104.281177171562 |
26 | 14152 | 14152.5446037679 | -51.5338547507709 | 14202.9892509829 | 0.544603767859371 |
27 | 14127 | 14116.8079975615 | -99.0336200973157 | 14236.2256225358 | -10.1920024385181 |
28 | 14163 | 14116.3219385685 | -81.3912954687744 | 14291.0693569003 | -46.6780614314866 |
29 | 13964 | 13746.8360325448 | -164.749123809497 | 14345.9130912647 | -217.163967455192 |
30 | 13811 | 13412.6740502982 | -242.051830079097 | 14451.3777797809 | -398.32594970183 |
31 | 14440 | 14131.511965028 | 191.645566674855 | 14556.8424682972 | -308.488034972022 |
32 | 14724 | 14443.8218243729 | 276.043362582321 | 14728.1348130448 | -280.17817562709 |
33 | 14790 | 14576.1315259684 | 104.441316239227 | 14899.4271577924 | -213.868474031598 |
34 | 14961 | 14755.8774128193 | 42.0844417876842 | 15124.038145393 | -205.122587180676 |
35 | 15117 | 14871.2898981491 | 14.0609688572449 | 15348.6491329936 | -245.710101850855 |
36 | 15452 | 15330.9646540346 | -25.4819399295251 | 15598.517285895 | -121.035345965442 |
37 | 16080 | 16275.6486178052 | 35.9659433984505 | 15848.3854387963 | 195.648617805226 |
38 | 16284 | 16518.3796683194 | -51.5338547507709 | 16101.1541864314 | 234.37966831935 |
39 | 16524 | 16793.1106860308 | -99.0336200973157 | 16353.9229340665 | 269.110686030795 |
40 | 16782 | 17048.4559714511 | -81.3912954687744 | 16596.9353240176 | 266.455971451123 |
41 | 16663 | 16650.8014098407 | -164.749123809497 | 16839.9477139688 | -12.1985901592889 |
42 | 16678 | 16521.1734520662 | -242.051830079097 | 17076.8783780129 | -156.826547933848 |
43 | 17448 | 17390.545391268 | 191.645566674855 | 17313.8090420571 | -57.4546087319613 |
44 | 17745 | 17653.5556588117 | 276.043362582321 | 17560.400978606 | -91.4443411882748 |
45 | 17789 | 17666.565768606 | 104.441316239227 | 17806.9929151548 | -122.434231394025 |
46 | 17864 | 17602.2692205993 | 42.0844417876842 | 18083.646337613 | -261.730779400659 |
47 | 18079 | 17783.6392710716 | 14.0609688572449 | 18360.2997600711 | -295.360728928394 |
48 | 18483 | 18320.2968986775 | -25.4819399295251 | 18671.185041252 | -162.703101322484 |
49 | 19037 | 19055.9637341687 | 35.9659433984505 | 18982.0703224329 | 18.9637341686794 |
50 | 19344 | 19431.011592396 | -51.5338547507709 | 19308.5222623548 | 87.0115923959675 |
51 | 19590 | 19644.0594178206 | -99.0336200973157 | 19634.9742022767 | 54.0594178205793 |
52 | 19862 | 19839.4432184734 | -81.3912954687744 | 19965.9480769953 | -22.5567815265713 |
53 | 20207 | 20281.8271720955 | -164.749123809497 | 20296.9219517139 | 74.8271720955454 |
54 | 20593 | 20801.2126999515 | -242.051830079097 | 20626.8391301276 | 208.212699951499 |
55 | 21253 | 21357.5981247839 | 191.645566674855 | 20956.7563085413 | 104.598124783894 |
56 | 21507 | 21461.1055592112 | 276.043362582321 | 21276.8510782065 | -45.8944407888484 |
57 | 21528 | 21354.612835889 | 104.441316239227 | 21596.9458478718 | -173.387164111031 |
58 | 21818 | 21693.1243448866 | 42.0844417876842 | 21900.7912133257 | -124.87565511341 |
59 | 22205 | 22191.3024523631 | 14.0609688572449 | 22204.6365787796 | -13.6975476368898 |
60 | 22621 | 22778.1565188395 | -25.4819399295251 | 22489.32542109 | 157.156518839507 |
61 | 23006 | 23202.0197932012 | 35.9659433984505 | 22774.0142634004 | 196.019793201154 |
62 | 23178 | 23383.5114459547 | -51.5338547507709 | 23024.0224087961 | 205.511445954682 |
63 | 23358 | 23541.0030659055 | -99.0336200973157 | 23274.0305541918 | 183.003065905537 |
64 | 23519 | 23624.2033347774 | -81.3912954687744 | 23495.1879606914 | 105.203334777394 |
65 | 23725 | 23898.4037566185 | -164.749123809497 | 23716.345367191 | 173.403756618514 |
66 | 23789 | 23886.1400055072 | -242.051830079097 | 23933.9118245719 | 97.1400055072409 |
67 | 24472 | 24600.8761513724 | 191.645566674855 | 24151.4782819527 | 128.876151372409 |
68 | 24773 | 24906.0550815544 | 276.043362582321 | 24363.9015558633 | 133.055081554405 |
69 | 24477 | 24273.233853987 | 104.441316239227 | 24576.3248297738 | -203.766146013037 |
70 | 24669 | 24513.36996422 | 42.0844417876842 | 24782.5455939923 | -155.630035779992 |
71 | 24827 | 24651.1726729319 | 14.0609688572449 | 24988.7663582108 | -175.827327068051 |