| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.6923 | -0.3066 | -0.1961 | -0.7955 | -0.7835 | -0.5159 | -0.3326 |
| (p-val) | (0.002 ) | (0.2318 ) | (0.3065 ) | (0 ) | (0.0781 ) | (0.099 ) | (0.6908 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.7178 | -0.3034 | -0.1917 | -0.7902 | -0.9558 | -0.6118 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (8e-04 ) | (0.2407 ) | (0.3183 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (4e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.6281 | -0.1191 | 0 | -1.1417 | -0.9425 | -0.5648 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (9e-04 ) | (0.4989 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0012 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.548 | 0 | 0 | -1.0925 | -0.9642 | -0.5683 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0011 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -6.39277248275021 |
| 69.7549292160681 |
| -47.1869231380642 |
| -451.300688463315 |
| 178.563792099516 |
| -205.831221375502 |
| 662.093382826301 |
| -186.341327158827 |
| -185.290013716724 |
| -303.214248123099 |
| -170.181793463135 |
| 69.4979392264302 |
| 836.2843684298 |
| -197.092806988188 |
| -123.953929306948 |
| 411.521544006378 |
| 39.9835538049379 |
| 189.430044536341 |
| -222.003080677556 |
| -240.438911094679 |
| 359.208556288438 |
| 2.26644640798154 |
| 715.016977501624 |
| 412.01389905574 |
| 444.437340140315 |
| 53.0038971022801 |
| 253.10884736621 |
| -270.994864907891 |
| -195.997766458226 |
| 117.396886498958 |
| -55.9582828262978 |
| -284.423470490986 |
| -648.416493689792 |
| 758.05649055605 |
| 334.636672592945 |
| 7.02300656366254 |
| -167.470048525594 |
| 543.63795005537 |
| -813.651414661819 |
| -80.4739078798983 |
| 506.869496594474 |
| 432.0287118028 |
| 165.506499554652 |
