Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 548604 | NA | NA | -9043.07060185185 | NA |
2 | 563668 | NA | NA | 1157.04050925921 | NA |
3 | 586111 | NA | NA | 16085.6655092592 | NA |
4 | 604378 | NA | NA | 35100.7210648148 | NA |
5 | 600991 | NA | NA | 27577.2071759259 | NA |
6 | 544686 | NA | NA | -24522.3067129630 | NA |
7 | 537034 | 542348.290509259 | 569558.083333333 | -27209.7928240741 | -5314.29050925921 |
8 | 551531 | 553482.262731481 | 569965 | -16482.7372685185 | -1951.26273148146 |
9 | 563250 | 559761.234953704 | 569765.916666667 | -10004.6817129629 | 3488.76504629629 |
10 | 574761 | 567912.721064815 | 569208.75 | -1296.02893518517 | 6848.27893518517 |
11 | 580112 | 573536.498842593 | 568283.541666667 | 5252.95717592592 | 6575.50115740742 |
12 | 575093 | 570714.693287037 | 567329.666666667 | 3385.02662037038 | 4378.30671296292 |
13 | 557560 | 557373.721064815 | 566416.791666667 | -9043.07060185185 | 186.278935185168 |
14 | 564478 | 566389.123842593 | 565232.083333333 | 1157.04050925921 | -1911.12384259258 |
15 | 580523 | 579570.915509259 | 563485.25 | 16085.6655092592 | 952.084490740788 |
16 | 596594 | 595708.846064815 | 560608.125 | 35100.7210648148 | 885.153935185168 |
17 | 586570 | 584268.123842593 | 556690.916666667 | 27577.2071759259 | 2301.87615740742 |
18 | 536214 | 527550.193287037 | 552072.5 | -24522.3067129630 | 8663.80671296292 |
19 | 523597 | 520085.790509259 | 547295.583333333 | -27209.7928240741 | 3511.20949074079 |
20 | 536535 | 526062.929398148 | 542545.666666667 | -16482.7372685185 | 10472.0706018518 |
21 | 536322 | 527504.234953704 | 537508.916666667 | -10004.6817129629 | 8817.7650462963 |
22 | 532638 | 530980.304398148 | 532276.333333333 | -1296.02893518517 | 1657.69560185191 |
23 | 528222 | 532479.498842593 | 527226.541666667 | 5252.95717592592 | -4257.49884259253 |
24 | 516141 | 525743.859953704 | 522358.833333333 | 3385.02662037038 | -9602.85995370365 |
25 | 501866 | 508612.679398148 | 517655.75 | -9043.07060185185 | -6746.67939814809 |
26 | 506174 | 514623.957175926 | 513466.916666667 | 1157.04050925921 | -8449.95717592584 |
27 | 517945 | 525802.915509259 | 509717.25 | 16085.6655092592 | -7857.91550925915 |
28 | 533590 | 541952.262731481 | 506851.541666667 | 35100.7210648148 | -8362.2627314814 |
29 | 528379 | 532913.040509259 | 505335.833333333 | 27577.2071759259 | -4534.04050925915 |
30 | 477580 | 480264.234953704 | 504786.541666667 | -24522.3067129630 | -2684.23495370359 |
31 | 469357 | 477830.790509259 | 505040.583333333 | -27209.7928240741 | -8473.79050925915 |
32 | 490243 | 489761.012731481 | 506243.75 | -16482.7372685185 | 481.987268518656 |
33 | 492622 | 498097.734953704 | 508102.416666667 | -10004.6817129629 | -5475.73495370359 |
34 | 507561 | 509086.096064815 | 510382.125 | -1296.02893518517 | -1525.09606481472 |
35 | 516922 | 518051.082175926 | 512798.125 | 5252.95717592592 | -1129.08217592578 |
36 | 514258 | 518185.859953704 | 514800.833333333 | 3385.02662037038 | -3927.85995370365 |
37 | 509846 | 508372.887731481 | 517415.958333333 | -9043.07060185185 | 1473.11226851860 |
38 | 527070 | 521796.207175926 | 520639.166666667 | 1157.04050925921 | 5273.79282407416 |
39 | 541657 | 539838.457175926 | 523752.791666667 | 16085.6655092592 | 1818.54282407416 |
40 | 564591 | 562201.179398148 | 527100.458333333 | 35100.7210648148 | 2389.82060185191 |
41 | 555362 | 558217.123842593 | 530639.916666667 | 27577.2071759259 | -2855.12384259258 |
42 | 498662 | 509728.859953704 | 534251.166666667 | -24522.3067129630 | -11066.8599537036 |
43 | 511038 | 511162.707175926 | 538372.5 | -27209.7928240741 | -124.707175925956 |
44 | 525919 | NA | NA | -16482.7372685185 | NA |
45 | 531673 | NA | NA | -10004.6817129629 | NA |
46 | 548854 | NA | NA | -1296.02893518517 | NA |
47 | 560576 | NA | NA | 5252.95717592592 | NA |
48 | 557274 | NA | NA | 3385.02662037038 | NA |
49 | 565742 | NA | NA | NA | NA |