Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[91])
87	621.764	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	570.214	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	547.034	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	511.873	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	553.87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	517.058	504.4447	488.0092	520.8802	0.0663	0	0	0
93	505.702	472.953	442.3768	503.5292	0.0179	0.0023	0	0
94	479.06	432.4026	385.9305	478.8746	0.0245	0.001	4e-04	0
95	526.638	465.8805	401.7408	530.0202	0.0317	0.3436	0.0036	0.0036
96	508.06	409.1033	320.3568	497.8498	0.0144	0.0047	0.0086	7e-04
97	532.394	370.2818	254.0564	486.5073	0.0031	0.0101	0.0112	0.001
98	532.115	322.4021	176.1976	468.6067	0.0025	0.0024	0.0179	0.001
99	587.896	348.5508	170.0836	527.0179	0.0043	0.0219	0.0252	0.0121
100	565.71	284.4443	67.1776	501.7109	0.0056	0.0031	0.0218	0.0075
101	572.708	238.2935	-21.2962	497.8832	0.0058	0.0067	0.0132	0.0086
102	544.417	183.0845	-121.9316	488.1006	0.0101	0.0061	0.0125	0.0086
103	597.16	201.9038	-151.3702	555.1779	0.0142	0.0287	0.0161	0.0254

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
92	0.0166	0.025	0	159.0952	0	0
93	0.033	0.0692	0.0471	1072.4985	615.7969	24.8153
94	0.0548	0.1079	0.0674	2176.9156	1136.1698	33.7071
95	0.0702	0.1304	0.0831	3691.4735	1774.9957	42.1307
96	0.1107	0.2419	0.1149	9792.4294	3378.4824	58.1247
97	0.1601	0.4378	0.1687	26280.3528	7195.4608	84.8261
98	0.2314	0.6505	0.2375	43979.4888	12450.322	111.581
99	0.2612	0.6867	0.2937	57286.1444	18054.7998	134.3682
100	0.3897	0.9888	0.3709	79110.4201	24838.7576	157.6032
101	0.5558	1.4034	0.4742	111833.0589	33538.1877	183.1343
102	0.85	1.9736	0.6105	130561.1838	42358.4601	205.8117
103	0.8927	1.9576	0.7227	156227.4468	51847.5423	227.7006