| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 14.2 | 13.4736476839931 | 4.10528511622911 | 0.0341812835774253 | 1.68788852455429 |
| 3 | 17.3 | 17.2954301652614 | 3.87382043681253 | 0.0348490013678868 | -0.0892405567329994 |
| 4 | 23 | 22.7953440318442 | 5.21423269708006 | 0.0322878361189546 | 0.509927720206144 |
| 5 | 16.3 | 17.3813416949964 | -3.56700810300657 | 0.0357084361327118 | -3.31927989853951 |
| 6 | 18.4 | 17.9315456500646 | -0.164589167317963 | 0.0358653349077124 | 1.28582079926591 |
| 7 | 14.2 | 14.5068170063931 | -2.85875125041422 | 0.0357224015960273 | -1.01815916274151 |
| 8 | 9.1 | 9.30995767617444 | -4.79089167549904 | 0.0356952743436134 | -0.730177514024716 |
| 9 | 5.9 | 5.73640677955879 | -3.78493070361565 | 0.0356951051803867 | 0.380163802782149 |
| 10 | 7.2 | 6.66870239651007 | 0.113189551401617 | 0.0356896741345568 | 1.47314286086379 |
| 11 | 6.8 | 6.76598188645231 | 0.100042126172829 | 0.0356896802857181 | -0.00496855773546678 |
| 12 | 8 | 7.85989114722485 | 0.92133364664068 | 0.0356896556333723 | 0.310375169631545 |
| 13 | 14.3 | 13.4485847494806 | 4.72108895088101 | 0.368313253169001 | 1.54882440567234 |
| 14 | 14.6 | 14.9259112929249 | 2.36626606932170 | -0.0829125414169277 | -0.84958897719745 |
| 15 | 17.5 | 17.5563797993114 | 2.5859998832146 | -0.0837174245391742 | 0.0817086802834417 |
| 16 | 17.2 | 17.5470415446328 | 0.445431463205550 | -0.077259704946118 | -0.804871946353704 |
| 17 | 17.2 | 17.3448573903102 | -0.089355729033756 | -0.0768856241706202 | -0.202078951411528 |
| 18 | 14.1 | 14.4696852798031 | -2.39153377730075 | -0.0769873692803231 | -0.870014689333337 |
| 19 | 10.4 | 10.6293146781067 | -3.58887588211528 | -0.0770853671519543 | -0.452486970345829 |
| 20 | 6.8 | 6.89261909028666 | -3.71103053268482 | -0.0770883259601337 | -0.0461635876122528 |
| 21 | 4.1 | 4.0824410548707 | -2.96660213372933 | -0.0770878567665644 | 0.28132774434708 |
| 22 | 6.5 | 6.05786998411952 | 1.11728511764852 | -0.0770963675847494 | 1.54334625758912 |
| 23 | 6.1 | 6.27198587739376 | 0.370943139224908 | -0.0770957827090498 | -0.282050906804445 |
| 24 | 6.3 | 6.40236977230508 | 0.172154736367637 | -0.0770957679960285 | -0.0751243410166322 |
| 25 | 9.3 | 8.133742136177 | 1.44891880433875 | 1.00392967106068 | 0.505960885246378 |
| 26 | 16.4 | 15.8956171891646 | 6.21046188506448 | -0.0221771835553806 | 1.74806724176669 |
| 27 | 16.1 | 16.6747162250200 | 1.70141134881811 | -0.0102880954333830 | -1.68436251440989 |
| 28 | 18 | 18.044291321942 | 1.42757394164245 | -0.00969374634490636 | -0.103111505668207 |
| 29 | 17.6 | 17.7859881636446 | 0.0351377567760029 | -0.00899320686874115 | -0.526173893353219 |
| 30 | 14 | 14.3715206331808 | -2.81555846617776 | -0.00908382354259766 | -1.07730621607979 |
| 31 | 10.5 | 10.6086611234191 | -3.59840825732458 | -0.00912990866609655 | -0.295846728177796 |
| 32 | 6.9 | 6.91874545358752 | -3.67402735983675 | -0.00913122608017145 | -0.0285772931052124 |
| 33 | 2.8 | 2.85054464704267 | -3.99975645083775 | -0.0091313737432062 | -0.123096634323273 |
| 34 | 0.7 | 0.532452111570659 | -2.61009923175077 | -0.00913345674197696 | 0.52516686633244 |
| 35 | 3.6 | 3.06846712449331 | 1.64243914227045 | -0.00913585368597344 | 1.6070813907992 |
| 36 | 6.7 | 6.51915493481629 | 3.13670252794617 | -0.00913593323271612 | 0.56469869741193 |
| 37 | 12.5 | 11.9879714898835 | 5.05123715156673 | 0.268614010315107 | 0.748990607230812 |
| 38 | 14.4 | 14.6549924493679 | 3.21514514973727 | -0.0447757660747581 | -0.679502314694195 |
| 39 | 16.5 | 16.6679551490798 | 2.21811894259122 | -0.0427222348421502 | -0.373392408485900 |
| 40 | 18.7 | 18.7561130936269 | 2.11084027258293 | -0.0425404052439581 | -0.0404271951585167 |
| 41 | 19.4 | 19.5775175069295 | 1.04572338673201 | -0.0421220105536339 | -0.402493691940765 |
| 42 | 15.8 | 16.2967735967418 | -2.52957437782729 | -0.0422107480296036 | -1.35114124319275 |
| 43 | 11.3 | 11.5728483521771 | -4.34296682632066 | -0.0422940992592825 | -0.685299505689963 |
| 44 | 9.7 | 9.50340183540177 | -2.46420071737202 | -0.0422685427625748 | 0.710006461658452 |
| 45 | 2.9 | 3.33178409840791 | -5.52786085726114 | -0.0422696271729196 | -1.15779112849407 |
| 46 | 0.1 | -0.0800458133226463 | -3.77926028947159 | -0.0422716736635804 | 0.660815536727616 |
| 47 | 2.5 | 1.93364595055635 | 1.00779888758642 | -0.0422737804294202 | 1.80908272748409 |
| 48 | 6.7 | 6.38091137947048 | 3.85003461507723 | -0.0422738985683862 | 1.07411238770690 |
| 49 | 10.3 | 9.88986460518824 | 3.56962311868619 | 0.445786991852384 | -0.108893898966875 |
| 50 | 11.2 | 11.4389692619570 | 1.99312965582028 | -0.0546680209929926 | -0.58610852315939 |
| 51 | 17.4 | 17.0792604223990 | 5.01592935522485 | -0.0597760320967236 | 1.13390587630879 |
| 52 | 20.5 | 20.7036618329842 | 3.86704460238085 | -0.0581787089543906 | -0.433169661578381 |
| 53 | 17 | 17.7704896773926 | -1.75055927423806 | -0.0563687872568442 | -2.12284323097155 |
| 54 | 14.2 | 14.4240655329188 | -3.06934169632711 | -0.0563956340049576 | -0.498381463079877 |
| 55 | 10.6 | 10.7228084720207 | -3.59154743805578 | -0.0564153212829056 | -0.197346960054362 |
| 56 | 6.1 | 6.24910655899945 | -4.32053085181914 | -0.0564234546434887 | -0.275490888330518 |
