Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[24])
1265-------
1368-------
1473-------
1571-------
1671-------
1770-------
1869-------
1965-------
2057-------
2157-------
2257-------
2355-------
2465-------
256569.985257.949282.02120.20850.79150.62680.7915
266472.470350.78794.15370.22190.75020.48090.7502
276073.709243.5047103.91380.18680.73570.56980.714
284374.326936.652112.00170.05160.7720.56870.6862
294774.634730.3571118.91240.11060.91930.58130.6651
304074.788224.5986124.97780.08710.86110.58940.6489
313174.864719.3107130.41880.06090.89070.63610.6361
322774.902914.4223135.38350.06030.92260.71910.6259
332474.92199.87139.97380.06250.92560.70540.6175
342374.93145.601144.26170.0710.9250.69390.6106
351774.93611.5727148.29950.06080.91740.70290.6047
361674.9385-2.2493152.12630.06720.92940.59960.5996


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
250.0877-0.0712024.851800
260.1527-0.11690.094171.746648.29926.9498
270.2091-0.1860.1247187.943394.84729.739
280.2586-0.42150.1989981.3718316.478417.7898
290.3027-0.37030.2332763.679405.918520.1474
300.3424-0.46520.27181210.221539.968923.2372
310.3786-0.58590.31671924.116737.704227.1607
320.412-0.63950.35712294.687932.327130.534
330.443-0.67970.39292593.04061116.850833.4193
340.4721-0.69310.42292696.86891274.852635.7051
350.4995-0.77310.45483356.59311464.101738.2636
360.5255-0.78650.48243473.7431631.571940.3927