| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.9222 | -0.8893 | -0.8729 | 0.768 | -1.0026 | -0.9422 | 0.6316 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.8452 | -0.0119 | -0.0505 | -0.9903 | -0.9136 | 0.7703 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.8168 ) | (0.478 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.8453 | 0 | -0.0543 | -0.9902 | -0.9139 | 0.7696 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.4325 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | -0.8423 | 0 | 0 | -0.9877 | -0.9082 | 0.7782 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 3994.33960645376 |
| -156026.677739507 |
| -203655.688937884 |
| -164519.357806146 |
| -227965.016394317 |
| -60492.5306917827 |
| 1067176.84637888 |
| 1019206.55572076 |
| 11956.4361744015 |
| -183986.489882733 |
| -167806.528852016 |
| 123326.498714172 |
| -911594.448197265 |
| -122501.002126966 |
| -425806.344506969 |
| 296281.162374462 |
| -337858.441810153 |
| 153819.88979484 |
| 179703.510053426 |
| 516147.01466307 |
| -732726.381720797 |
| 240778.917720083 |
| -669636.130001004 |
| 320012.253343144 |
| -356349.259344542 |
| 141486.695245220 |
| -28556.9214395694 |
| 353148.223430309 |
| -556551.513072333 |
| 103474.334457168 |
| 196791.292123624 |
| 294175.070486228 |
| 1190579.16331394 |
| 44139.6326755661 |
| 725704.629881903 |
| 369961.095605750 |
| -518355.455539228 |
| 59384.5749953241 |
| -20543.0070769703 |
| 39647.380181377 |
| 627424.127242953 |
| 141139.091539164 |
| 2533482.30328322 |
| 130638.256087288 |
| 1180567.56759998 |
| -852165.585395445 |
| 159100.534844990 |
| -399619.547048739 |
| 486053.790206742 |
| -435968.068186157 |
| 1396507.53441604 |
| -247752.050728865 |
| 546995.940300292 |
| 35459.3168150662 |
| 1925707.24246206 |
| 649010.94334377 |
| 1338740.61124873 |
| -665964.716614855 |
| 684867.240123247 |
| -715999.587769227 |
| 326017.645031143 |
| 36517.3568875824 |
| 953150.250945275 |
| 88073.271118795 |
| 443587.806657745 |
| -726825.280230295 |
| 1123290.60276338 |
| 362728.271564528 |
| 815334.359389505 |
| 280090.274333219 |
| 758549.942162887 |
| -226654.654125261 |
| -99226.2068068231 |
| -1135260.94400324 |
| 493982.141170909 |
| -646664.530820415 |
| 522603.202304362 |
| -132377.135655287 |
| 2098347.37884476 |
| -143766.796214979 |
| -563093.46303453 |
| -589826.240264432 |
| -918626.222093755 |
| -84817.4805676693 |
| -883894.22960092 |
| 294009.816216827 |
| -69608.2055147296 |
| 770467.909299455 |
| -966726.327559156 |
| 185165.555778518 |
| -723383.695659279 |
| -127787.616019429 |
| -1214262.91273119 |
| -627096.759767233 |
| -196921.981562650 |
| 2582.6995479337 |
| -82814.845130645 |
| -295976.057479382 |
| -226317.294923320 |
| -764716.80792742 |
| -1113475.67489537 |
| -792245.01588731 |
| 46170.3998204871 |
| -465993.232461732 |
| -837638.127470281 |
| -30702.955707484 |
| -378441.930213011 |
| 432180.323581405 |
| -878264.229097746 |
| -286495.853485259 |
| 71282.6346752365 |
| -589891.228022714 |
| -544805.026943553 |
| 152239.924879994 |
| -931866.605691542 |
| 593116.969065609 |
| -1035738.06903276 |
| 104096.352652099 |
| 480757.986712893 |
