Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	92.66	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	93.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	93.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	93.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	93.77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	93.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	92.41	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	93.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	93.34	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	92.92	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	92.07	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	91.89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	90.27	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	91.72	91.2749	90.3867	92.1844	0.1687	0.9848	0	0.9848
110	91.98	91.3043	90.2995	92.3363	0.0997	0.2149	0	0.9752
111	91.81	91.3249	90.2161	92.467	0.2026	0.1305	0	0.9649
112	91.98	91.4278	90.2215	92.6735	0.1925	0.2738	1e-04	0.9658
113	91.3	91.3266	90.0364	92.662	0.4845	0.1688	4e-04	0.9395
114	89.93	90.1158	88.7872	91.4933	0.3957	0.046	5e-04	0.4132
115	90.87	91.09	89.6509	92.5858	0.3866	0.9357	5e-04	0.8587
116	90.53	90.9823	89.4754	92.5515	0.2861	0.5558	0.0016	0.8132
117	90.27	90.7754	89.2087	92.4099	0.2722	0.6157	0.0051	0.7278
118	90.1	90.3713	88.7567	92.0582	0.3763	0.5468	0.0242	0.5468
119	89.68	90.1849	88.5168	91.9305	0.2854	0.538	0.0278	0.4619
120	87.89	88.6594	87.0006	90.3961	0.1926	0.1247	0.0346	0.0346

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.0051	0.0049	0	0.1981	0	0
110	0.0058	0.0074	0.0061	0.4566	0.3273	0.5721
111	0.0064	0.0053	0.0059	0.2353	0.2967	0.5447
112	0.007	0.006	0.0059	0.3049	0.2987	0.5466
113	0.0075	-3e-04	0.0048	7e-04	0.2391	0.489
114	0.0078	-0.0021	0.0043	0.0345	0.205	0.4528
115	0.0084	-0.0024	0.0041	0.0484	0.1826	0.4274
116	0.0088	-0.005	0.0042	0.2045	0.1854	0.4306
117	0.0092	-0.0056	0.0043	0.2554	0.1932	0.4395
118	0.0095	-0.003	0.0042	0.0736	0.1812	0.4257
119	0.0099	-0.0056	0.0043	0.2549	0.1879	0.4335
120	0.01	-0.0087	0.0047	0.5919	0.2216	0.4707