Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[63])
51	9946	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	9701	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	9049	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	10190	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	9706	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	9765	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	9893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	9994	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	10433	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	10073	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	10112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	9266	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	9820	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	10097	9912.8067	9376.3581	10449.2554	0.2505	0.6327	0.7805	0.6327
65	9115	9130.0378	8584.6792	9675.3964	0.4784	3e-04	0.6146	0.0066
66	10411	10157.5307	9603.8933	10711.1682	0.1848	0.9999	0.4542	0.8839
67	9678	9769.0794	9207.7494	10330.4094	0.3752	0.0125	0.5872	0.4294
68	10408	9851.1633	9282.6875	10419.639	0.0274	0.7248	0.6168	0.5428
69	10153	9869.8299	9294.7203	10444.9395	0.1673	0.0333	0.4685	0.5674
70	10368	10241.7467	9660.484	10823.0093	0.3352	0.6176	0.7983	0.9225
71	10581	10358.0396	9771.0769	10945.0022	0.2283	0.4867	0.4012	0.9638
72	10597	10012.0025	9419.7681	10604.2369	0.0264	0.0298	0.42	0.7374
73	10680	10082.9333	9489.4282	10676.4384	0.0243	0.0448	0.4618	0.8074
74	9738	9313.9358	8715.6738	9912.1977	0.0824	0	0.5624	0.0487
75	9556	9783.0436	9180.332	10385.7552	0.2302	0.5582	0.4522	0.4522

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
64	0.0276	0.0186	0	33927.1561	0	0
65	0.0305	-0.0016	0.0101	226.1352	17076.6456	130.6776
66	0.0278	0.025	0.0151	64246.6669	32799.9861	181.1077
67	0.0293	-0.0093	0.0136	8295.4542	26673.8531	163.3213
68	0.0294	0.0565	0.0222	310067.1508	83352.5126	288.7084
69	0.0297	0.0287	0.0233	80185.2872	82824.6417	287.7927
70	0.029	0.0123	0.0217	15939.8994	73269.6785	270.6837
71	0.0289	0.0215	0.0217	49711.3558	70324.8882	265.1884
72	0.0302	0.0584	0.0258	342222.0622	100535.6853	317.0736
73	0.03	0.0592	0.0291	356488.6375	126130.9805	355.1492
74	0.0328	0.0455	0.0306	179830.4621	131012.7516	361.9568
75	0.0314	-0.0232	0.03	51548.7946	124390.7552	352.6907