Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[338])
33710.85-------
33810.85-------
33910.8510.846710.763410.93010.46940.46940.46940.4694
34010.7510.845210.743310.94720.03350.46340.46340.4634
34110.7510.844510.732210.95690.04960.95040.95040.4619
34210.8510.844210.724310.96410.46220.93820.93820.4622
34310.8510.84410.717810.97030.46320.46320.46320.4632
34410.8510.84410.71210.97590.46440.46440.46440.4644
34510.8510.843910.706710.98120.46560.46560.46560.4656
34610.7510.843910.701610.98620.09790.46670.46670.4667
34710.7510.843910.696810.99110.10550.89450.89450.4677
34810.7510.843910.692110.99580.11270.88730.88730.4687
34910.7510.843910.687511.00030.11960.88040.88040.4696
35010.7510.843910.683111.00470.12610.87390.87390.4704


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
3390.00393e-040000
3400.0048-0.00880.00450.00910.00450.0674
3410.0053-0.00870.00590.00890.0060.0775
3420.00565e-040.004600.00450.0672
3430.00595e-040.003800.00360.0601
3440.00626e-040.003200.0030.055
3450.00656e-040.002900.00260.0509
3460.0067-0.00870.00360.00880.00340.0581
3470.0069-0.00870.00410.00880.0040.0631
3480.0071-0.00870.00460.00880.00450.0668
3490.0074-0.00870.0050.00880.00490.0697
3500.0076-0.00870.00530.00880.00520.072