| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.974 | -0.0759 | 0.1012 | -0.7663 | 0.4738 | -0.1616 | -0.9817 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.7039 ) | (0.5084 ) | (0 ) | (0.0155 ) | (0.3964 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.932 | 0 | 0.0677 | -0.7625 | 0.4666 | -0.1372 | -1.0091 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.7246 ) | (0 ) | (0.0164 ) | (0.487 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 1.0008 | 0 | 0 | -1.2512 | 0.4784 | -0.1438 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0098 ) | (0.391 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.9944 | 0 | 0 | -0.806 | 0.5 | 0 | -1.0015 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0067 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 9.25191648068957 |
| 22.2895174170754 |
| -37.1550939723596 |
| 34.2218735428442 |
| -175.779263999711 |
| 104.970706461554 |
| -61.2394478852392 |
| -396.700652055843 |
| -396.410485499971 |
| -259.981014374192 |
| 127.971363798437 |
| -36.0197218470954 |
| 204.130524557671 |
| 44.2378119808798 |
| -159.693673293796 |
| 203.124025936160 |
| 121.747788579892 |
| -16.2022596563867 |
| -243.88459995665 |
| 391.669318504803 |
| -164.221968733511 |
| 293.799886631637 |
| 150.183011195860 |
| -191.019252907871 |
| 251.822963054357 |
| -153.377256797879 |
| 8.18066887035589 |
| 276.146245824639 |
| 7.50569879236325 |
| 290.255130118324 |
| 154.698662788002 |
| -344.486096182892 |
| -268.725206809287 |
| 308.780458133835 |
| 53.4137978273449 |
| 309.715127664998 |
| 86.2531881845231 |
| -34.8621109245594 |
| 196.557575783292 |
| 226.42317965574 |
| -187.994974449445 |
| -58.5822258744507 |
| 209.148431956386 |
| 145.930346747766 |
| 129.447842477219 |
| -33.0896435330983 |
| -386.032890615622 |
| 144.238643395984 |
| 117.070321910776 |
| 129.920850080368 |
| -152.207454260589 |
| -55.0948144150741 |
| 144.019351551250 |
| -16.8936924748689 |
| 144.627547725067 |
| -160.150310858583 |
| 329.615512195132 |
| 138.229264079707 |
| 9.03690241551724 |
| 50.5240129139971 |
| 313.806615613953 |
| 236.894908385907 |
| 110.026062233874 |
| -383.823828810955 |
