| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 11100 | 11100 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 8962 | 9151.72898761441 | -104.281203113550 | -189.728987614411 | -2.68274837761497 |
| 3 | 9173 | 9190.9413920235 | -101.309899504965 | -17.9413920234913 | 0.316778501194152 |
| 4 | 8738 | 8888.55337711984 | -102.674843178230 | -150.553377119834 | -0.451974962980000 |
| 5 | 8459 | 8586.6089699495 | -103.886921897370 | -127.608969949502 | -0.447458380772994 |
| 6 | 8078 | 8219.34120612973 | -105.733076635293 | -141.341206129734 | -0.591161030112538 |
| 7 | 8411 | 8434.16741232283 | -103.314927392172 | -23.1674123228328 | 0.719302187539148 |
| 8 | 8291 | 8401.90493558974 | -102.754022722746 | -110.904935589739 | 0.159395276188719 |
| 9 | 7810 | 7980.19213107548 | -105.376775530318 | -170.192131075485 | -0.715355766783798 |
| 10 | 8616 | 8562.73036354003 | -99.4934747541101 | 53.2696364599697 | 1.54245675938534 |
| 11 | 8312 | 8460.45087107921 | -99.5182102277705 | -148.450871079213 | -0.00624530494248919 |
| 12 | 9692 | 9557.1484360474 | -88.514551649736 | 134.8515639526 | 2.68084656957212 |
| 13 | 9911 | 9113.96672378358 | -76.7994245984491 | 797.033276216421 | -0.919360846580055 |
| 14 | 8915 | 9109.20202891533 | -75.2251798631519 | -194.202028915333 | 0.145083276654696 |
| 15 | 9452 | 9337.53669264368 | -69.1343924460746 | 114.463307356317 | 0.659337041965563 |
| 16 | 9112 | 9234.07569008787 | -69.5302244463971 | -122.075690087868 | -0.0767851238858974 |
| 17 | 8472 | 8660.21318058797 | -73.9893549109773 | -188.213180587970 | -1.12817793128366 |
| 18 | 8230 | 8404.86681407355 | -75.628650278673 | -174.866814073548 | -0.40543942166794 |
| 19 | 8384 | 8361.5458015267 | -75.3175826132381 | 22.4541984733026 | 0.0722001140783568 |
| 20 | 8625 | 8564.59958136614 | -72.5194108097573 | 60.4004186338626 | 0.621935553147393 |
| 21 | 8221 | 8483.61934737145 | -72.6075162992987 | -262.619347371449 | -0.0188996594712316 |
| 22 | 8649 | 8519.85483161535 | -71.4235586633613 | 129.145168384653 | 0.243132176382376 |
| 23 | 8625 | 8846.30200897733 | -67.0441574738951 | -221.302008977326 | 0.88863371537594 |
| 24 | 10443 | 9950.45750632936 | -58.0669409318259 | 492.542493670644 | 2.61269391652336 |
| 25 | 10357 | 9755.94502339968 | -57.6157652759494 | 601.054976600317 | -0.319682585933325 |
| 26 | 8586 | 9043.11340159796 | -68.1491857694916 | -457.113401597957 | -1.40566599353232 |
| 27 | 8892 | 8787.63343182715 | -71.7921065819403 | 104.366568172847 | -0.406621488505043 |
| 28 | 8329 | 8415.52770945267 | -76.391180753812 | -86.5277094526656 | -0.668276694427434 |
| 29 | 8101 | 8250.08376887579 | -77.5146815861799 | -149.083768875786 | -0.198626920172358 |
| 30 | 7922 | 8113.14588868574 | -78.2347955760516 | -191.145888685738 | -0.132452643989060 |
| 31 | 8120 | 8123.30661178185 | -77.1347604154134 | -3.30661178184995 | 0.19695452312405 |
| 32 | 7838 | 7832.56967320268 | -79.8843987028402 | 5.43032679732221 | -0.475823842526044 |
| 33 | 7735 | 7934.18687690408 | -77.4732991319601 | -199.186876904082 | 0.404301991209434 |
| 34 | 8406 | 8262.37407626163 | -71.9652576441052 | 143.625923738373 | 0.903678995519527 |
| 35 | 8209 | 8611.01529122724 | -66.4992369929473 | -402.015291227235 | 0.936179492796282 |
| 36 | 9451 | 8868.11091851488 | -63.2189464894811 | 582.889081485118 | 0.720963365134581 |
| 37 | 10041 | 9171.82486683474 | -60.5965809706119 | 869.175133165264 | 0.833591909929539 |
| 38 | 9411 | 9683.79890340546 | -51.567563719338 | -272.798903405455 | 1.25094095754972 |
| 39 | 10405 | 10131.9933495994 | -41.9866910267261 | 273.006650400644 | 1.08875246509051 |
| 40 | 8467 | 8930.00138421515 | -62.2764631385297 | -463.00138421515 | -2.57097838718554 |
| 41 | 8464 | 8618.65355396426 | -66.13527352608 | -154.653553964258 | -0.554155910825658 |
| 42 | 8102 | 8339.82981390013 | -69.2711024083718 | -237.829813900126 | -0.472992881457897 |
| 43 | 7627 | 7714.38106856821 | -77.5052380006069 | -87.381068568208 | -1.23640009085819 |
| 44 | 7513 | 7529.72498707655 | -79.126532537786 | -16.7249870765458 | -0.238168978437048 |
| 45 | 7510 | 7700.8360475885 | -75.2596348821626 | -190.836047588499 | 0.556232192170052 |
| 46 | 8291 | 8099.9160536253 | -67.9098220517655 | 191.083946374698 | 1.05417898954564 |
| 47 | 8064 | 8441.9220032502 | -61.8751923264924 | -377.922003250197 | 0.910033593969813 |
| 48 | 9383 | 8800.75567517234 | -56.4331952858063 | 582.244324827666 | 0.936007505351328 |
| 49 | 9706 | 8962.06326211932 | -53.7429832952189 | 743.936737880676 | 0.488438298476534 |
| 50 | 8579 | 8958.93294881637 | -52.8983121990589 | -379.932948816368 | 0.111257269410033 |
| 51 | 9474 | 8936.91312924544 | -52.3055326122391 | 537.086870754564 | 0.067514515523591 |
| 52 | 8318 | 8771.65122495816 | -54.4145700850778 | -453.651224958157 | -0.249736022575718 |
| 53 | 8213 | 8400.3799976768 | -59.9217041076765 | -187.379997676795 | -0.703551818199042 |
| 54 | 8059 | 8182.9560451612 | -62.5471008494056 | -123.956045161200 | -0.349681683346025 |
| 55 | 9111 | 8905.5801382149 | -49.5374864440732 | 205.419861785104 | 1.74257223952062 |
| 56 | 7708 | 8062.46282412428 | -62.8298759849634 | -354.462824124275 | -1.76108273650325 |
| 57 | 7680 | 7956.00680391426 | -63.568281476183 | -276.006803914258 | -0.0968115418605098 |
| 58 | 8014 | 7911.39102277594 | -63.2495728139162 | 102.608977224057 | 0.0420393212950883 |
| 59 | 8007 | 8334.51155727326 | -55.3951367432464 | -327.511557273257 | 1.07794649720128 |
| 60 | 8718 | 8228.53498395817 | -56.1616933126726 | 489.465016041829 | -0.112371212684350 |
| 61 | 9486 | 8617.06919247476 | -49.3691976811174 | 868.93080752524 | 0.991526312624052 |
| 62 | 9113 | 9302.61886165224 | -36.394369808097 | -189.618861652244 | 1.61931213306789 |
| 63 | 9025 | 8678.00836231039 | -47.7749399612975 | 346.991637689614 | -1.28965873073105 |
| 64 | 8476 | 8788.0940840587 | -44.7282264609761 | -312.094084058701 | 0.348560649514962 |
| 65 | 7952 | 8285.38691990558 | -53.2137004178575 | -333.386919905575 | -1.01536218088255 |
| 66 | 7759 | 8076.97262358745 | -56.0011076572134 | -317.97262358745 | -0.34416894824201 |
| 67 | 7835 | 7565.13164355554 | -64.1103387548892 | 269.868356444461 | -1.01050523680481 |
| 68 | 7600 | 7810.25504172191 | -58.5917565057631 | -210.255041721913 | 0.685424121090115 |
| 69 | 7651 | 7898.11225963858 | -55.9704938546256 | -247.112259638585 | 0.324561289303625 |
| 70 | 8319 | 8212.67893060137 | -49.3998365121464 | 106.321069398630 | 0.820716058692524 |
| 71 | 8812 | 8922.78923421093 | -36.304294691432 | -110.789234210926 | 1.68151954564564 |
| 72 | 8630 | 8450.52906552328 | -43.5947036012835 | 179.470934476718 | -0.967323186872627 |
